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SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg

5th in table
LWLLW
Full time
4:1
HT 3 - 0
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

8th in table
LWLLL
4' Phillipp Mwene
7' Felix Keidel
26' Francis Onyeka
33' Danny da Costa
45+1' Maurice Krattenmacher
75' Ransford Königsdörffer
85' Stefan Posch
90' Cole Campbell
90+2' Benedict Hollerbach
90+5' Stefan Posch
Friday, 30 October 2026
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
Sascha Stegemann

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0SV Elversberg wins
1Draws
1FSV Mainz 05 wins
2.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
12 Aug 2023DFB Pokal SV Elversberg 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05
08 Aug 2021DFB Pokal SV Elversberg 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 7520 25:6 +19 17 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 7520 12:4 +8 17 WDDWW
3 SC Freiburg 7412 16:9 +7 13 LLWDW
4 Bayer Leverkusen 7412 16:12 +4 13 LWWWD
5 SV Elversberg 8413 16:16 0 13 WLWLD
6 RB Leipzig 7403 20:11 +9 12 WLWLW
7 Werder Bremen 7331 15:14 +1 12 WDDWD
8 FSV Mainz 05 8314 17:17 0 10 LLWLW
9 FC Augsburg 7232 17:13 +4 9 DLDLD
10 1899 Hoffenheim 7304 14:14 0 9 WWLLW
11 Hamburger SV 7304 6:16 -10 9 LWWWL
12 1. FC Köln 7223 8:11 -3 8 DLWLD
13 SC Paderborn 07 7223 6:9 -3 8 WDLWL
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 7223 10:17 -7 8 LWLDW
15 VfB Stuttgart 7205 10:13 -3 6 LLWLL
16 FC Schalke 04 7133 4:7 -3 6 DLLDW
17 Union Berlin 7133 6:18 -12 6 DDWLL
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 7106 11:22 -11 3 WLLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 8goals 0assists 7apps
2 M. OliseBayern München 6goals 3assists 7apps
3 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 6goals 2assists 7apps
4 Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt 5goals 1assists 7apps
5 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 5goals 0assists 7apps
6 C. NkunkuRB Leipzig 4goals 1assists 6apps
7 L. DíazBayern München 4goals 1assists 6apps
8 Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg 4goals 0assists 6apps
9 H. KaneBayern München 4goals 5assists 7apps
10 M. GregoritschFC Augsburg 4goals 0assists 7apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 4 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 W
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal SV Elversberg 0 - 2 SV Darmstadt 98 L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 4 - 0 SV Elversberg L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 4 - 3 FC Augsburg W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 1 - 0 SV Elversberg L
24 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Waldhof Mannheim 2 - 1 SV Elversberg L
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 0 SV Elversberg D
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern München L
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 SV Elversberg W
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 3 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 4 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 L
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal VfL Bochum 2 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2 - 3 Werder Bremen L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Waldhof Mannheim 0 - 3 FSV Mainz 05 W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt L
06 Sep 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 W
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
SV Elversberg Draw FSV Mainz 05
Value spotted: FSV Mainz 05 win at 2.00 (model 57% vs market 47%)

Most likely scores

1-2 6.9%
1-3 6.5%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 6%
1-1 5%
2-1 4.6%

Expected goals: 1.85 SV Elversberg · 2.8 FSV Mainz 05

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals83%
Over 3.5 goals67%
Both teams score78%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
31%
Attack
69%
57%
Defence
43%
18%
Goal model
82%
20%
Head to head
80%
40%
Goals
60%
34%
Overall
65%

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
3
0
31-45'
4
1
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
5
1
0-15'
5
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
2
7
76-90'
0
SV Elversberg FSV Mainz 05

Side by side

SV Elversberg FSV Mainz 05
7 Played 7
3 Won 3
1 Drawn 1
3 Lost 3
1.7 Goals scored per game 2.3
2.1 Goals conceded per game 1.9
2.7 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 3.3
1 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 1
4-3 Biggest win 0-5
1-2 Biggest defeat 1-3
0/2 Penalties scored 0/1

What comes next

SV Elversberg
Borussia Dortmund (A) 07 Nov
SC Freiburg (H) 21 Nov
1. FC Köln (A) 28 Nov
VfB Stuttgart (H) 05 Dec
SC Paderborn 07 (A) 12 Dec
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München (H) 07 Nov
FC Augsburg (A) 22 Nov
Union Berlin (H) 28 Nov
RB Leipzig (A) 05 Dec
SC Freiburg (H) 12 Dec
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

SV Elversberg
+ N. Darvich Hamstring Injury
+ J. Gyamerah Thigh Injury
+ L. Seifert Ankle Injury
+ T. Zimmerschied Ankle Injury
FSV Mainz 05
+ D. Kohr Foot Injury
+ O. Ruoppi Knee Injury
+ Silas Broken shinbone

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
SV Elversberg 3.50 29% implied
Draw 3.70 27% implied
FSV Mainz 05 2.00 50% implied
SV Elversberg 2.50 40% implied
FSV Mainz 05 1.50 67% implied
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00 6% implied
Over 1.5 1.14 88% implied Our tip
Under 1.5 5.50 18% implied
Over 2.5 1.50 67% implied Our tip
Under 2.5 2.62 38% implied
Over 3.5 2.20 45% implied Our tip
Under 3.5 1.67 60% implied
Over 4.5 4.00 25% implied
Under 4.5 1.25 80% implied
SV Elversberg/Draw 13.00 8% implied
SV Elversberg/FSV Mainz 05 19.00 5% implied
Draw/FSV Mainz 05 5.50 18% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50 15% implied
SV Elversberg/SV Elversberg 5.50 18% implied
Draw/SV Elversberg 8.00 13% implied
FSV Mainz 05/SV Elversberg 26.00 4% implied
FSV Mainz 05/Draw 13.00 8% implied
FSV Mainz 05/FSV Mainz 05 3.10 32% implied
Yes 1.44 69% implied Our tip
No 2.62 38% implied
1:1 7.50 13% implied
1:2 9.00 11% implied
2:2 11.00 9% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
0:1 12.00 8% implied
0:2 13.00 8% implied
1:3 15.00 7% implied
1:0 17.00 6% implied
SV Elversberg/Draw 1.80 56% implied
SV Elversberg/FSV Mainz 05 1.25 80% implied
Draw/FSV Mainz 05 1.30 77% implied
SV Elversberg 3.50 29% implied
Draw 2.40 42% implied
FSV Mainz 05 2.60 38% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: preview and prediction

SV Elversberg host FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8) on Friday, 30th October 2026 at 20:30 at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg. SV Elversberg sit 5th in the table and FSV Mainz 05 8th.

SV Elversberg are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W). FSV Mainz 05 are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L).

In the last 2 meetings, SV Elversberg won 0, FSV Mainz 05 won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.85 goals for SV Elversberg and 2.8 for FSV Mainz 05. It gives FSV Mainz 05 the edge (25% home win, 17% draw, 57% away win), 83% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.42. We also like Over 2.5, HT Over 0.5, Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

What is the best prediction for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our top tip is Super Single: BTTS Yes (1.42 odds).

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 are favourites: our model gives SV Elversberg 25%, the draw 17% and FSV Mainz 05 57%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 78% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.7 goals in total, with a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Kick-off is on Friday, 30th October 2026 at 20:30 at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg.

Who is the referee?

Sascha Stegemann is in charge of this game.