RaraBet
Home Pricing About Partners News Contact Us
Register Login

Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25
Toulouse

Toulouse

10th in table
LDWDL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 1
Marseille

Marseille

5th in table
LWLWW
12' Facundo Medina
18' M. Greenwood
59' Aron Dønnum
59' Mason Greenwood
60' Timothy Weah
64' Mark McKenzie
Saturday, 7 March 2026
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
B. Dechepy

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
0Toulouse wins
4Draws
4Marseille wins
4.1Goals per game
88%Both scored
88%Over 2.5
04 Mar 2026Coupe de France Marseille 2 - 2 Toulouse
29 Nov 2025Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 2 Toulouse
06 Apr 2025Ligue 1 Marseille 3 - 2 Toulouse
31 Aug 2024Ligue 1 Toulouse 1 - 3 Marseille
21 Apr 2024Ligue 1 Toulouse 2 - 2 Marseille
17 Sep 2023Ligue 1 Marseille 0 - 0 Toulouse
19 Feb 2023Ligue 1 Toulouse 2 - 3 Marseille
29 Dec 2022Ligue 1 Marseille 6 - 1 Toulouse

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 74:29 +45 76 LWWDW
2 Lens 342248 66:35 +31 70 WLWDD
3 Lille 341879 52:37 +15 61 LWDWD
4 Lyon 3418610 53:40 +13 60 LLWWW
5 Marseille 3418511 63:45 +18 59 WWLDL
6 Rennes 341789 59:50 +9 59 LWLWW
7 Monaco 3416612 60:54 +6 54 LLWDD
8 Strasbourg 3415811 58:47 +11 53 WWDLW
9 Lorient 34111211 48:51 -3 45 LWDLW
10 Toulouse 3312813 47:46 +1 44 WWDLL
11 Paris FC 34111112 47:50 -3 44 WLWLW
12 Stade Brestois 29 3410915 43:55 -12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers 349916 29:48 -19 36 DDLLD
14 Le Havre 3471413 32:44 -12 35 WLDDD
15 Auxerre 3481016 34:44 -10 34 WWWLD
16 Nice 3471116 37:60 -23 32 WDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 29:52 -23 23 LWLLD
18 Metz 343823 32:76 -44 17 DLLDL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 E. LepaulRennes 21goals 5assists 34apps
2 M. GreenwoodMarseille 16goals 7assists 32apps
3 J. PanichelliStrasbourg 16goals 1assists 27apps
4 F. BalogunMonaco 13goals 4assists 30apps
5 O. ÉdouardLens 12goals 3assists 29apps
6 W. SaïdLens 12goals 2assists 29apps
7 L. SinayokoAuxerre 12goals 4assists 32apps
8 P. ŠulcLyon 11goals 3assists 27apps
9 B. BarcolaParis Saint Germain 11goals 1assists 29apps
10 F. ThauvinLens 11goals 6assists 33apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 0 Estac Troyes D
16 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Toulouse 2 - 3 PAU L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 1 Lille L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 2 Toulouse D
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 2 Lyon L
4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Marseille L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Angers 2 - 5 Marseille W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Marseille 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus L
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Marseille L
11 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille L
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Toulouse Draw Marseille
Value spotted: Toulouse win at 3.18 (model 41% vs market 31%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11%
2-1 8.8%
1-2 8%
1-0 7.6%
0-1 6.9%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.6 Toulouse · 1.45 Marseille

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score61%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
29%
Form
71%
22%
Attack
78%
72%
Defence
28%
46%
Goal model
54%
38%
Head to head
62%
45%
Goals
55%
42%
Overall
58%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2025

When the goals come

4
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
9
5
31-45'
6
5
46-60'
8
5
61-75'
10
10
76-90'
14
4
0-15'
6
3
16-30'
5
6
31-45'
3
6
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
4
7
76-90'
12
Toulouse Marseille

Side by side

Toulouse Marseille
24 Played 24
8 Won 13
7 Drawn 4
9 Lost 7
1.4 Goals scored per game 2.1
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.7 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 2.7 / 1.6
8 Clean sheets 6
8 Failed to score 6
2 Longest winning run 5
5-1 Biggest win 6-2
3-6 Biggest defeat 0-2
4/4 Penalties scored 5/5

Toulouse vs Marseille: preview and prediction

Toulouse host Marseille in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 25) on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 21:05 at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse. Toulouse sit 10th in the table and Marseille 5th.

Toulouse have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-D-L). Marseille are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Toulouse won 0, Marseille won 4 and 4 ended level. These games average 4.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 88% and over 2.5 goals in 88%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for Toulouse and 1.45 for Marseille. It gives Toulouse the edge (41% home win, 24% draw, 35% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.41.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Toulouse vs Marseille FAQs

What is the best prediction for Toulouse vs Marseille?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.41 odds).

Who will win Toulouse vs Marseille?

Toulouse are favourites: our model gives Toulouse 41%, the draw 24% and Marseille 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 61% chance in our model, and it happened in 88% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Toulouse vs Marseille?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 21:05 at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse.

Who is the referee?

B. Dechepy is in charge of this game.