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Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: South Australia NPL · Regular Season - 17
Sturt Lions

Sturt Lions

9th in table
DWDDL
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Playford City Patriots

Playford City Patriots

4th in table
LWWLL
72' T. Oostra
Saturday, 4 July 2026
Karinya Reserve

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
0Sturt Lions wins
1Draws
2Playford City Patriots wins
3.3Goals per game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
11 Apr 2026South Australia NPL Playford City Patriots 2 - 1 Sturt Lions
15 Jun 2024South Australia State League 1 Sturt Lions 1 - 1 Playford City Patriots
23 Mar 2024South Australia State League 1 Playford City Patriots 4 - 1 Sturt Lions

South Australia NPL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Adelaide City 221462 44:16 +28 48 WWWWW
2 West Torrens Birkalla 221435 54:29 +25 45 LWDWW
3 MetroStars 221354 53:23 +30 44 LDWWW
4 Playford City Patriots 221057 42:31 +11 35 LLWWL
5 FK Beograd 221039 35:30 +5 33 LLLWL
6 Croydon Kings 22868 46:41 +5 30 LLDLD
7 Adelaide United II 22787 33:32 +1 29 LWDLW
8 Campbelltown City 22859 35:36 -1 29 WWLDW
9 Sturt Lions 228311 35:36 -1 27 LDDWD
10 West Adelaide 22679 40:44 -4 25 LLWWD
11 Adelaide Comets 225512 25:38 -13 20 WDLWL
12 Para Hills Knights 220220 16:102 -86 2 LLLLL

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
15 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 3 Campbelltown City L
11 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 0 - 0 Adelaide Comets D
08 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Croydon Kings 1 - 1 Sturt Lions D
25 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide United II 2 - 3 Sturt Lions W
18 Jul 2026South Australia NPL West Adelaide 0 - 0 Sturt Lions D
04 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 0 Playford City Patriots W
26 Jun 2026South Australia NPL West Torrens Birkalla 4 - 1 Sturt Lions L
20 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 6 - 0 Para Hills Knights W
13 Jun 2026South Australia NPL MetroStars 1 - 0 Sturt Lions L
05 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 4 - 1 Sturt Lions L
4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
05 Sep 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 6 - 0 Playford City Patriots L
29 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Playford City Patriots 1 - 2 Adelaide City L
22 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Playford City Patriots 3 - 0 FK Beograd W
15 Aug 2026South Australia NPL West Adelaide 1 - 2 Playford City Patriots W
07 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 1 - 0 Playford City Patriots L
01 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Playford City Patriots 0 - 1 West Torrens Birkalla L
25 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Para Hills Knights 2 - 4 Playford City Patriots W
20 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs Playford City Patriots 0 - 2 Adelaide United L
18 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Playford City Patriots 1 - 0 MetroStars W
04 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 0 Playford City Patriots L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Sturt Lions Draw Playford City Patriots
Value spotted: Sturt Lions win at 2.51 (model 44% vs market 36%)

Most likely scores

1-1 8.2%
2-1 8.2%
1-2 7.2%
2-2 7.2%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.8%

Expected goals: 2 Sturt Lions · 1.75 Playford City Patriots

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams score71%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
55%
Form
45%
59%
Attack
41%
44%
Defence
56%
52%
Goal model
48%
13%
Head to head
88%
30%
Goals
70%
42%
Overall
58%

Season numbers

South Australia NPL 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
5
2
16-30'
4
6
31-45'
1
7
46-60'
8
1
61-75'
10
7
76-90'
7
7
0-15'
5
4
16-30'
5
2
31-45'
2
8
46-60'
6
4
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
2
Sturt Lions Playford City Patriots

Side by side

Sturt Lions Playford City Patriots
16 Played 16
6 Won 7
0 Drawn 5
10 Lost 4
1.8 Goals scored per game 2.2
1.9 Goals conceded per game 1.6
2.1 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 2.6 / 1.7
3 Clean sheets 3
4 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 3
6-0 Biggest win 8-1
2-4 Biggest defeat 1-4
0/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots: preview and prediction

Sturt Lions host Playford City Patriots in the Australia South Australia NPL (Regular Season - 17) on Saturday, 4th July 2026 at 06:30 at Karinya Reserve. Sturt Lions sit 9th in the table and Playford City Patriots 4th.

Sturt Lions have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-L). Playford City Patriots are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Sturt Lions won 0, Playford City Patriots won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Sturt Lions and 1.75 for Playford City Patriots. It gives Sturt Lions the edge (44% home win, 21% draw, 34% away win), 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.41. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.41 odds).

Who will win Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?

Sturt Lions are favourites: our model gives Sturt Lions 44%, the draw 21% and Playford City Patriots 34%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 71% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.8 goals in total, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 4th July 2026 at 06:30 at Karinya Reserve.