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Thailand vs Malaysia Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: ASEAN Championship · Group Stage - 3
Thailand

Thailand

DWWLD
Full time
2:0
HT 1 - 0
Malaysia

Malaysia

LWDWW
38' Y. Burapha (Penalty)
44' S. Ratree
56' T. Poeiphimai
Saturday, 1 August 2026
Rajamangala Stadium, Bangkok
Kim Woo-Sung

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Thailand wins
2Draws
4Malaysia wins
2.2Goals per game
33%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
14 Dec 2024ASEAN Championship Thailand 1 - 0 Malaysia
10 Jan 2023AFF Championship Thailand 3 - 0 Malaysia
07 Jan 2023AFF Championship Malaysia 1 - 0 Thailand
15 Jun 2021World Cup - Qualification Asia Thailand 0 - 1 Malaysia
14 Nov 2019World Cup - Qualification Asia Malaysia 2 - 1 Thailand
05 Dec 2018AFF Championship Thailand 2 - 2 Malaysia
01 Dec 2018AFF Championship Malaysia 0 - 0 Thailand
20 Dec 2014AFF Championship Malaysia 3 - 2 Thailand
17 Dec 2014AFF Championship Thailand 2 - 0 Malaysia

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026FIFA Asean Cup Indonesia 2 - 2 Thailand D
02 Oct 2026FIFA Asean Cup Thailand 1 - 2 Philippines L
29 Sep 2026FIFA Asean Cup Thailand 2 - 0 Vietnam W
26 Sep 2026FIFA Asean Cup Pakistan 0 - 4 Thailand W
26 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Vietnam 2 - 2 Thailand D
22 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Thailand 0 - 2 Vietnam L
18 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Thailand 1 - 2 Singapore L
15 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Singapore 1 - 3 Thailand W
08 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Thailand 2 - 0 Myanmar W
04 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Philippines 0 - 1 Thailand W
6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026FIFA Asean Cup Malaysia 1 - 0 Vietnam W
01 Oct 2026FIFA Asean Cup Malaysia 6 - 0 Singapore W
28 Sep 2026FIFA Asean Cup Malaysia 0 - 0 Indonesia D
25 Sep 2026FIFA Asean Cup Bangladesh 0 - 3 Malaysia W
19 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Vietnam 2 - 0 Malaysia L
16 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Malaysia 0 - 2 Vietnam L
08 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Malaysia 1 - 0 Philippines W
01 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Thailand 2 - 0 Malaysia L
28 Jul 2026ASEAN Championship Malaysia 4 - 0 Laos W
25 Jul 2026ASEAN Championship Myanmar 1 - 2 Malaysia W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Thailand Draw Malaysia
Value spotted: Malaysia win at 5.86 (model 25% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

2-1 6.1%
2-2 6.1%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 6.1%
4-1 4.5%
4-2 4.5%

Expected goals: 3 Thailand · 2 Malaysia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals72%
Both teams score81%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
33%
Form
67%
45%
Attack
55%
100%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
40%
Head to head
60%
56%
Goals
44%
43%
Overall
56%

Season numbers

ASEAN Championship 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
Thailand Malaysia

Side by side

Thailand Malaysia
1 Played 2
1 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
5 Goals scored per game 3
0 Goals conceded per game 0.5
0 / 5 Scored per game (home / away) 4 / 2
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 2
0-5 Biggest win 4-0
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Thailand vs Malaysia: preview and prediction

Thailand host Malaysia in the World ASEAN Championship (Group Stage - 3) on Saturday, 1st August 2026 at 14:00 at Rajamangala Stadium, Bangkok.

Thailand have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-L-D). Malaysia are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Thailand won 3, Malaysia won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 3 goals for Thailand and 2 for Malaysia. It gives Thailand the edge (57% home win, 17% draw, 25% away win), 86% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.46. We also like BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Thailand vs Malaysia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Thailand vs Malaysia?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.46 odds).

Who will win Thailand vs Malaysia?

Thailand are favourites: our model gives Thailand 57%, the draw 17% and Malaysia 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 81% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5 goals in total, with a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Thailand vs Malaysia?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 1st August 2026 at 14:00 at Rajamangala Stadium, Bangkok.

Who is the referee?

Kim Woo-Sung is in charge of this game.