Sweden vs Romania Prediction, H2H & Stats
World: UEFA Nations League
· League B - 1 Head to head
Last 3 meetings
0 - 2
Sweden
2 - 1
Romania
1 - 0
Sweden
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Poland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
Top scorers
UEFA Nations League
H. Kane
England
6goals
M. Olise
France
4goals
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4goals
L. Walta
Finland
4goals
V. GyökeresSweden
4goals
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4goals
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3goals
Mikel MerinoSpain
3goals
Gonçalo Ramos
Portugal
3goals
João FélixPortugal
3goals
Recent form
0 - 1
Sweden
W
1 - 1
Sweden
D
3 - 1
Poland
W
2 - 1
Romania
W
3 - 0
Sweden
L
1 - 1
Sweden
D
5 - 1
Sweden
L
5 - 1
Tunisia
W
2 - 2
Greece
D
3 - 1
Sweden
L
0 - 1
Sweden
L
6 - 0
Romania
L
2 - 4
Bosnia & Herzegovina
L
2 - 1
Romania
L
2 - 1
Wales
W
1 - 1
Romania
D
2 - 0
Romania
L
1 - 0
Romania
L
7 - 1
San Marino
W
3 - 1
Romania
L
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 1.4 Sweden · 1.1 Romania
Goal lines
Team comparison
Sweden vs Romania: preview and prediction
Sweden host Romania in the World UEFA Nations League (League B - 1) on Friday, 25th September 2026 at 19:45 at Strawberry Arena, Solna. Sweden sit 1st in the table and Romania 4th.
Sweden are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-W). Romania are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L).
In the last 3 meetings, Sweden won 2, Romania won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Sweden and 1.1 for Romania. It gives Sweden the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.67. We also like BTTS Yes.
Sweden vs Romania FAQs
What is the best prediction for Sweden vs Romania?
Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.67 odds).
Who will win Sweden vs Romania?
Sweden are favourites: our model gives Sweden 44%, the draw 27% and Romania 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Sweden vs Romania?
Kick-off is on Friday, 25th September 2026 at 19:45 at Strawberry Arena, Solna.
Who is the referee?
Ondrej Berka, Czechia is in charge of this game.