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Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: League Two · Regular Season - 5
Stranraer

Stranraer

1st in table
WDWWD
Full time
2:0
HT 2 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Kelty Hearts

5th in table
LWLLW
21' L. Dobbie
37' L. Dobbie
39' R. Shanley
65' G. Walker
67' C. McManus
71' J. Hislop
76' F. Moffett
Saturday, 29 August 2026
Stair Park, Stranraer

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
1Stranraer wins
0Draws
6Kelty Hearts wins
3.3Goals per game
29%Both scored
71%Over 2.5
06 Sep 2025Challenge Cup Kelty Hearts 3 - 0 Stranraer
25 Jul 2023League Cup Kelty Hearts 2 - 0 Stranraer
16 Apr 2022League Two Stranraer 0 - 3 Kelty Hearts
29 Jan 2022League Two Kelty Hearts 3 - 2 Stranraer
18 Dec 2021League Two Stranraer 0 - 4 Kelty Hearts
25 Sep 2021League Two Kelty Hearts 1 - 0 Stranraer
09 Jan 2021FA Cup Kelty Hearts 2 - 3 Stranraer

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stranraer 12732 25:9 +16 24 DWWDW
2 Clyde 12732 27:18 +9 24 DWWLD
3 Elgin City 12633 28:17 +11 21 WDWWL
4 Spartans 12534 25:22 +3 18 WLWLL
5 Kelty Hearts 12507 16:22 -6 15 LWLWL
6 Stirling Albion 12435 19:26 -7 15 WDWWD
7 Edinburgh City 12543 22:19 +3 14 WDLDW
8 Dumbarton 12417 13:20 -7 13 LDLWW
9 Forfar Athletic 12327 13:24 -11 11 LLLLW
10 Annan Athletic 12309 13:24 -11 9 LLLLL

Recent form

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League Two Stranraer 0 - 0 Clyde D
24 Oct 2026FA Cup Stranraer 3 - 1 Tayport W
17 Oct 2026League Two Spartans 0 - 2 Stranraer W
13 Oct 2026Challenge Cup Stranraer 3 - 3 Kilmarnock II D
10 Oct 2026League Two Annan Athletic 1 - 6 Stranraer W
03 Oct 2026League Two Stranraer 0 - 0 Edinburgh City D
26 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Stranraer 4 - 3 East Kilbride W
22 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Berwick Rangers 3 - 2 Stranraer L
19 Sep 2026League Two Elgin City 1 - 5 Stranraer W
12 Sep 2026League Two Stranraer 3 - 1 Dumbarton W
4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Morton 0 - 1 Kelty Hearts W
31 Oct 2026League Two Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Elgin City L
24 Oct 2026FA Cup Edinburgh City 4 - 1 Kelty Hearts L
17 Oct 2026League Two Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Forfar Athletic W
13 Oct 2026Challenge Cup East Kilbride 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts L
10 Oct 2026League Two Stirling Albion 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts L
03 Oct 2026League Two Spartans 0 - 2 Kelty Hearts W
26 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Montrose W
22 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Kelty Hearts 3 - 5 Hearts U21 L
19 Sep 2026League Two Kelty Hearts 1 - 3 Edinburgh City L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Stranraer Draw Kelty Hearts
Value spotted: Stranraer win at 2.08 (model 62% vs market 44%)

Most likely scores

1-0 20.3%
2-0 15.2%
0-0 13.5%
1-1 10.2%
2-1 7.6%
3-0 7.6%

Expected goals: 1.5 Stranraer · 0.5 Kelty Hearts

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score31%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
36%
Attack
64%
57%
Defence
43%
80%
Goal model
20%
0%
Head to head
100%
12%
Goals
88%
45%
Overall
55%

Season numbers

League Two 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
3
Stranraer Kelty Hearts

Side by side

Stranraer Kelty Hearts
4 Played 4
1 Won 2
1 Drawn 0
2 Lost 2
1 Goals scored per game 1.8
1.5 Goals conceded per game 2
0.5 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 0.5
1 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 1
1-0 Biggest win 3-1
0-1 Biggest defeat 4-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts: preview and prediction

Stranraer host Kelty Hearts in the Scotland League Two (Regular Season - 5) on Saturday, 29th August 2026 at 15:00 at Stair Park, Stranraer. Stranraer sit 1st in the table and Kelty Hearts 5th.

Stranraer are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-D). Kelty Hearts are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W).

In the last 7 meetings, Stranraer won 1, Kelty Hearts won 6 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% and over 2.5 goals in 71%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Stranraer and 0.5 for Kelty Hearts. It gives Stranraer the edge (62% home win, 26% draw, 12% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.61.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts FAQs

What is the best prediction for Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.61 odds).

Who will win Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?

Stranraer are favourites: our model gives Stranraer 62%, the draw 26% and Kelty Hearts 12%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 31% chance in our model, and it happened in 29% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 29th August 2026 at 15:00 at Stair Park, Stranraer.