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Super Nova vs Tukums Prediction, H2H & Stats

Latvia: Virsliga · Regular Season - 30
Super Nova

Super Nova

6th in table
LLWLL
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Tukums

Tukums

9th in table
WLDLL
77' K. Romanovs
Thursday, 10 September 2026
Jana Skredela stadions, Riga
A. Kenins

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Super Nova wins
3Draws
2Tukums wins
2.4Goals per game
78%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
11 Jul 2026Cup Tukums 1 - 2 Super Nova
01 Jul 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 2 Super Nova
11 May 2026Virsliga Super Nova 1 - 1 Tukums
22 Mar 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 2 Super Nova
28 Sep 2025Virsliga Tukums 2 - 1 Super Nova
06 Jul 2025Virsliga Super Nova 1 - 0 Tukums
16 May 2025Virsliga Super Nova 1 - 1 Tukums
31 Mar 2025Virsliga Tukums 2 - 2 Super Nova
17 Sep 2023Virsliga Tukums 1 - 0 Super Nova

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Rīgas FS 332652 81:24 +57 83 WWWDW
2 Riga 332472 90:31 +59 79 WWWWD
3 Auda 331977 53:34 +19 64 LWDWD
4 FK Liepaja 3313713 46:46 0 46 WLDDD
5 BFC Daugavpils 3312912 39:37 +2 45 WWDLD
6 Super Nova 3311517 32:47 -15 38 LLWLL
7 FS Jelgava 338817 34:56 -22 32 LLLDL
8 Grobiņa 3361116 25:56 -31 29 WLDDL
9 Tukums 335919 44:65 -21 24 LLDLW
10 Ogre United 334623 33:81 -48 18 LLWLD

Top scorers

Virsliga
1 PauloRiga 3goals 1assists 15apps
2 M. OšsSuper Nova 3goals 0assists 32apps
3 M. BadamosiRiga 2goals 0assists 30apps
4 A. TraoreBFC Daugavpils 2goals 0assists 29apps
5 J. EdeFK Liepaja 2goals 0assists 28apps
6 R. ĶiršsSuper Nova 2goals 0assists 19apps
7 A. AppiahAuda 2goals 0assists 14apps
8 D. KiwindaBFC Daugavpils 1goals 2assists 19apps
9 R. ŠitjakovsSuper Nova 1goals 1assists 30apps
10 J. GeroldAuda 1goals 1assists 26apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Virsliga Riga 2 - 1 Super Nova L
15 Oct 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 4 - 0 Super Nova L
10 Oct 2026Virsliga Super Nova 2 - 1 Grobiņa W
20 Sep 2026Virsliga Ogre United 1 - 0 Super Nova L
15 Sep 2026Virsliga Super Nova 0 - 1 Riga L
10 Sep 2026Virsliga Super Nova 1 - 0 Tukums W
05 Sep 2026Virsliga FS Jelgava 0 - 1 Super Nova W
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 1 Super Nova D
22 Aug 2026Virsliga Super Nova 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D
16 Aug 2026Cup Super Nova 0 - 1 Rīgas FS L
2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
19 Oct 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 2 - 0 Tukums L
10 Oct 2026Virsliga Tukums 0 - 2 Riga L
20 Sep 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 1 Grobiņa D
10 Sep 2026Virsliga Super Nova 1 - 0 Tukums L
05 Sep 2026Virsliga Tukums 2 - 1 Ogre United W
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 4 FS Jelgava L
21 Aug 2026Virsliga Auda 3 - 0 Tukums L
08 Aug 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums L
02 Aug 2026Virsliga Tukums 2 - 1 FK Liepaja W
27 Jul 2026Virsliga Tukums 0 - 1 Rīgas FS L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Super Nova Draw Tukums
Value spotted: Super Nova win at 2.40 (model 47% vs market 37%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.9%
2-1 9.2%
1-2 7.2%
1-0 6.8%
2-2 6.6%
2-0 6.3%

Expected goals: 1.85 Super Nova · 1.45 Tukums

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
57%
Form
43%
50%
Attack
50%
79%
Defence
21%
50%
Goal model
50%
71%
Head to head
29%
57%
Goals
43%
60%
Overall
39%

Season numbers

Virsliga 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
3
5
16-30'
8
8
31-45'
11
6
46-60'
5
1
61-75'
5
7
76-90'
15
2
0-15'
9
5
16-30'
9
10
31-45'
10
6
46-60'
8
3
61-75'
12
9
76-90'
7
Super Nova Tukums

Side by side

Super Nova Tukums
27 Played 29
9 Won 5
5 Drawn 8
13 Lost 16
1 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.4 Goals conceded per game 2
1.1 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.1
7 Clean sheets 1
6 Failed to score 4
3 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 6-1
1-5 Biggest defeat 1-4
5/5 Penalties scored 1/1

Super Nova vs Tukums: preview and prediction

Super Nova host Tukums in the Latvia Virsliga (Regular Season - 30) on Thursday, 10th September 2026 at 17:00 at Jana Skredela stadions, Riga. Super Nova sit 6th in the table and Tukums 9th.

Super Nova are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L). Tukums are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Super Nova won 4, Tukums won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.85 goals for Super Nova and 1.45 for Tukums. It gives Super Nova the edge (47% home win, 23% draw, 30% away win), 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.40. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Super Nova vs Tukums FAQs

What is the best prediction for Super Nova vs Tukums?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.40 odds).

Who will win Super Nova vs Tukums?

Super Nova are favourites: our model gives Super Nova 47%, the draw 23% and Tukums 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Super Nova vs Tukums?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 10th September 2026 at 17:00 at Jana Skredela stadions, Riga.

Who is the referee?

A. Kenins is in charge of this game.