Stranraer vs Ayr Utd Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: League Cup · Group Stage

Ayr Utd

LWLWD

27' K. Nair

34' Z. Bruce

37' A. Traynor

39' S. Want

40' J. Dolan (Penalty)

49' B. Summers

57' A. Traynor

60' R. Taylor

73' R. Lyon

79' E. Dunne

79' R. Taylor (Penalty)

Saturday, 11 July 2026

Stair Park, Stranraer

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

9games

1Stranraer wins

2Draws

6Ayr Utd wins

3.8Goals per game

78%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

13 Jan 2026Challenge Cup Ayr Utd

4 - 1

Stranraer

08 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs Ayr Utd

2 - 0

Stranraer

25 Jun 2022Friendlies Clubs Ayr Utd

2 - 1

Stranraer

14 Nov 2020League Cup Ayr Utd

1 - 1

Stranraer

27 Jul 2019League Cup Ayr Utd

2 - 2

Stranraer

14 Apr 2018League One Ayr Utd

1 - 2

Stranraer

02 Jan 2018League One Stranraer

1 - 5

Ayr Utd

28 Oct 2017League One Ayr Utd

2 - 0

Stranraer

19 Aug 2017League One Stranraer

3 - 4

Ayr Utd

Top scorers

League Cup

A. Tshibola

Kilmarnock 0goals 0assists 1apps

Lewis Smith

Aberdeen 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10

13 Oct 2026Challenge Cup Stranraer

3 - 3

Kilmarnock II D

10 Oct 2026League Two Annan Athletic

1 - 6

Stranraer W

03 Oct 2026League Two Stranraer

0 - 0

Edinburgh City D

26 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Stranraer

4 - 3

East Kilbride W

22 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Berwick Rangers

3 - 2

Stranraer L

19 Sep 2026League Two Elgin City

1 - 5

Stranraer W

12 Sep 2026League Two Stranraer

3 - 1

Dumbarton W

05 Sep 2026League Two Forfar Athletic

0 - 3

Stranraer W

01 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Stranraer

3 - 4

Celtic II L

29 Aug 2026League Two Stranraer

2 - 0

Kelty Hearts W

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10

10 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd

1 - 1

Dunfermline D

03 Oct 2026Championship Livingston

1 - 2

Ayr Utd W

25 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd

0 - 1

Stenhousemuir L

18 Sep 2026Championship Queen's Park

0 - 2

Ayr Utd W

12 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd

1 - 3

Inverness CT L

05 Sep 2026Championship Partick

1 - 0

Ayr Utd L

29 Aug 2026Championship Ayr Utd

1 - 1

Morton D

22 Aug 2026Championship Raith Rovers

2 - 0

Ayr Utd L

14 Aug 2026League Cup Kilmarnock

3 - 2

Ayr Utd L

08 Aug 2026Championship Dunfermline

1 - 1

Ayr Utd D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

44% 27% 30%

Form & stats

0% 50% 50%

Bookmaker odds

13% 19% 68%

Stranraer Draw Ayr Utd

Value spotted: Stranraer win at 6.89 (model 44% vs market 13%) · Draw at 4.80 (model 27% vs market 19%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%

1-0 11.5%

0-1 9%

2-1 8.8%

0-0 8.2%

2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Stranraer · 1.1 Ayr Utd

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form

Attack

Defence

Goal model

15%

Head to head

85%

31%

Goals

69%

23%

Overall

77%

Stranraer vs Ayr Utd: preview and prediction

Stranraer host Ayr Utd in the Scotland League Cup (Group Stage) on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 15:00 at Stair Park, Stranraer.

Stranraer have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-D). Ayr Utd have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Stranraer won 1, Ayr Utd won 6 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Stranraer and 1.1 for Ayr Utd. It gives Stranraer the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 2.80. We also like BTTS No, Under 3.5.

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet