Sturm Graz vs Marseille Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3

Sturm Graz

26th in table

LWWLW

Kick-off

17:45

Thu, 22 Oct 2026

Marseille

32nd in table

LLWLW

Thursday, 22 October 2026

Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz

Nenad Minakovic

UEFA Europa League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	7:1	+6	6	WW
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	6:0	+6	6	WW
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	6:1	+5	6	WW
4	Beşiktaş	2	2	0	0	7:3	+4	6	WW
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6	WW
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	4:0	+4	6	WW
7	Ferencvarosi TC	2	2	0	0	5:2	+3	6	WW
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	5:3	+2	6	WW
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6	WW
10	Olympiakos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6	WW
11	Sparta Praha	2	1	1	0	5:2	+3	4	DW
12	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	4:1	+3	4	DW
13	Rennes	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4	WD
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4	WD
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	6:3	+3	3	LW
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	3	WL
17	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	4:3	+1	3	WL
18	OFI	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3	LW
19	Torreense	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3	LW
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3	WL
21	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3	LW
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1	DL
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1	DL
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1	DL
25	Hapoel Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1	LD
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1	LD
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	1:6	-5	1	DL
28	Celta Vigo	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0	LL
29	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0	LL
30	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0	LL
31	Plzen	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0	LL
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0	LL
33	Celtic	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0	LL
34	Ararat-Armenia	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0	LL
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0	LL
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	0:8	-8	0	LL

Top scorers

UEFA Europa League

L. Diony

Omonia Nicosia 4goals 0assists 6apps

A. Cissè

AC Milan 3goals 0assists 2apps

K. Zachariassen

Ferencvarosi TC 3goals 2assists 10apps

Oh Hyeon-Gyu

Beşiktaş 2goals 1assists 8apps

M. van Buren

Hradec Králové 2goals 1assists 4apps

R. Kolo Muani

Juventus 2goals 1assists 2apps

L. Joseph

Ferencvarosi TC 2goals 0assists 8apps

A. Murillo

Beşiktaş 2goals 0assists 8apps

T. Guddal

Sparta Praha 2goals 0assists 4apps

T. Lehne Olsen

Lillestrom 2goals 0assists 3apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10

18 Oct 2026Bundesliga Sturm Graz

6 - 1

Grazer AK W

15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Bournemouth

3 - 0

Sturm Graz L

10 Oct 2026Bundesliga Austria Vienna

0 - 2

Sturm Graz W

02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Sturm Graz

3 - 1

Floridsdorfer AC W

20 Sep 2026Bundesliga Red Bull Salzburg

3 - 0

Sturm Graz L

16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz

0 - 0

Rennes D

13 Sep 2026Bundesliga Sturm Graz

2 - 1

Lask Linz W

05 Sep 2026Cup Voitsberg

1 - 4

Sturm Graz W

30 Aug 2026Bundesliga Rapid Vienna

3 - 1

Sturm Graz L

22 Aug 2026Bundesliga Sturm Graz

1 - 1

Austria Lustenau D

3 W 0 D 7 L in the last 10

18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Angers

2 - 5

Marseille W

15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Marseille

0 - 1

Olympiakos Piraeus L

11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes

0 - 2

Marseille W

20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille

1 - 2

Paris Saint Germain L

17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş

4 - 1

Marseille L

11 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Rennes

1 - 0

Marseille L

06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille

2 - 3

Paris FC L

30 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Monaco

2 - 0

Marseille L

21 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Marseille

4 - 0

Strasbourg W

14 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Marseille

1 - 2

Atletico Madrid L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

40% 26% 34%

Form & stats

45% 45% 10%

Bookmaker odds

24% 27% 49%

Sturm Graz Draw Marseille

Value spotted: Sturm Graz win at 3.90 (model 40% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.4%

1-0 9.9%

0-1 8.8%

2-1 8.7%

1-2 7.7%

0-0 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.4 Sturm Graz · 1.25 Marseille

