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Toluca vs FC Juarez Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga MX · Apertura - 6
Toluca

Toluca

5th in table
LLDDD
Full time
4:0
HT 2 - 0
FC Juarez

FC Juarez

18th in table
DLLDW
10' Helinho
34' J. Murillo (Own Goal)
35' Helinho
58' Francisco Nevarez
73' O. Virgen
79' F. Vinas
Monday, 31 August 2026
Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca
Abraham de Jesus Quirarte Contreras, Mexico

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Toluca wins
3Draws
1FC Juarez wins
3.1Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
08 Mar 2026Liga MX Toluca 3 - 1 FC Juarez
30 Nov 2025Liga MX Toluca 0 - 0 FC Juarez
27 Nov 2025Liga MX FC Juarez 1 - 2 Toluca
12 Aug 2025Liga MX FC Juarez 0 - 2 Toluca
22 Feb 2025Liga MX FC Juarez 0 - 4 Toluca
14 Jul 2024Liga MX Toluca 3 - 2 FC Juarez
09 Mar 2024Liga MX FC Juarez 1 - 1 Toluca
16 Jul 2023Liga MX Toluca 2 - 4 FC Juarez
23 Apr 2023Liga MX Toluca 1 - 1 FC Juarez

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Club America 14842 34:19 +15 28 DLWWD
2 Atlas 15834 26:26 0 27 WWLWD
3 Cruz Azul 14824 32:23 +9 26 WWWDD
4 Guadalajara Chivas 14752 21:12 +9 26 WWDDL
5 Toluca 14653 29:19 +10 23 DDDLD
6 Leon 14644 21:18 +3 22 DWLDW
7 Club Tijuana 14563 22:18 +4 21 DWDDD
8 Monterrey 13625 23:18 +5 20 LWWDL
9 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15555 22:24 -2 20 WDLWD
10 Club Queretaro 14626 18:21 -3 20 LLLLW
11 Santos Laguna 14617 20:20 0 19 LWWWW
12 Atletico San Luis 15546 19:23 -4 19 LWWDL
13 CF Pachuca 14446 22:19 +3 16 WLLDL
14 Puebla 15447 17:23 -6 16 LLLDD
15 Tigres UANL 14365 15:19 -4 15 DLDWW
16 Atlante FC 14356 14:20 -6 14 LWLLW
17 Necaxa 14248 16:27 -11 10 DLLDL
18 FC Juarez 152211 12:34 -22 8 WDLLD

Top scorers

Liga MX
1 S. RondónCF Pachuca 13goals 1assists 14apps
2 J. BrunettaTigres UANL 8goals 4assists 13apps
3 JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 8goals 1assists 14apps
4 H. MartínClub America 8goals 3assists 12apps
5 F. ViñasToluca 7goals 0assists 11apps
6 J. CarranzaNecaxa 7goals 2assists 13apps
7 M. BorjaClub America 6goals 0assists 7apps
8 L. OcamposMonterrey 6goals 3assists 11apps
9 Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6goals 0assists 14apps
10 D. RossiMonterrey 5goals 3assists 12apps

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Liga MX Leon 1 - 1 Toluca D
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Toluca 2 - 2 Club Tijuana D
18 Oct 2026Liga MX Toluca 1 - 1 Atletico San Luis D
10 Oct 2026Liga MX Tigres UANL 3 - 2 Toluca L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca L
26 Sep 2026Liga MX Cruz Azul 3 - 3 Toluca D
21 Sep 2026Liga MX Toluca 2 - 3 Santos Laguna L
16 Sep 2026Liga MX Puebla 0 - 1 Toluca W
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Toluca 5 - 2 Atlas W
07 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Monterrey W
2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga MX FC Juarez 3 - 1 Club Queretaro W
24 Oct 2026Liga MX Necaxa 1 - 1 FC Juarez D
21 Oct 2026Liga MX FC Juarez 0 - 1 Atlante FC L
18 Oct 2026Liga MX Cruz Azul 5 - 0 FC Juarez L
10 Oct 2026Liga MX FC Juarez 1 - 1 Club Tijuana D
28 Sep 2026Liga MX Leon 2 - 1 FC Juarez L
19 Sep 2026Liga MX FC Juarez 2 - 0 Tigres UANL W
14 Sep 2026Liga MX Santos Laguna 2 - 1 FC Juarez L
05 Sep 2026Liga MX FC Juarez 0 - 2 CF Pachuca L
31 Aug 2026Liga MX Toluca 4 - 0 FC Juarez L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Toluca Draw FC Juarez

Most likely scores

2-0 8.9%
2-1 8.9%
3-0 8.2%
3-1 8.2%
1-0 6.5%
1-1 6.5%

Expected goals: 2.75 Toluca · 1 FC Juarez

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
100%
Form
0%
73%
Attack
27%
79%
Defence
21%
89%
Goal model
11%
93%
Head to head
7%
85%
Goals
15%
83%
Overall
16%

Season numbers

Liga MX 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
3
Toluca FC Juarez

Side by side

Toluca FC Juarez
5 Played 5
3 Won 0
1 Drawn 0
1 Lost 5
1.6 Goals scored per game 0.6
0.8 Goals conceded per game 3
2 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 0.7 / 0.5
2 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 0
3-1 Biggest win -
1-2 Biggest defeat 1-5
2/2 Penalties scored 0/0

Toluca vs FC Juarez: preview and prediction

Toluca host FC Juarez in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 6) on Monday, 31st August 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca. Toluca sit 5th in the table and FC Juarez 18th.

Toluca are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-D-D). FC Juarez have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Toluca won 5, FC Juarez won 1 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 2.75 goals for Toluca and 1 for FC Juarez. It gives Toluca the edge (73% home win, 15% draw, 11% away win), 72% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.27. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Toluca vs FC Juarez FAQs

What is the best prediction for Toluca vs FC Juarez?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.27 odds).

Who will win Toluca vs FC Juarez?

Toluca are favourites: our model gives Toluca 73%, the draw 15% and FC Juarez 11%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.8 goals in total, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Toluca vs FC Juarez?

Kick-off is on Monday, 31st August 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.

Who is the referee?

Abraham de Jesus Quirarte Contreras, Mexico is in charge of this game.