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Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5
Toulouse

Toulouse

12th in table
LDWDL
Full time
3:2
HT 0 - 0
Le Havre

Le Havre

18th in table
WLLLL
34' Christ Tapé
49' C. Tengstedt (Penalty)
51' C. Tengstedt
58' Niko Sigur
71' J. Maja
74' Seny Koumbassa
79' T. Jorgensen
81' Sota Nakamura
88' A. Samatta
Saturday, 19 September 2026
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
H. Ben El Hadj Salem

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Toulouse wins
2Draws
3Le Havre wins
2.3Goals per game
44%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
15 Feb 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 2 - 1 Toulouse
02 Nov 2025Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 0 Le Havre
23 Feb 2025Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 4 Toulouse
15 Sep 2024Ligue 1 Toulouse 2 - 0 Le Havre
10 Mar 2024Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 0 Toulouse
05 Nov 2023Ligue 1 Toulouse 1 - 2 Le Havre
21 Feb 2022Ligue 2 Toulouse 4 - 0 Le Havre
13 Sep 2021Ligue 2 Le Havre 1 - 1 Toulouse
04 May 2021Ligue 2 Le Havre 0 - 1 Toulouse

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 0 Estac Troyes D
16 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Toulouse 2 - 3 PAU L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 1 Lille L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 2 Toulouse D
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 2 Lyon L
1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 5 Paris Saint Germain L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre L
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Le Havre L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Le Havre 6 - 1 Boulogne W
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre L
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 0 Angers D
05 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 1 - 1 Le Havre D
23 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 1 Monaco L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Toulouse Draw Le Havre
Value spotted: Le Havre win at 4.88 (model 42% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

0-1 13.2%
1-1 13.2%
0-0 10.5%
1-0 10.5%
0-2 8.2%
1-2 8.2%

Expected goals: 1 Toulouse · 1.25 Le Havre

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score45%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
67%
Attack
33%
36%
Defence
64%
0%
Goal model
100%
50%
Head to head
50%
64%
Goals
36%
53%
Overall
46%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
1
Toulouse Le Havre

Side by side

Toulouse Le Havre
4 Played 4
0 Won 0
2 Drawn 2
2 Lost 2
1 Goals scored per game 0.5
1.8 Goals conceded per game 1
0 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 0.3 / 1
0 Clean sheets 1
2 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win -
0-2 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Toulouse vs Le Havre: preview and prediction

Toulouse host Le Havre in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 5) on Saturday, 19th September 2026 at 19:45 at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse. Toulouse sit 12th in the table and Le Havre 18th.

Toulouse have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-D-L). Le Havre are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Toulouse won 4, Le Havre won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Toulouse and 1.25 for Le Havre. It gives Le Havre the edge (30% home win, 28% draw, 42% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.22.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Toulouse vs Le Havre FAQs

What is the best prediction for Toulouse vs Le Havre?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.22 odds).

Who will win Toulouse vs Le Havre?

Le Havre are favourites: our model gives Toulouse 30%, the draw 28% and Le Havre 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Toulouse vs Le Havre?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 19th September 2026 at 19:45 at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse.

Who is the referee?

H. Ben El Hadj Salem is in charge of this game.