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Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II Prediction, H2H & Stats

Estonia: Esiliiga A · Regular Season - 13
Tartu Welco

Tartu Welco

1st in table
WWWWW
Full time
4:2
HT 2 - 2
Nõmme Kalju II

Nõmme Kalju II

10th in table
LLDLL
23' A. Kiisel
28' J. Raudmae
32' R. Salu
45' J. Pihkva
46' M. Mugra
69' R. Roots
Thursday, 28 May 2026
Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
6Tartu Welco wins
0Draws
1Nõmme Kalju II wins
4Goals per game
43%Both scored
86%Over 2.5
11 Apr 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 1 - 5 Tartu Welco
23 Oct 2025Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 5 - 2 Nõmme Kalju II
19 Jul 2025Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 0 - 3 Tartu Welco
19 Jun 2025Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 0 - 1 Nõmme Kalju II
01 May 2025Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 0 - 4 Tartu Welco
11 Nov 2018Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 1 - 3 Tartu Welco
26 Aug 2018Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 3 - 0 Nõmme Kalju II

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Tartu Welco 352456 101:45 +56 77 WWWWW
2 Viimsi 3517711 62:35 +27 58 LDWWL
3 FCI Levadia II 3417314 69:59 +10 54 WDWWW
4 Flora II 3415712 78:60 +18 52 LDWLD
5 Elva 35141011 50:51 -1 52 DDDLD
6 Maardu 3212911 47:59 -12 45 WWWLW
7 Tallinna Kalev 3411815 59:63 -4 41 DWLLL
8 Nõmme United II 3511717 58:71 -13 40 WLLLW
9 FC Tallinn 3510817 44:80 -36 38 LWLLW
10 Nõmme Kalju II 356623 40:85 -45 24 LLDLL

Top scorers

Esiliiga A
1 E. KouadioMaardu 3goals 2assists 5apps
2 Kevon EvansElva 1goals 0assists 1apps
3 John-Paul MbuthiaElva 1goals 0assists 1apps
4 Matvei GuljajevFCI Levadia II 0goals 1assists 1apps
5 Ismail SorokaFC Tallinn 0goals 1assists 1apps
6 Andres KiiselNõmme Kalju II 0goals 1assists 1apps

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Flora II 1 - 2 Tartu Welco W
23 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 3 - 2 Tallinna Kalev W
18 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 4 - 3 Nõmme United II W
15 Oct 2026Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 0 - 7 Tartu Welco W
09 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 4 - 0 Elva W
17 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Viimsi 0 - 2 Tartu Welco W
14 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 3 - 0 Nõmme Kalju II W
10 Sep 2026Esiliiga A FCI Levadia II 0 - 0 Tartu Welco D
05 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Tallinna Kalev 1 - 1 Tartu Welco D
29 Aug 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 1 - 3 Viimsi L
1 W 1 D 7 L in the last 9
29 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Tallinna Kalev 3 - 1 Nõmme Kalju II L
24 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 1 - 2 FC Tallinn L
18 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 0 - 0 Elva D
14 Oct 2026Esiliiga A FCI Levadia II 1 - 0 Nõmme Kalju II L
21 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 2 - 3 Nõmme United II L
14 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 3 - 0 Nõmme Kalju II L
10 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 1 - 5 Flora II L
06 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Elva 1 - 0 Nõmme Kalju II L
29 Aug 2026Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 0 - 2 Nõmme Kalju II W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Tartu Welco Draw Nõmme Kalju II
Value spotted: Nõmme Kalju II win at 9.35 (model 25% vs market 10%)

Most likely scores

2-1 6.1%
2-2 6.1%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 6.1%
4-1 4.5%
4-2 4.5%

Expected goals: 3 Tartu Welco · 2 Nõmme Kalju II

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals72%
Both teams score81%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
50%
Attack
50%
47%
Defence
53%
66%
Goal model
34%
80%
Head to head
20%
81%
Goals
19%
61%
Overall
38%

Season numbers

Esiliiga A 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
4
2
31-45'
4
7
46-60'
0
5
61-75'
4
8
76-90'
4
0
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
6
4
46-60'
5
2
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
8
Tartu Welco Nõmme Kalju II

Side by side

Tartu Welco Nõmme Kalju II
12 Played 11
8 Won 4
2 Drawn 2
2 Lost 5
2.8 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.3 Goals conceded per game 2.3
3.4 / 2.4 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 2.2
3 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 3
6 Longest winning run 2
5-1 Biggest win 3-2
2-0 Biggest defeat 1-5
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II: preview and prediction

Tartu Welco host Nõmme Kalju II in the Estonia Esiliiga A (Regular Season - 13) on Thursday, 28th May 2026 at 17:00 at Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu. Tartu Welco sit 1st in the table and Nõmme Kalju II 10th.

Tartu Welco are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Nõmme Kalju II are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-L-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Tartu Welco won 6, Nõmme Kalju II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 4 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 86%.

Our goal model expects about 3 goals for Tartu Welco and 2 for Nõmme Kalju II. It gives Tartu Welco the edge (57% home win, 17% draw, 25% away win), 86% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II FAQs

What is the best prediction for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Our top tip is Banker: Home Win.

Who will win Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Tartu Welco are favourites: our model gives Tartu Welco 57%, the draw 17% and Nõmme Kalju II 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 81% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5 goals in total, with a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 28th May 2026 at 17:00 at Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu.