Tapatío vs Tepatitlán Prediction, H2H & Stats
Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX
· Apertura - 10 Head to head
Last 9 meetings
2 - 0
Tapatío
1 - 3
Tepatitlán
1 - 0
Tapatío
1 - 1
Tepatitlán
1 - 1
Tapatío
2 - 0
Tepatitlán
0 - 4
Tapatío
2 - 2
Tepatitlán
0 - 2
Tepatitlán
Liga de Expansión MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz |
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 30:17 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG |
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 |  Monarcas |
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Piratas |
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | +7 | 21 |
| 5 |  Venados FC |
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28:23 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 |  Durango |
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | +5 | 21 |
| 7 |  Cancún |
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  Mineros de Zacatecas |
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:23 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Tapatío |
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 |  Dorados |
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Correcaminos Uat |
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tlaxcala |
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero |
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán |
13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10:37 | -27 | 7 |
Recent form
5 - 0
Tapatío
L
4 - 1
Tepatitlán
W
2 - 4
CA La Paz
L
1 - 0
Tapatío
L
4 - 0
Tlaxcala
W
3 - 1
Tapatío
L
1 - 3
Leones Negros UDG
L
1 - 1
Tapatío
D
4 - 2
Mineros de Zacatecas
W
2 - 3
Tapatío
W
3 - 0
Tepatitlán
L
4 - 1
Tepatitlán
L
1 - 1
Monarcas
D
3 - 1
CDS Tampico Madero
W
0 - 1
Mineros de Zacatecas
L
5 - 0
Tepatitlán
L
1 - 4
Dorados
L
6 - 0
Tepatitlán
L
3 - 2
Tlaxcala
W
1 - 0
Tepatitlán
L
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 2.9 Tapatío · 0.9 Tepatitlán
Goal lines
Team comparison
Season numbers
Liga de Expansión MX 2026When the goals come
Side by side
Tapatío
Tepatitlán
Tapatío vs Tepatitlán: preview and prediction
Tapatío host Tepatitlán in the Mexico Liga de Expansión MX (Apertura - 10) on Wednesday, 14th October 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Akron, Zapopan. Tapatío sit 9th in the table and Tepatitlán 16th.
Tapatío are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-L). Tepatitlán are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-L-L).
In the last 9 meetings, Tapatío won 2, Tepatitlán won 4 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.
Our goal model expects about 2.9 goals for Tapatío and 0.9 for Tepatitlán. It gives Tapatío the edge (77% home win, 13% draw, 9% away win), 72% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.
Our pick was Over 1.5 at odds of 1.10. We also like Home Wins Either Half.
Tapatío vs Tepatitlán FAQs
What is the best prediction for Tapatío vs Tepatitlán?
Our top tip is Banker: Over 1.5 (1.10 odds).
Who will win Tapatío vs Tepatitlán?
Tapatío are favourites: our model gives Tapatío 77%, the draw 13% and Tepatitlán 9%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 3.8 goals in total, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Tapatío vs Tepatitlán?
Kick-off is on Wednesday, 14th October 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Akron, Zapopan.
Who is the referee?
J. M. Negrete Preciado is in charge of this game.