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Sumqayıt vs Qarabag Prediction, H2H & Stats

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 33
Sumqayıt

Sumqayıt

7th in table
WWLWD
Full time
3:4
HT 0 - 2
Qarabag

Qarabag

2nd in table
WWDDD
3' R. Sheydayev
22' E. Addai
53' S. Abdullazada
57' S. Abdullazada
57' M. Jankovic
64' R. Sheydayev
72' R. Sheydayev
72' E. Addai
72' D. Beskorovaynyi
76' R. Ahmadzada
85' O. Kashchuk
90' E. Mustafaev
Friday, 22 May 2026
Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit
E. Bayramov

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Sumqayıt wins
0Draws
6Qarabag wins
2.5Goals per game
13%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
21 Nov 2025Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 2 - 4 Qarabag
22 Aug 2025Premyer Liqa Qarabag 0 - 1 Sumqayıt
04 May 2025Premyer Liqa Qarabag 2 - 0 Sumqayıt
03 Mar 2025Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 0 - 2 Qarabag
16 Dec 2024Premyer Liqa Qarabag 5 - 0 Sumqayıt
06 Oct 2024Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 0 - 1 Qarabag
28 Apr 2024Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 1 - 0 Qarabag
25 Feb 2024Premyer Liqa Qarabag 2 - 0 Sumqayıt

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sabah FA 332463 75:25 +50 78 WLLWW
2 Qarabag 332166 71:27 +44 69 WWDWL
3 Turan 331788 44:27 +17 59 LLWLD
4 Neftchi Baku 3316116 57:32 +25 59 WWWWW
5 Zira 3313146 43:36 +7 53 LWDWD
6 Araz 3313713 44:58 -14 46 WWLLD
7 Sumqayıt 3312516 45:49 -4 41 LLWLW
8 Şamaxı FK 3391113 31:40 -9 38 LWLLW
9 Imisli FK 3371313 23:43 -20 34 DLDWL
10 Kapaz 338322 25:61 -36 27 LLWWL
11 Qabala 337620 32:49 -17 27 WWWDL
12 Karvan 333624 23:66 -43 15 DLLLL

Top scorers

Premyer Liqa
1 JôTuran 10goals 0assists 30apps
2 C. DuránQarabag 9goals 0assists 30apps
3 V. SimićSabah FA 9goals 0assists 17apps
4 I. FarajNeftchi Baku 7goals 0assists 31apps
5 R. AlmeydaQarabag 7goals 0assists 30apps
6 V. AboubakarNeftchi Baku 7goals 0assists 16apps
7 Patrick AndradeAraz 4goals 0assists 30apps
8 Diogo Dos SantosImisli FK 4goals 0assists 16apps
9 Diogo AlmeidaImisli FK 4goals 0assists 16apps
10 H. KeytaAraz 3goals 0assists 28apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 1 - 1 Safa Baku D
27 Oct 2026Cup Kür-Araz 0 - 11 Sumqayıt W
23 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Zira 3 - 2 Sumqayıt L
16 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 2 - 1 Araz W
10 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 4 - 1 Qabala W
20 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Kapaz 1 - 1 Sumqayıt D
12 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 1 - 1 Şamaxı FK D
06 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Turan 2 - 1 Sumqayıt L
31 Aug 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 0 - 1 Qarabag L
16 Aug 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 1 - 3 Neftchi Baku L
5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 0 Qarabag D
25 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Sabah FA 0 - 0 Qarabag D
17 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 3 Neftchi Baku D
11 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Imisli FK 0 - 2 Qarabag W
18 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 1 - 0 Safa Baku W
13 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Zira 1 - 1 Qarabag D
06 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 2 Araz W
31 Aug 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 0 - 1 Qarabag W
27 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Qarabag 1 - 4 Twente L
20 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Twente 0 - 1 Qarabag W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Sumqayıt Draw Qarabag
Value spotted: Sumqayıt win at 8.75 (model 24% vs market 10%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.8%
1-2 9.8%
0-1 9.4%
0-2 8.5%
2-1 6.2%
1-0 6%

Expected goals: 1.15 Sumqayıt · 1.8 Qarabag

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score57%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
37%
Attack
63%
50%
Defence
50%
28%
Goal model
72%
20%
Head to head
80%
19%
Goals
81%
33%
Overall
66%

Season numbers

Premyer Liqa 2025

When the goals come

2
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
7
7
31-45'
13
6
46-60'
10
7
61-75'
11
9
76-90'
18
4
0-15'
4
6
16-30'
2
10
31-45'
7
6
46-60'
6
9
61-75'
2
13
76-90'
6
Sumqayıt Qarabag

Side by side

Sumqayıt Qarabag
31 Played 32
11 Won 20
5 Drawn 6
15 Lost 6
1.3 Goals scored per game 2.1
1.5 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.4 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 2.2 / 2
8 Clean sheets 14
7 Failed to score 6
2 Longest winning run 4
4-1 Biggest win 7-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
3/3 Penalties scored 9/9

Sumqayıt vs Qarabag: preview and prediction

Sumqayıt host Qarabag in the Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa (Regular Season - 33) on Friday, 22nd May 2026 at 16:30 at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit. Sumqayıt sit 7th in the table and Qarabag 2nd.

Sumqayıt are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-D). Qarabag are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Sumqayıt won 2, Qarabag won 6 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 13% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Sumqayıt and 1.8 for Qarabag. It gives Qarabag the edge (24% home win, 23% draw, 53% away win), 56% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win. We also like Under 3.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Sumqayıt vs Qarabag FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sumqayıt vs Qarabag?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Away Win.

Who will win Sumqayıt vs Qarabag?

Qarabag are favourites: our model gives Sumqayıt 24%, the draw 23% and Qarabag 53%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 57% chance in our model, and it happened in 13% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Sumqayıt vs Qarabag?

Kick-off is on Friday, 22nd May 2026 at 16:30 at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit.

Who is the referee?

E. Bayramov is in charge of this game.