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Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Europa Conference League · Quarter-finals
Strasbourg

Strasbourg

1st in table
LLLLW
Full time
4:0
HT 2 - 0
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

7th in table
LWLLL
-5' Robin Zentner
19' Dominik Kohr
26' S. Nanasi
35' A. Ouattara
36' Valentín Barco
45' Sebastian Nanasi
49' Samir El Mourabet
69' J. Enciso
74' E. Emegha
90+6' Martial Godo
90+4' Diego Moreira
90+3' Nikolas Veratschnig
90+3' Armindo Sieb
90+6' Nadiem Amiri
Thursday, 16 April 2026
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
J. Pinheiro

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0Strasbourg wins
1Draws
1FSV Mainz 05 wins
1Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
09 Apr 2026UEFA Europa Conference League FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 Strasbourg
09 Aug 2025Friendlies Clubs FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 Strasbourg

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Strasbourg 6510 11:5 +6 16 WWWWD
2 Raków Częstochowa 6420 9:2 +7 14 WWWDD
3 AEK Athens FC 6411 14:7 +7 13 WWWDW
4 Sparta Praha 6411 10:3 +7 13 WWWDL
5 Rayo Vallecano 6411 13:7 +6 13 WWLWD
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6411 10:5 +5 13 DWWWL
7 FSV Mainz 05 6411 7:3 +4 13 WDLWW
8 AEK Larnaca 6330 7:1 +6 12 WDDDW
9 Lausanne 6321 6:3 +3 11 WDLDW
10 Crystal Palace 6312 11:6 +5 10 DWLWL
11 Lech Poznan 6312 12:8 +4 10 WDWLL
12 Samsunspor 6312 10:6 +4 10 LLDWW
13 Celje 6312 8:7 +1 10 DLLWW
14 AZ Alkmaar 6312 7:7 0 10 DWWLW
15 Fiorentina 6303 8:5 +3 9 LWLLW
16 HNK Rijeka 6231 5:2 +3 9 DWDDW
17 Jagiellonia 6231 5:4 +1 9 DLWDD
18 Omonia Nicosia 6222 5:4 +1 8 LWWDD
19 FC Noah 6222 6:7 -1 8 LWDLD
20 Drita 6222 4:8 -4 8 LLWWD
21 KuPS 6141 6:5 +1 7 DDLWD
22 Shkendija 6213 4:5 -1 7 LWLDW
23 Zrinjski 6213 8:10 -2 7 DLWLL
24 Sigma Olomouc 6213 7:9 -2 7 LLWWD
25 Universitatea Craiova 6213 6:8 -2 7 LLWWD
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 6213 7:15 -8 7 LWLDW
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6204 9:9 0 6 WLLWL
28 Legia Warszawa 6204 8:8 0 6 WLLLW
29 Slovan Bratislava 6204 5:9 -4 6 WLWLL
30 Breidablik 6123 6:11 -5 5 LWDLD
31 Shamrock Rovers 6114 7:13 -6 4 WLLDL
32 BK Hacken 6033 5:8 -3 3 LDLLD
33 Hamrun Spartans 6105 4:11 -7 3 LLWLL
34 Shelbourne 6024 0:7 -7 2 DLLLL
35 Aberdeen 6024 3:14 -11 2 LLDDL
36 Rapid Vienna 6015 3:14 -11 1 DLLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Europa Conference League
1 T. ParrottAZ Alkmaar 10goals 2assists 13apps
2 I. SarrCrystal Palace 9goals 0assists 14apps
3 MariusSamsunspor 8goals 2assists 9apps
4 F. KovačevićCelje 8goals 0assists 7apps
5 M. IshakLech Poznan 8goals 1assists 10apps
6 S. MijnansAZ Alkmaar 7goals 3assists 13apps
7 Álvaro GarcíaRayo Vallecano 6goals 4assists 13apps
8 I. JensenAZ Alkmaar 5goals 3assists 14apps
9 N. MulahusejnovićFC Noah 5goals 1assists 9apps
10 A. KoitaAEK Athens FC 5goals 0assists 13apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 5 - 1 Auxerre W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 3 - 0 Strasbourg L
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain L
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Nice 2 - 1 Strasbourg L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 2 - 1 Strasbourg L
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco D
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 2 - 6 Strasbourg W
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 2 - 1 Lens W
21 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 0 Strasbourg L
16 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Newcastle 1 - 1 Strasbourg D
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 4 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 L
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal VfL Bochum 2 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2 - 3 Werder Bremen L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Waldhof Mannheim 0 - 3 FSV Mainz 05 W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt L
06 Sep 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 W
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Strasbourg Draw FSV Mainz 05
Value spotted: Draw at 3.90 (model 32% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

1-0 18.2%
0-0 16.5%
1-1 12.7%
0-1 11.6%
2-0 10%
2-1 7%

Expected goals: 1.1 Strasbourg · 0.7 FSV Mainz 05

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals54%
Over 2.5 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals11%
Both teams score34%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
48%
Form
52%
50%
Attack
50%
17%
Defence
83%
62%
Goal model
38%
20%
Head to head
80%
0%
Goals
100%
39%
Overall
60%

Season numbers

UEFA Europa Conference League 2025

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
5
3
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
1
Strasbourg FSV Mainz 05

Side by side

Strasbourg FSV Mainz 05
11 Played 11
7 Won 7
3 Drawn 2
1 Lost 2
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.5
1 Goals conceded per game 0.5
1.4 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 2.2 / 0.6
2 Clean sheets 6
2 Failed to score 2
5 Longest winning run 4
3-1 Biggest win 4-1
2-0 Biggest defeat 2-1
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05: preview and prediction

Strasbourg host FSV Mainz 05 in the World UEFA Europa Conference League (Quarter-finals) on Thursday, 16th April 2026 at 20:00 at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Strasbourg sit 1st in the table and FSV Mainz 05 7th.

Strasbourg are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W). FSV Mainz 05 are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L).

In the last 2 meetings, Strasbourg won 0, FSV Mainz 05 won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for Strasbourg and 0.7 for FSV Mainz 05. It gives Strasbourg the edge (45% home win, 32% draw, 23% away win), 27% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.08.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

What is the best prediction for Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.08 odds).

Who will win Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Strasbourg are favourites: our model gives Strasbourg 45%, the draw 32% and FSV Mainz 05 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 34% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.8 goals in total, with a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 16th April 2026 at 20:00 at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg.

Who is the referee?

J. Pinheiro is in charge of this game.