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Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 1
Tlaxcala

Tlaxcala

12th in table
LWDWD
Full time
2:4
HT 0 - 2
Leones Negros UDG

Leones Negros UDG

2nd in table
LWWDL
14' K. Loera
20' O. Gonzalez
32' O. Gil
35' E. Hernandez
41' A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago
48' D. Alvarez
51' B. Flores
59' J. Marchand
72' B. Flores
79' Christian
84' D. Munoz
90+6' C. Gonzalez
Saturday, 25 July 2026
Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala
L. A. Garcia Olvera

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Tlaxcala wins
1Draws
6Leones Negros UDG wins
3.9Goals per game
67%Both scored
89%Over 2.5
08 Feb 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 5 - 2 Leones Negros UDG
31 Aug 2025Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 2 - 2 Tlaxcala
02 Feb 2025Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 5 - 1 Tlaxcala
18 Aug 2024Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 1 - 2 Leones Negros UDG
24 Mar 2024Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 0 - 4 Leones Negros UDG
29 Oct 2023Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 2 - 1 Tlaxcala
31 Mar 2023Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 3 - 0 Tlaxcala
01 Sep 2022Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 2 - 0 Leones Negros UDG
20 Mar 2022Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 1 - 2 Leones Negros UDG

Liga de Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 CA La Paz 13733 30:17 +13 24 DWLWW
2 Leones Negros UDG 13733 29:19 +10 24 LDWWL
3 Monarcas 13724 23:15 +8 23 LDDLW
4 Piratas 13634 21:14 +7 21 WLWLW
5 Venados FC 13634 28:23 +5 21 DDWWL
6 Durango 13634 16:11 +5 21 WDWWW
7 Cancún 13544 22:18 +4 19 DDWLW
8 Mineros de Zacatecas 13535 26:23 +3 18 LDLWW
9 Tapatío 13526 23:25 -2 17 LWLLW
10 Dorados 13445 23:24 -1 16 WLLLD
11 Correcaminos Uat 13445 21:22 -1 16 LLDWL
12 Tlaxcala 13445 25:27 -2 16 DWDWL
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 13517 12:24 -12 16 WWLLL
14 CDS Tampico Madero 13436 14:20 -6 15 WDLLD
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 13355 16:20 -4 14 WWDLL
16 Tepatitlán 132110 10:37 -27 7 LLDWL

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 2 - 2 Tlaxcala D
10 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 4 - 2 Piratas W
04 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 1 - 1 Tlaxcala D
26 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 4 - 1 Cancún W
20 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tapatío 4 - 0 Tlaxcala L
12 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 3 - 1 CDS Tampico Madero W
05 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Durango 1 - 1 Tlaxcala D
29 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 3 - 1 Venados FC W
21 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tepatitlán 3 - 2 Tlaxcala L
16 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 2 - 2 Tlaxcala D
5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 1 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca L
10 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 1 - 1 Leones Negros UDG D
04 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 6 - 3 Dorados W
26 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1 - 2 Leones Negros UDG W
20 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 2 - 0 Leones Negros UDG L
13 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 2 - 2 CA La Paz D
06 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tapatío 1 - 3 Leones Negros UDG W
30 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 1 - 1 Piratas D
23 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Durango 1 - 2 Leones Negros UDG W
16 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 4 - 0 CDS Tampico Madero W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Tlaxcala Draw Leones Negros UDG
Value spotted: Leones Negros UDG win at 4.58 (model 30% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Tlaxcala · 1.1 Leones Negros UDG

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
29%
Head to head
71%
38%
Goals
63%
33%
Overall
67%

Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG: preview and prediction

Tlaxcala host Leones Negros UDG in the Mexico Liga de Expansión MX (Apertura - 1) on Saturday, 25th July 2026 at 23:00 at Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala. Tlaxcala sit 12th in the table and Leones Negros UDG 2nd.

Tlaxcala have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-D). Leones Negros UDG have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Tlaxcala won 2, Leones Negros UDG won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 89%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.1 for Leones Negros UDG. It gives Tlaxcala the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.92.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG FAQs

What is the best prediction for Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.92 odds).

Who will win Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG?

Tlaxcala are favourites: our model gives Tlaxcala 44%, the draw 27% and Leones Negros UDG 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 25th July 2026 at 23:00 at Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala.

Who is the referee?

L. A. Garcia Olvera is in charge of this game.