Stenhousemuir vs Livingston Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 13
Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

4th in table
DLLLW
Full time
0:3
HT 0 - 2
Livingston

Livingston

5th in table
LDWWW
2' S. Pittman
22' S. May
41' R. Muirhead
49' R. Muirhead
63' R. Muirhead
78' M. Bartley
Friday, 30 October 2026
Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
S. Murdoch

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1Stenhousemuir wins
1Draws
6Livingston wins
2.5Goals per game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
04 Sep 2026Championship Livingston 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir
25 Jul 2026League Cup Stenhousemuir 0 - 0 Livingston
21 Jan 2023FA Cup Stenhousemuir 1 - 3 Livingston
10 Nov 2020League Cup Stenhousemuir 0 - 4 Livingston
15 Apr 2017League One Stenhousemuir 0 - 1 Livingston
21 Mar 2017League One Livingston 1 - 0 Stenhousemuir
13 Dec 2016League One Stenhousemuir 0 - 4 Livingston
20 Aug 2016League One Livingston 4 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Partick 13742 17:7 +10 25 LWDWW
2 Raith Rovers 13733 20:9 +11 24 WLDWW
3 Dunfermline 13661 15:7 +8 24 WWWDD
4 Stenhousemuir 13724 13:12 +1 23 LLLDL
5 Livingston 13625 18:11 +7 20 WWDLL
6 Inverness CT 13544 17:16 +1 19 LWWLW
7 Ayr Utd 12435 13:14 -1 15 WLDWL
8 Arbroath 13328 7:22 -15 11 LLLLL
9 Morton 12318 12:20 -8 10 WWWLL
10 Queen's Park 132110 8:22 -14 7 LLLWL

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Stenhousemuir 4 - 1 Berwick Rangers W
30 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Livingston L
27 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 0 - 1 Dunfermline L
24 Oct 2026Championship Partick 3 - 0 Stenhousemuir L
17 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Raith Rovers D
10 Oct 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir L
25 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir W
19 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Arbroath W
15 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Partick W
11 Sep 2026League Cup Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Heart Of Midlothian L
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Spartans 0 - 2 Livingston W
30 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Livingston W
24 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 0 Arbroath W
17 Oct 2026Championship Dunfermline 0 - 0 Livingston D
10 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Partick L
03 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Ayr Utd L
25 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Livingston W
19 Sep 2026Championship Livingston 2 - 2 Inverness CT D
11 Sep 2026Championship Morton 1 - 4 Livingston W
04 Sep 2026Championship Livingston 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Stenhousemuir Draw Livingston
Value spotted: Stenhousemuir win at 3.93 (model 40% vs market 23%) · Draw at 3.58 (model 32% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

1-0 15.7%
0-0 15%
1-1 13.3%
0-1 12.7%
2-0 8.2%
2-1 7%

Expected goals: 1.05 Stenhousemuir · 0.85 Livingston

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams score37%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
36%
Form
64%
29%
Attack
71%
36%
Defence
64%
57%
Goal model
43%
40%
Head to head
60%
27%
Goals
73%
37%
Overall
62%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
4
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
6
1
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
Stenhousemuir Livingston

Side by side

Stenhousemuir Livingston
12 Played 12
7 Won 5
2 Drawn 2
3 Lost 5
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.3
0.8 Goals conceded per game 0.9
1.3 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.2
6 Clean sheets 5
3 Failed to score 4
7 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 2-0
0-1 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston: preview and prediction

Stenhousemuir host Livingston in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 13) on Friday, 30th October 2026 at 20:30 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir. Stenhousemuir sit 4th in the table and Livingston 5th.

Stenhousemuir are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W). Livingston are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Stenhousemuir won 1, Livingston won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.05 goals for Stenhousemuir and 0.85 for Livingston. It gives Stenhousemuir the edge (40% home win, 32% draw, 29% away win), 30% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.17. We also like Away Win, HT Over 0.5, Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston FAQs

What is the best prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.17 odds).

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?

Stenhousemuir are favourites: our model gives Stenhousemuir 40%, the draw 32% and Livingston 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 37% chance in our model, and it happened in 25% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.9 goals in total, with a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?

Kick-off is on Friday, 30th October 2026 at 20:30 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir.

Who is the referee?

S. Murdoch is in charge of this game.