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UD Ourense vs Barakaldo Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 7
UD Ourense

UD Ourense

19th in table
WLLLW
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Barakaldo

Barakaldo

15th in table
DLWDD
3' A. Zoilo
32' B. Gomez
53' S. Baldrich
60' S. Baldrich
82' A. Bastida
90+1' J. Cabrera
90+4' S. Pardo
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Estadio de O Couto
V. M. Broncano Suarez

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lugo 10811 18:9 +9 25 WLWWW
2 UD Logroñés 10622 20:13 +7 20 LWDLW
3 Mirandes 10523 13:10 +3 17 WWLDL
4 Racing Ferrol 10523 9:7 +2 17 DLWWW
5 Extremadura 1924 10514 19:10 +9 16 WWDWW
6 Athletic Club II 10433 17:13 +4 15 WLLDL
7 Pontevedra 10433 12:11 +1 15 DWWLL
8 Cacereño 10433 9:8 +1 15 LWLDL
9 Real Avilés 10424 18:13 +5 14 WLWWL
10 Ponferradina 10352 6:6 0 14 DDDLW
11 Real Unión 10343 19:17 +2 13 LWDDD
12 Mérida AD 10415 16:14 +2 13 LDWWW
13 Cultural Leonesa 10334 10:10 0 12 LLDWL
14 Zamora 10334 11:12 -1 12 LLDDW
15 Barakaldo 10253 8:10 -2 11 DDWLD
16 Deportivo La Coruña II 10325 11:17 -6 11 WLLLL
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 10316 12:18 -6 10 LWLDW
18 CD Coria 10235 12:17 -5 9 LDWLL
19 UD Ourense 10226 4:15 -11 8 WLLWD
20 Arenas Getxo 10226 8:22 -14 8 WWLLD

Recent form

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 1 - 0 Cultural Leonesa W
29 Oct 2026Copa del Rey Gimnástica Torrelavega 3 - 1 UD Ourense L
24 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Arenas Getxo 2 - 0 UD Ourense L
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 3 - 0 UD Ourense L
10 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 1 - 0 Barakaldo W
03 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Unión 1 - 1 UD Ourense D
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 0 - 0 Cacereño D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Unionistas de Salamanca 3 - 1 UD Ourense L
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 0 - 3 UD Logroñés L
05 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mirandes 2 - 0 UD Ourense L
2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 0 - 0 Pontevedra D
24 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 0 Barakaldo D
17 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 2 - 0 Mirandes W
10 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 1 - 0 Barakaldo L
03 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 1 - 1 Arenas Getxo D
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 3 - 3 Real Avilés D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Racing Ferrol 1 - 0 Barakaldo L
11 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 1 - 0 Extremadura 1924 W
05 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 CD Coria 4 - 1 Barakaldo L
30 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 0 - 0 Cultural Leonesa D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
UD Ourense Draw Barakaldo
Value spotted: UD Ourense win at 3.58 (model 50% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.8%
1-1 12.4%
2-0 10%
0-0 9.5%
2-1 9%
0-1 8.6%

Expected goals: 1.45 UD Ourense · 0.9 Barakaldo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score45%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
29%
Form
71%
25%
Attack
75%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
100%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
34%
Overall
65%

Season numbers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
2
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
1
UD Ourense Barakaldo

Side by side

UD Ourense Barakaldo
6 Played 6
0 Won 1
2 Drawn 3
4 Lost 2
0.3 Goals scored per game 1
1.7 Goals conceded per game 1.5
0 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 0.5
1 Clean sheets 2
4 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 1
- Biggest win 1-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 4-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

UD Ourense vs Barakaldo: preview and prediction

UD Ourense host Barakaldo in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 7) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 17:45 at Estadio de O Couto. UD Ourense sit 19th in the table and Barakaldo 15th.

UD Ourense are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-W). Barakaldo have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-D-D).

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for UD Ourense and 0.9 for Barakaldo. It gives UD Ourense the edge (50% home win, 27% draw, 23% away win), 42% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.21.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

UD Ourense vs Barakaldo FAQs

What is the best prediction for UD Ourense vs Barakaldo?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.21 odds).

Who will win UD Ourense vs Barakaldo?

UD Ourense are favourites: our model gives UD Ourense 50%, the draw 27% and Barakaldo 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is UD Ourense vs Barakaldo?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 17:45 at Estadio de O Couto.

Who is the referee?

V. M. Broncano Suarez is in charge of this game.