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Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga MX · Apertura - 2
Toluca

Toluca

5th in table
LLDDD
Full time
1:2
HT 1 - 0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

12th in table
LDWLD
14' J. Diaz Price
17' Helinho
57' V. Arteaga
63' S. Cordova
80' Rodrigo Lopez
Wednesday, 22 July 2026
Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca
Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez, Mexico

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Toluca wins
6Draws
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins
2.9Goals per game
89%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
04 Mar 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2 - 3 Toluca
17 Aug 2025Liga MX Toluca 1 - 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
30 Jan 2025Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca
06 Oct 2024Liga MX Toluca 1 - 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
18 Mar 2024Liga MX Toluca 3 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
19 Aug 2023Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca
16 Apr 2023Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 1 Toluca
14 Dec 2022Copa por México U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca
11 Sep 2022Liga MX Toluca 2 - 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Club America 14842 34:19 +15 28 DLWWD
2 Cruz Azul 14824 32:23 +9 26 WWWDD
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14752 21:12 +9 26 WWDDL
4 Atlas 14734 25:26 -1 24 WLWDW
5 Toluca 14653 29:19 +10 23 DDDLD
6 Leon 14644 21:18 +3 22 DWLDW
7 Club Tijuana 14563 22:18 +4 21 DWDDD
8 Monterrey 13625 23:18 +5 20 LWWDL
9 Club Queretaro 13625 17:18 -1 20 LLLWW
10 Santos Laguna 14617 20:20 0 19 LWWWW
11 Atletico San Luis 14545 19:22 -3 19 WWDLW
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14455 20:23 -3 17 DLWDL
13 CF Pachuca 14446 22:19 +3 16 WLLDL
14 Puebla 14446 16:21 -5 16 LLDDL
15 Tigres UANL 14365 15:19 -4 15 DLDWW
16 Atlante FC 14356 14:20 -6 14 LWLLW
17 Necaxa 14248 16:27 -11 10 DLLDL
18 FC Juarez 141211 9:33 -24 5 DLLDL

Top scorers

Liga MX
1 S. RondónCF Pachuca 13goals 1assists 14apps
2 J. BrunettaTigres UANL 8goals 4assists 13apps
3 JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 8goals 1assists 14apps
4 H. MartínClub America 8goals 3assists 12apps
5 F. ViñasToluca 7goals 0assists 11apps
6 J. CarranzaNecaxa 7goals 2assists 13apps
7 L. OcamposMonterrey 6goals 3assists 11apps
8 Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6goals 0assists 14apps
9 D. RossiMonterrey 5goals 3assists 12apps
10 B. RodríguezClub America 5goals 3assists 10apps

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Liga MX Leon 1 - 1 Toluca D
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Toluca 2 - 2 Club Tijuana D
18 Oct 2026Liga MX Toluca 1 - 1 Atletico San Luis D
10 Oct 2026Liga MX Tigres UANL 3 - 2 Toluca L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca L
26 Sep 2026Liga MX Cruz Azul 3 - 3 Toluca D
21 Sep 2026Liga MX Toluca 2 - 3 Santos Laguna L
16 Sep 2026Liga MX Puebla 0 - 1 Toluca W
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Toluca 5 - 2 Atlas W
07 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Monterrey W
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Tigres UANL D
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Santos Laguna 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas L
17 Oct 2026Liga MX Atlante FC 1 - 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas W
12 Oct 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 3 Cruz Azul D
27 Sep 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2 - 3 Atletico San Luis L
19 Sep 2026Liga MX Atlas 1 - 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas D
14 Sep 2026Liga MX Guadalajara Chivas 3 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas L
11 Sep 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 1 Leon W
29 Aug 2026Liga MX Club Tijuana 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas L
24 Aug 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Necaxa D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Toluca Draw U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Value spotted: Toluca win at 1.58 (model 67% vs market 59%)

Most likely scores

2-1 9.4%
2-0 8.5%
3-1 7.8%
1-1 7.5%
3-0 7.1%
1-0 6.8%

Expected goals: 2.5 Toluca · 1.1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams score61%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
100%
Form
0%
100%
Attack
0%
100%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
75%
Head to head
25%
64%
Goals
36%
69%
Overall
30%

Season numbers

Liga MX 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Toluca U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Side by side

Toluca U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1 Played 1
1 Won 0
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 0
0 Goals conceded per game 3
0 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 0
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 0
0-2 Biggest win -
- Biggest defeat 0-3
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: preview and prediction

Toluca host U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 2) on Wednesday, 22nd July 2026 at 04:05 at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca. Toluca sit 5th in the table and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12th.

Toluca are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-D-D). U.N.A.M. - Pumas have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-L-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Toluca won 2, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 1 and 6 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 89% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Toluca and 1.1 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. It gives Toluca the edge (67% home win, 17% draw, 15% away win), 69% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.58.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas FAQs

What is the best prediction for Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.58 odds).

Who will win Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

Toluca are favourites: our model gives Toluca 67%, the draw 17% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 61% chance in our model, and it happened in 89% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 22nd July 2026 at 04:05 at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.

Who is the referee?

Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez, Mexico is in charge of this game.