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Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction, H2H & Stats

Latvia: Virsliga · Regular Season - 17
Tukums

Tukums

9th in table
DLLDL
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 0
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

4th in table
DWWWW
25' K. Volkovs
46' K. Volkovs
46' K. Volkovs
75' R. Melkis
88' R. Ndjiki
Friday, 12 June 2026
Tukums
A. Treimanis

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
1Tukums wins
3Draws
3BFC Daugavpils wins
1.7Goals per game
43%Both scored
43%Over 2.5
21 Apr 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
30 Aug 2025Virsliga Tukums 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
21 Jun 2025Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 Tukums
30 Apr 2025Virsliga Tukums 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils
07 Mar 2025Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 3 - 0 Tukums
21 Sep 2024Virsliga Tukums 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils
03 Jul 2024Virsliga Tukums 1 - 2 BFC Daugavpils

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Rīgas FS 352852 87:24 +63 89 WWWWW
2 Riga 352582 95:33 +62 83 DWWWW
3 Auda 352177 61:38 +23 70 WWLWD
4 BFC Daugavpils 3514912 42:37 +5 51 WWWWD
5 FK Liepaja 3513913 49:49 0 48 DDWLD
6 Super Nova 3511618 35:53 -18 39 DLLLW
7 FS Jelgava 358819 37:61 -24 32 LLLLL
8 Grobiņa 3561118 27:64 -37 29 LLWLD
9 Tukums 3551020 44:67 -23 25 LDLLD
10 Ogre United 354724 34:85 -51 19 DLLLW

Top scorers

Virsliga
1 M. BadamosiRiga 4goals 0assists 32apps
2 E. DašķevičsAuda 4goals 0assists 29apps
3 PauloRiga 3goals 1assists 15apps
4 Ž. LipuščekRīgas FS 3goals 0assists 34apps
5 M. OšsSuper Nova 3goals 0assists 32apps
6 Filip HašekFS Jelgava 3goals 0assists 30apps
7 A. AppiahAuda 3goals 1assists 16apps
8 D. KiwindaBFC Daugavpils 2goals 2assists 21apps
9 D. LemajićRīgas FS 2goals 1assists 30apps
10 A. HaïdaraFK Liepaja 2goals 0assists 33apps

Recent form

1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums L
24 Oct 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 Tukums D
19 Oct 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 2 - 0 Tukums L
10 Oct 2026Virsliga Tukums 0 - 2 Riga L
20 Sep 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 1 Grobiņa D
10 Sep 2026Virsliga Super Nova 1 - 0 Tukums L
05 Sep 2026Virsliga Tukums 2 - 1 Ogre United W
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 4 FS Jelgava L
21 Aug 2026Virsliga Auda 3 - 0 Tukums L
08 Aug 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums L
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums W
25 Oct 2026Virsliga FS Jelgava 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils W
19 Oct 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 Auda W
11 Oct 2026Virsliga Ogre United 1 - 2 BFC Daugavpils W
19 Sep 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D
13 Sep 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 Rīgas FS L
07 Sep 2026Virsliga Riga 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils D
02 Sep 2026Cup BFC Daugavpils 2 - 2 Auda D
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils L
22 Aug 2026Virsliga Super Nova 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Tukums Draw BFC Daugavpils
Value spotted: Tukums win at 2.78 (model 54% vs market 33%)

Most likely scores

2-1 9.1%
1-1 8.3%
3-1 6.7%
2-2 6.6%
2-0 6.3%
1-2 6%

Expected goals: 2.2 Tukums · 1.45 BFC Daugavpils

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score68%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
33%
Form
67%
55%
Attack
45%
32%
Defence
68%
64%
Goal model
36%
38%
Head to head
62%
33%
Goals
67%
42%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

Virsliga 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
2
8
31-45'
4
5
46-60'
9
2
61-75'
3
11
76-90'
1
6
0-15'
0
7
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
9
4
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
6
Tukums BFC Daugavpils

Side by side

Tukums BFC Daugavpils
16 Played 16
2 Won 5
7 Drawn 3
7 Lost 8
1.8 Goals scored per game 1.2
1.9 Goals conceded per game 1.5
2.3 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.4
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 4
6-1 Biggest win 3-1
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-3
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils: preview and prediction

Tukums host BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia Virsliga (Regular Season - 17) on Friday, 12th June 2026 at 16:00 at Tukums. Tukums sit 9th in the table and BFC Daugavpils 4th.

Tukums are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-L). BFC Daugavpils are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-W).

In the last 7 meetings, Tukums won 1, BFC Daugavpils won 3 and 3 ended level. These games average 1.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 43%.

Our goal model expects about 2.2 goals for Tukums and 1.45 for BFC Daugavpils. It gives Tukums the edge (54% home win, 20% draw, 25% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.35. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils FAQs

What is the best prediction for Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.35 odds).

Who will win Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?

Tukums are favourites: our model gives Tukums 54%, the draw 20% and BFC Daugavpils 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 68% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?

Kick-off is on Friday, 12th June 2026 at 16:00 at Tukums.

Who is the referee?

A. Treimanis is in charge of this game.