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Treaty United vs UCD Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ireland: First Division · Regular Season - 34
Treaty United

Treaty United

9th in table
LWLWW
Full time
0:4
HT 0 - 3
UCD

UCD

2nd in table
LLWDW
5' C. Behan
9' N. Holohan
35' M. Alonge
39' H. Smith
54' K. Cantwell
72' S. Healy
88' S. Norval
89'
Friday, 2 October 2026
Markets Field, Limerick

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Treaty United wins
3Draws
3UCD wins
2.4Goals per game
44%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
03 Aug 2026First Division UCD 1 - 2 Treaty United
17 Jul 2026FAI Cup Treaty United 1 - 2 UCD
24 Apr 2026First Division Treaty United 0 - 3 UCD
27 Feb 2026First Division UCD 2 - 0 Treaty United
05 Sep 2025First Division Treaty United 1 - 0 UCD
04 Jul 2025First Division UCD 1 - 1 Treaty United
16 May 2025First Division Treaty United 4 - 0 UCD
21 Mar 2025First Division UCD 0 - 0 Treaty United
11 Oct 2024First Division Treaty United 2 - 2 UCD

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Cork City 362367 74:35 +39 75 DWLLW
2 UCD 3616812 67:51 +16 56 WDWLL
3 Bray Wanderers 3615912 67:53 +14 54 LDLWW
4 Kerry 36141012 45:41 +4 52 DWWWL
5 Longford Town 36141012 49:46 +3 52 WDDWW
6 Cobh Ramblers 3614715 46:54 -8 49 LLWDL
7 Athlone Town 3613914 42:43 -1 48 LLWDW
8 Wexford 3611916 44:58 -14 42 LDDLW
9 Treaty United 3611916 37:53 -16 42 WWLWL
10 Finn Harps 367722 33:70 -37 28 WLLLL

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
16 Oct 2026First Division Treaty United 2 - 0 Cobh Ramblers W
09 Oct 2026First Division Athlone Town 1 - 2 Treaty United W
02 Oct 2026First Division Treaty United 0 - 4 UCD L
25 Sep 2026First Division Treaty United 2 - 1 Finn Harps W
18 Sep 2026First Division Bray Wanderers 2 - 0 Treaty United L
12 Sep 2026First Division Longford Town 0 - 2 Treaty United W
04 Sep 2026First Division Treaty United 0 - 1 Wexford L
28 Aug 2026First Division Kerry FC 3 - 1 Treaty United L
21 Aug 2026First Division Treaty United 2 - 2 Cork City D
07 Aug 2026First Division Cobh Ramblers 2 - 0 Treaty United L
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
16 Oct 2026First Division Wexford 2 - 5 UCD W
09 Oct 2026First Division UCD 1 - 1 Longford Town D
02 Oct 2026First Division Treaty United 0 - 4 UCD W
25 Sep 2026First Division UCD 1 - 3 Bray Wanderers L
18 Sep 2026First Division Cork City 5 - 1 UCD L
11 Sep 2026First Division UCD 2 - 2 Athlone Town D
04 Sep 2026First Division Cobh Ramblers 1 - 1 UCD D
28 Aug 2026First Division UCD 5 - 4 Finn Harps W
21 Aug 2026First Division Kerry FC 1 - 1 UCD D
14 Aug 2026FAI Cup UCD 1 - 2 Derry City L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Treaty United Draw UCD
Value spotted: Treaty United win at 2.82 (model 42% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.5%
1-0 10.4%
0-1 8.9%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 7.5%
0-0 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.4 Treaty United · 1.2 UCD

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
55%
Form
45%
33%
Attack
67%
68%
Defence
32%
48%
Goal model
52%
40%
Head to head
60%
33%
Goals
67%
46%
Overall
53%

Season numbers

First Division 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
8
3
16-30'
10
5
31-45'
7
4
46-60'
12
7
61-75'
8
7
76-90'
14
6
0-15'
5
6
16-30'
10
6
31-45'
7
7
46-60'
7
13
61-75'
9
11
76-90'
8
Treaty United UCD

Side by side

Treaty United UCD
33 Played 33
9 Won 14
9 Drawn 7
15 Lost 12
1 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.2 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 2.1 / 1.3
8 Clean sheets 11
14 Failed to score 6
3 Longest winning run 4
3-0 Biggest win 4-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 1-3
2/2 Penalties scored 3/3

Treaty United vs UCD: preview and prediction

Treaty United host UCD in the Ireland First Division (Regular Season - 34) on Friday, 2nd October 2026 at 20:15 at Markets Field, Limerick. Treaty United sit 9th in the table and UCD 2nd.

Treaty United are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W). UCD have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Treaty United won 3, UCD won 3 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Treaty United and 1.2 for UCD. It gives Treaty United the edge (42% home win, 26% draw, 32% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.36. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Treaty United vs UCD FAQs

What is the best prediction for Treaty United vs UCD?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.36 odds).

Who will win Treaty United vs UCD?

Treaty United are favourites: our model gives Treaty United 42%, the draw 26% and UCD 32%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Treaty United vs UCD?

Kick-off is on Friday, 2nd October 2026 at 20:15 at Markets Field, Limerick.