Tukums vs Riga Prediction, H2H & Stats

Latvia: Virsliga · Regular Season - 32
Tukums

Tukums

9th in table
DLLDL
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 1
Riga

Riga

2nd in table
DWDWD
5' Kristers Volkovs
9' Reginaldo Ramires
11' Davis Valmiers
29' Ahmed Ankrah
45' Andrés Salazar
54' Ruslans Deružinskis
62' M. Badamosi
79' Salah Oulad M'Hand
90+3' Iago Siqueira Augusto
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Tukums
A. Anufrijevs

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
0Tukums wins
2Draws
7Riga wins
4Goals per game
44%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
18 Jul 2026Virsliga Riga 3 - 1 Tukums
20 May 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 3 Riga
09 Apr 2026Virsliga Riga 3 - 3 Tukums
24 Oct 2025Virsliga Riga 0 - 0 Tukums
03 Aug 2025Virsliga Tukums 0 - 1 Riga
12 Jul 2025Cup Riga 4 - 0 Tukums
31 May 2025Virsliga Riga 3 - 0 Tukums
13 Apr 2025Virsliga Tukums 0 - 3 Riga
27 Oct 2024Virsliga Riga 10 - 1 Tukums

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Rīgas FS 352852 87:24 +63 89 WWWWW
2 Riga 352582 95:33 +62 83 DWWWW
3 Auda 352177 61:38 +23 70 WWLWD
4 BFC Daugavpils 3514912 42:37 +5 51 WWWWD
5 FK Liepaja 3513913 49:49 0 48 DDWLD
6 Super Nova 3511618 35:53 -18 39 DLLLW
7 FS Jelgava 358819 37:61 -24 32 LLLLL
8 Grobiņa 3561118 27:64 -37 29 LLWLD
9 Tukums 3551020 44:67 -23 25 LDLLD
10 Ogre United 354724 34:85 -51 19 DLLLW

Top scorers

Virsliga
1 M. BadamosiRiga 4goals 0assists 32apps
2 E. DašķevičsAuda 4goals 0assists 29apps
3 PauloRiga 3goals 1assists 15apps
4 Ž. LipuščekRīgas FS 3goals 0assists 34apps
5 M. OšsSuper Nova 3goals 0assists 32apps
6 Filip HašekFS Jelgava 3goals 0assists 30apps
7 A. AppiahAuda 3goals 1assists 16apps
8 D. KiwindaBFC Daugavpils 2goals 2assists 21apps
9 D. LemajićRīgas FS 2goals 1assists 30apps
10 A. HaïdaraFK Liepaja 2goals 0assists 33apps

Recent form

1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums L
24 Oct 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 Tukums D
19 Oct 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 2 - 0 Tukums L
10 Oct 2026Virsliga Tukums 0 - 2 Riga L
20 Sep 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 1 Grobiņa D
10 Sep 2026Virsliga Super Nova 1 - 0 Tukums L
05 Sep 2026Virsliga Tukums 2 - 1 Ogre United W
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 4 FS Jelgava L
21 Aug 2026Virsliga Auda 3 - 0 Tukums L
08 Aug 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums L
6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Virsliga Ogre United 0 - 0 Riga D
26 Oct 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 2 - 5 Riga W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Pafos 1 - 1 Riga D
18 Oct 2026Virsliga Riga 2 - 1 Super Nova W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Riga 1 - 1 Kairat Almaty D
10 Oct 2026Virsliga Tukums 0 - 2 Riga W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Aris 1 - 2 Riga W
19 Sep 2026Virsliga FS Jelgava 0 - 1 Riga W
15 Sep 2026Virsliga Super Nova 0 - 1 Riga W
11 Sep 2026Virsliga Riga 2 - 2 Auda D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Tukums Draw Riga
Value spotted: Tukums win at 9.65 (model 26% vs market 9%)

Most likely scores

1-2 9.2%
1-1 8.7%
2-2 6.7%
1-3 6.4%
2-1 6.3%
0-2 6.3%

Expected goals: 1.45 Tukums · 2.1 Riga

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams score67%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
33%
Form
67%
36%
Attack
64%
38%
Defence
63%
27%
Goal model
73%
15%
Head to head
85%
33%
Goals
67%
30%
Overall
69%

Season numbers

Virsliga 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
7
8
16-30'
14
11
31-45'
18
5
46-60'
11
5
61-75'
11
16
76-90'
19
9
0-15'
6
10
16-30'
7
10
31-45'
5
8
46-60'
7
12
61-75'
5
8
76-90'
6
Tukums Riga

Side by side

Tukums Riga
31 Played 31
5 Won 22
9 Drawn 7
17 Lost 2
1.4 Goals scored per game 2.8
2 Goals conceded per game 1
1.8 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 2.9 / 2.7
1 Clean sheets 13
5 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 6
6-1 Biggest win 4-0
1-4 Biggest defeat 3-2
2/2 Penalties scored 6/6

Tukums vs Riga: preview and prediction

Tukums host Riga in the Latvia Virsliga (Regular Season - 32) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 12:00 at Tukums. Tukums sit 9th in the table and Riga 2nd.

Tukums are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-L). Riga are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Tukums won 0, Riga won 7 and 2 ended level. These games average 4 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Tukums and 2.1 for Riga. It gives Riga the edge (26% home win, 21% draw, 52% away win), 69% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.21. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Tukums vs Riga FAQs

What is the best prediction for Tukums vs Riga?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.21 odds).

Who will win Tukums vs Riga?

Riga are favourites: our model gives Tukums 26%, the draw 21% and Riga 52%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 67% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Tukums vs Riga?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 12:00 at Tukums.

Who is the referee?

A. Anufrijevs is in charge of this game.