Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1
Toulouse

Toulouse

12th in table
LDWDL
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 0
Lyon

Lyon

3rd in table
WWLLW
31' Niklas Schmidt
45' Noah Nartey
68' Noah Nartey
85' Malick Fofana
90+4' Tanner Tessmann
Saturday, 22 August 2026
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Guillaume Paradis, France

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Toulouse wins
2Draws
5Lyon wins
2.8Goals per game
67%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
10 May 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 2 - 1 Lyon
05 Oct 2025Ligue 1 Lyon 1 - 2 Toulouse
18 Jan 2025Ligue 1 Lyon 0 - 0 Toulouse
29 Sep 2024Ligue 1 Toulouse 1 - 2 Lyon
15 Mar 2024Ligue 1 Toulouse 2 - 3 Lyon
10 Dec 2023Ligue 1 Lyon 3 - 0 Toulouse
14 Apr 2023Ligue 1 Toulouse 1 - 2 Lyon
07 Oct 2022Ligue 1 Lyon 1 - 1 Toulouse
26 Jan 2020Ligue 1 Lyon 3 - 0 Toulouse

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 0 Estac Troyes D
16 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Toulouse 2 - 3 PAU L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 1 Lille L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 2 Toulouse D
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 2 Lyon L
6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 2 - 0 Angers W
26 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Lyon L
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 0 Lyon L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 2 - 1 Nice W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Lyon 3 - 2 Crystal Palace W
09 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lens 2 - 1 Lyon L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 4 - 0 Rennes W
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Anderlecht 1 - 2 Lyon W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 0 - 0 Lyon D
04 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 3 - 1 Auxerre W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Toulouse Draw Lyon
Value spotted: Toulouse win at 2.94 (model 44% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Toulouse · 1.1 Lyon

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
50%
Overall
50%

Toulouse vs Lyon: preview and prediction

Toulouse host Lyon in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 1) on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 19:45 at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse. Toulouse sit 12th in the table and Lyon 3rd.

Toulouse have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-D-L). Lyon are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Toulouse won 2, Lyon won 5 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Toulouse and 1.1 for Lyon. It gives Toulouse the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.63.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Toulouse vs Lyon FAQs

What is the best prediction for Toulouse vs Lyon?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes (1.63 odds).

Who will win Toulouse vs Lyon?

Toulouse are favourites: our model gives Toulouse 44%, the draw 27% and Lyon 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Toulouse vs Lyon?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 19:45 at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse.

Who is the referee?

Guillaume Paradis, France is in charge of this game.