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Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 9
Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

4th in table
DLLLW
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

3rd in table
DWWWW
16' L. Grant
76' R. MacLeod
87' M. Bartley
88' S. Kearney
90' N. Abdulai
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
G. Irvine

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
0Stenhousemuir wins
0Draws
6Dunfermline wins
3.7Goals per game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
18 Jan 2025FA Cup Dunfermline 3 - 0 Stenhousemuir
24 Jul 2021League Cup Dunfermline 4 - 1 Stenhousemuir
05 Mar 2016League One Dunfermline 5 - 0 Stenhousemuir
06 Feb 2016League One Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Dunfermline
19 Dec 2015League One Dunfermline 1 - 0 Stenhousemuir
19 Sep 2015League One Stenhousemuir 0 - 5 Dunfermline

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Partick 13742 17:7 +10 25 LWDWW
2 Raith Rovers 13733 20:9 +11 24 WLDWW
3 Dunfermline 13661 15:7 +8 24 WWWDD
4 Stenhousemuir 13724 13:12 +1 23 LLLDL
5 Livingston 13625 18:11 +7 20 WWDLL
6 Inverness CT 13544 17:16 +1 19 LWWLW
7 Ayr Utd 12435 13:14 -1 15 WLDWL
8 Arbroath 13328 7:22 -15 11 LLLLL
9 Morton 12318 12:20 -8 10 WWWLL
10 Queen's Park 132110 8:22 -14 7 LLLWL

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Stenhousemuir 4 - 1 Berwick Rangers W
30 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Livingston L
27 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 0 - 1 Dunfermline L
24 Oct 2026Championship Partick 3 - 0 Stenhousemuir L
17 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Raith Rovers D
10 Oct 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir L
25 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir W
19 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Arbroath W
15 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Partick W
11 Sep 2026League Cup Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Heart Of Midlothian L
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2 - 4 Dunfermline W
31 Oct 2026Championship Dunfermline 5 - 1 Inverness CT W
27 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 0 - 1 Dunfermline W
24 Oct 2026Championship Queen's Park 0 - 1 Dunfermline W
20 Oct 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 1 Partick D
17 Oct 2026Championship Dunfermline 0 - 0 Livingston D
10 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Dunfermline 1 - 4 Aberdeen L
19 Sep 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline W
12 Sep 2026Championship Dunfermline 2 - 0 Queen's Park W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Stenhousemuir Draw Dunfermline
Value spotted: Stenhousemuir win at 3.52 (model 51% vs market 26%)

Most likely scores

1-0 21%
0-0 18.3%
2-0 12.1%
1-1 11.6%
0-1 10%
2-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 1.15 Stenhousemuir · 0.55 Dunfermline

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals24%
Over 3.5 goals9%
Both teams score29%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
43%
Attack
57%
25%
Defence
75%
75%
Goal model
25%
0%
Head to head
100%
6%
Goals
94%
38%
Overall
61%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Stenhousemuir Dunfermline

Side by side

Stenhousemuir Dunfermline
11 Played 11
7 Won 4
2 Drawn 6
2 Lost 1
1.2 Goals scored per game 0.8
0.7 Goals conceded per game 0.5
1.6 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0.7
6 Clean sheets 6
2 Failed to score 3
7 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 2-0
3-0 Biggest defeat 2-0
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline: preview and prediction

Stenhousemuir host Dunfermline in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 9) on Tuesday, 27th October 2026 at 20:45 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir. Stenhousemuir sit 4th in the table and Dunfermline 3rd.

Stenhousemuir are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W). Dunfermline are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-W).

In the last 6 meetings, Stenhousemuir won 0, Dunfermline won 6 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% and over 2.5 goals in 83%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Stenhousemuir and 0.55 for Dunfermline. It gives Stenhousemuir the edge (51% home win, 32% draw, 18% away win), 24% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was BTTS No at odds of 1.81. We also like HT Over 0.5, Over 1.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline FAQs

What is the best prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS No (1.81 odds).

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?

Stenhousemuir are favourites: our model gives Stenhousemuir 51%, the draw 32% and Dunfermline 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 29% chance in our model, and it happened in 17% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.7 goals in total, with a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 27th October 2026 at 20:45 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir.

Who is the referee?

G. Irvine is in charge of this game.