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Stevenage vs Luton Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League One · Regular Season - 6
Stevenage

Stevenage

16th in table
WLWLD
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 0
Luton

Luton

3rd in table
WWWWD
4' Daniel Phillips
23' D. Kemp
26' Lewis Freestone
30' Liam Walsh
44' Daniel Kemp
70' J. Magennis
75' M. Andersen
80' Saxon Earley
90+3' Luther James-Wildin
90+5' Mads Andersen
Thursday, 10 September 2026
SPORTA Arena, Stevenage
B. Toner

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Stevenage wins
3Draws
2Luton wins
2.8Goals per game
56%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
10 Jan 2026League One Luton 2 - 1 Stevenage
04 Oct 2025League One Stevenage 2 - 0 Luton
10 Aug 2021League Cup Stevenage 2 - 2 Luton
10 Feb 2018League Two Stevenage 1 - 1 Luton
14 Oct 2017League Two Luton 7 - 1 Stevenage
11 Mar 2017League Two Luton 0 - 2 Stevenage
20 Aug 2016League Two Stevenage 2 - 1 Luton
02 Apr 2016League Two Luton 0 - 1 Stevenage
21 Nov 2015League Two Stevenage 0 - 0 Luton

League One table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Huddersfield 14851 28:12 +16 29 DWWWW
2 Stockport County 14824 26:14 +12 26 WLDWW
3 Luton 14734 27:21 +6 24 DWWWW
4 Oxford United 12651 20:11 +9 23 DWDWD
5 Plymouth 14725 21:19 +2 23 DWLLW
6 Reading 13643 25:13 +12 22 DWWLW
7 Bradford 13643 10:8 +2 22 LDDWD
8 Cambridge United 14563 21:21 0 21 LDLDW
9 Sheffield Wednesday 13553 22:14 +8 20 DDLLW
10 Leicester 13544 22:19 +3 19 DWLWW
11 Mansfield Town 13544 20:18 +2 19 DLWWD
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13463 22:20 +2 18 WWWLW
13 Wycombe 13463 21:23 -2 18 WDDWL
14 Leyton Orient 13526 19:14 +5 17 WLLWD
15 Burton Albion 14455 18:21 -3 17 LWDDL
16 Stevenage 12444 17:13 +4 16 DLWLW
17 Notts County 12354 13:14 -1 14 WDWLL
18 AFC Wimbledon 13346 9:21 -12 13 LDLLL
19 Blackpool 12336 17:21 -4 12 DLWLL
20 Doncaster 13337 14:22 -8 12 LLWLL
21 Wigan 14329 11:22 -11 11 DWLLL
22 Peterborough 13247 11:23 -12 10 LDLDW
23 Barnsley 12237 12:22 -10 9 DLLLL
24 Bromley 13238 13:33 -20 9 LLDLL

Top scorers

League One
1 A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons 13goals 3assists 13apps
2 K. WoottonStockport County 9goals 1assists 14apps
3 J. TaylorHuddersfield 9goals 2assists 12apps
4 J. MarriottReading 8goals 0assists 8apps
5 D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield 7goals 5assists 13apps
6 N. WellsLuton 7goals 2assists 13apps
7 M. SmithMansfield Town 6goals 2assists 11apps
8 J. StockleyAFC Wimbledon 6goals 1assists 13apps
9 M. HarrisOxford United 6goals 1assists 12apps
10 E. RiisLeicester 6goals 1assists 9apps

Recent form

5 W 1 D 3 L in the last 9
31 Oct 2026League One Leicester 2 - 2 Stevenage D
24 Oct 2026League One Stevenage 0 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons L
20 Oct 2026League One Stevenage 3 - 0 Plymouth W
17 Oct 2026League One Bradford 2 - 0 Stevenage L
10 Oct 2026League One Stevenage 1 - 0 Wigan W
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Stevenage 2 - 1 Leicester W
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Walsall 1 - 6 Stevenage W
19 Sep 2026League One Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Stevenage L
10 Sep 2026League One Stevenage 2 - 1 Luton W
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026League One Huddersfield 1 - 1 Luton D
31 Oct 2026League One Peterborough 0 - 2 Luton W
27 Oct 2026League One Luton 3 - 1 Doncaster W
24 Oct 2026League One Luton 2 - 1 Leicester W
20 Oct 2026League One Luton 2 - 1 Barnsley W
17 Oct 2026League One Milton Keynes Dons 2 - 1 Luton L
10 Oct 2026League One Wycombe 1 - 4 Luton W
03 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Colchester 1 - 1 Luton D
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Luton 6 - 0 Ipswich Town U21 W
19 Sep 2026League One Luton 0 - 1 Bradford L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Stevenage Draw Luton
Value spotted: Stevenage win at 3.02 (model 45% vs market 31%)

Most likely scores

2-2 6.2%
3-2 5.7%
2-3 5.2%
2-1 5%
3-3 4.7%
3-1 4.5%

Expected goals: 2.75 Stevenage · 2.5 Luton

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals76%
Both teams score85%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
45%
Attack
55%
65%
Defence
35%
47%
Goal model
53%
38%
Head to head
62%
37%
Goals
63%
45%
Overall
54%

Season numbers

League One 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
4
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
5
0
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
0
Stevenage Luton

Side by side

Stevenage Luton
5 Played 5
1 Won 2
3 Drawn 2
1 Lost 1
1.8 Goals scored per game 2.2
1.2 Goals conceded per game 2.2
1.5 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 3
1 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 1
1-5 Biggest win 2-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 5-2
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Stevenage vs Luton: preview and prediction

Stevenage host Luton in the England League One (Regular Season - 6) on Thursday, 10th September 2026 at 20:00 at SPORTA Arena, Stevenage. Stevenage sit 16th in the table and Luton 3rd.

Stevenage have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-D). Luton are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Stevenage won 4, Luton won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 2.75 goals for Stevenage and 2.5 for Luton. It gives Stevenage the edge (45% home win, 18% draw, 36% away win), 88% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.36.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Stevenage vs Luton FAQs

What is the best prediction for Stevenage vs Luton?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.36 odds).

Who will win Stevenage vs Luton?

Stevenage are favourites: our model gives Stevenage 45%, the draw 18% and Luton 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 85% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5.3 goals in total, with a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Stevenage vs Luton?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 10th September 2026 at 20:00 at SPORTA Arena, Stevenage.

Who is the referee?

B. Toner is in charge of this game.