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams score54%

Team comparison

100%

Form

Attack

100%

63%

Defence

38%

Goal model

Head to head

Goals

63%

Overall

38%

Season numbers

UEFA Europa League 2026

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Sturm Graz Marseille

Side by side

Sturm Graz Marseille

2 Played 2

0 Won 0

1 Drawn 0

1 Lost 2

0 Goals scored per game 0.5

1.5 Goals conceded per game 2.5

0 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 1

1 Clean sheets 0

2 Failed to score 1

0 Longest winning run 0

- Biggest win -

3-0 Biggest defeat 0-1

0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Sturm Graz

Marseille (H) 22 Oct

Ried (H) 25 Oct

Austria Lustenau (A) 29 Oct

Wolfsberger AC (A) 01 Nov

Celje (H) 05 Nov

Marseille

Sturm Graz (A) 22 Oct

Le Havre (H) 25 Oct

Toulouse (H) 01 Nov

Bayer Leverkusen (A) 05 Nov

Lens (A) 08 Nov

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Sturm Graz

+ N. Geyrhofer Off the roster

+ L. Grgic Knee Injury

+ S. Jatta Shoulder Injury

+ D. Khudyakov Inactive

+ O. Kiteishvili Calf Injury

+ G. Mamageishvili Injury

+ F. Rozga Muscle Injury

+ E. Soglo Muscle Injury

+ N. Weiper Injury

+ S. Wlodarczyk Off the roster

Marseille

+ D. Cornelius Hip Injury

+ A. Koum Mbondo Inactive

? P. Hojbjerg Muscle Injury

? F. Moumbagna Inactive

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365

Sturm Graz 3.90 26% implied

Draw 3.50 29% implied

Marseille 1.95 51% implied

Sturm Graz 2.62 38% implied

Marseille 1.44 69% implied

Over 0.5 1.04 96% implied

Under 0.5 13.00 8% implied

Over 1.5 1.22 82% implied Our tip

Under 1.5 4.33 23% implied

Over 2.5 1.73 58% implied

Under 2.5 2.10 48% implied

Over 3.5 2.62 38% implied

Under 3.5 1.50 67% implied

Over 4.5 5.00 20% implied

Under 4.5 1.17 85% implied

Sturm Graz/Draw 15.00 7% implied

Sturm Graz/Marseille 21.00 5% implied

Draw/Marseille 5.50 18% implied

Draw/Draw 6.00 17% implied

Sturm Graz/Sturm Graz 5.50 18% implied

Draw/Sturm Graz 8.00 13% implied

Marseille/Sturm Graz 29.00 3% implied

Marseille/Draw 13.00 8% implied

Marseille/Marseille 3.20 31% implied

Yes 1.57 64% implied

No 2.25 44% implied

1:1 7.00 14% implied

1:2 9.00 11% implied

0:1 9.50 11% implied

0:2 11.00 9% implied

2:2 12.00 8% implied

1:0 13.00 8% implied

2:1 13.00 8% implied

0:0 13.00 8% implied

Sturm Graz/Draw 1.80 56% implied

Sturm Graz/Marseille 1.28 78% implied

Draw/Marseille 1.28 78% implied

Sturm Graz 3.75 27% implied

Draw 2.38 42% implied

Marseille 2.60 38% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Sturm Graz vs Marseille: preview and prediction

Sturm Graz host Marseille in the World UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3) on Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 17:45 at Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz. Sturm Graz sit 26th in the table and Marseille 32nd.

Sturm Graz are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W). Marseille are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-W).

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.25 for Marseille. It gives Sturm Graz the edge (40% home win, 26% draw, 34% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is Over 1.5.

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Sturm Graz vs Marseille FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sturm Graz vs Marseille?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Over 1.5.

Who will win Sturm Graz vs Marseille?

Sturm Graz are favourites: our model gives Sturm Graz 40%, the draw 26% and Marseille 34%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Sturm Graz vs Marseille?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 17:45 at Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz.

Who is the referee?

Nenad Minakovic is in charge of this game.

Our prediction

0%confidence

Tip of the Day

Over 1.5

Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw

Match odds · Bet365

1 3.90 24%

X 3.50 27%

2 1.95 49%

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