Tromso vs Valerenga Prediction, H2H & Stats

Norway: Eliteserien · Regular Season - 13
Tromso

Tromso

6th in table
DDLWL
Full time
4:0
HT 3 - 0
Valerenga

Valerenga

8th in table
LWWLW
12' Heine Asen Larsen
22' Jens Hjertø-Dahl
45+2' Heine Asen Larsen
74' David Edvardsson
80' Troy Nyhammer
86' Sebastian Jarl
Saturday, 11 July 2026
Romssa Arena, Tromso
Svein Tore Sinnes, Norway

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Tromso wins
2Draws
4Valerenga wins
2.1Goals per game
50%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
04 Oct 2025Eliteserien Valerenga 1 - 0 Tromso
31 May 2025Eliteserien Tromso 2 - 1 Valerenga
15 Mar 2025Friendlies Clubs Valerenga 1 - 4 Tromso
01 May 2024NM Cupen Valerenga 1 - 0 Tromso
17 Mar 2024Friendlies Clubs Valerenga 3 - 1 Tromso
03 Dec 2023Eliteserien Valerenga 1 - 1 Tromso
09 Jul 2023Eliteserien Tromso 0 - 0 Valerenga
21 Aug 2022Eliteserien Valerenga 1 - 0 Tromso

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Viking 251924 64:26 +38 59 LWWWW
2 Bodo/Glimt 251924 61:23 +38 59 WLWWL
3 Molde 251348 59:39 +20 43 LWWDL
4 Rosenborg 251348 49:31 +18 43 WWWDW
5 Lillestrom 251339 36:33 +3 42 WWWDL
6 Tromso 251177 43:38 +5 40 LLDDW
7 Brann 2510213 45:42 +3 32 WLLLW
8 Valerenga 259511 43:46 -3 32 WWWLD
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF 258710 32:39 -7 31 LWLWL
10 KFUM Oslo 258710 32:41 -9 31 DDDWW
11 Fredrikstad 258512 29:44 -15 29 LLLDD
12 Sandefjord 257612 26:34 -8 27 WLLDW
13 Ham-Kam 257612 35:53 -18 27 DLLWL
14 Aalesund 255911 43:57 -14 24 LLWLW
15 Kristiansund BK 256514 29:51 -22 23 WDLLL
16 Start 255416 26:55 -29 19 LWLLL

Top scorers

Eliteserien
1 Amin ChiakhaRosenborg 17goals 4assists 24apps
2 P. ChristiansenViking 15goals 7assists 24apps
3 A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt 13goals 1assists 22apps
4 K. LonebuMolde 13goals 2assists 22apps
5 L. AlvheimKristiansund BK 12goals 0assists 23apps
6 L. HarenValerenga 11goals 2assists 24apps
7 M. ChristensenAalesund 11goals 5assists 24apps
8 E. BreivikMolde 10goals 10assists 25apps
9 H. LarsenTromso 10goals 4assists 25apps
10 S. Kvia-EgeskogViking 9goals 3assists 25apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 4 - 0 Tromso L
28 Oct 2026NM Cupen Tromso 3 - 2 Haugesund W
25 Oct 2026Eliteserien Viking 3 - 1 Tromso L
18 Oct 2026Eliteserien Tromso 1 - 1 KFUM Oslo D
11 Oct 2026Eliteserien Fredrikstad 1 - 1 Tromso D
20 Sep 2026Eliteserien Tromso 3 - 2 Ham-Kam W
16 Sep 2026NM Cupen Alta 1 - 2 Tromso W
12 Sep 2026Eliteserien Rosenborg 5 - 3 Tromso L
06 Sep 2026Eliteserien Kristiansund BK 2 - 0 Tromso L
30 Aug 2026Eliteserien Tromso 0 - 0 Sarpsborg 08 FF D
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 4 - 0 Tromso W
28 Oct 2026NM Cupen Sarpsborg 08 FF 3 - 2 Valerenga L
24 Oct 2026Eliteserien Bodo/Glimt 0 - 1 Valerenga W
18 Oct 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 3 - 1 Brann W
12 Oct 2026Eliteserien KFUM Oslo 2 - 1 Valerenga L
20 Sep 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 1 - 1 Fredrikstad D
17 Sep 2026NM Cupen Skeid 1 - 4 Valerenga W
12 Sep 2026Eliteserien Lillestrom 2 - 0 Valerenga L
06 Sep 2026Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 - 2 Valerenga D
30 Aug 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 3 - 4 Molde L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Tromso Draw Valerenga
Value spotted: Tromso win at 1.77 (model 60% vs market 54%)

Most likely scores

1-0 12.7%
2-0 11.4%
1-1 10.8%
2-1 9.7%
0-0 7.1%
3-0 6.9%

Expected goals: 1.8 Tromso · 0.85 Valerenga

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
46%
Form
54%
33%
Attack
67%
53%
Defence
47%
74%
Goal model
26%
40%
Head to head
60%
50%
Goals
50%
49%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

Eliteserien 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
0
5
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
3
3
46-60'
4
3
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
5
Tromso Valerenga

Side by side

Tromso Valerenga
13 Played 11
7 Won 4
4 Drawn 2
2 Lost 5
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.2
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.8 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 0.8
7 Clean sheets 2
4 Failed to score 4
4 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 3-1
0-5 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/1

Tromso vs Valerenga: preview and prediction

Tromso host Valerenga in the Norway Eliteserien (Regular Season - 13) on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 17:00 at Romssa Arena, Tromso. Tromso sit 6th in the table and Valerenga 8th.

Tromso have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-L). Valerenga are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Tromso won 2, Valerenga won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1.8 goals for Tromso and 0.85 for Valerenga. It gives Tromso the edge (60% home win, 23% draw, 17% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.05. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Tromso vs Valerenga FAQs

What is the best prediction for Tromso vs Valerenga?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.05 odds).

Who will win Tromso vs Valerenga?

Tromso are favourites: our model gives Tromso 60%, the draw 23% and Valerenga 17%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Tromso vs Valerenga?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 17:00 at Romssa Arena, Tromso.

Who is the referee?

Svein Tore Sinnes, Norway is in charge of this game.