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St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ireland: Premier Division · Regular Season - 26
St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

3rd in table
WLLDL
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 0
Derry City

Derry City

5th in table
WLWWD
23' James Brown
27' A. Keena (Penalty)
34' Kian Leavy
37' Adam O'Reilly
50' Darragh Burns
72' J. Clarke
88' Jamie Lennon
Sunday, 2 August 2026
Richmond Park, Dublin
R. Harvey

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2St Patrick's Athl. wins
3Draws
3Derry City wins
1.5Goals per game
13%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
22 May 2026Premier Division Derry City 0 - 0 St Patrick's Athl.
16 Mar 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 0 Derry City
29 Aug 2025Premier Division Derry City 2 - 2 St Patrick's Athl.
23 Jun 2025Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 1 Derry City
05 May 2025Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 St Patrick's Athl.
03 Mar 2025Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 2 - 0 Derry City
25 Oct 2024Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 0 Derry City
21 Jul 2024FAI Cup Derry City 3 - 0 St Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Shamrock Rovers 362088 59:38 +21 68 LWLWW
2 Bohemians 361989 63:44 +19 65 WLWLW
3 St Patrick's Athl. 3617910 55:31 +24 60 LDLLW
4 Shelbourne 36121311 52:50 +2 49 LWWWD
5 Derry City 36111510 50:47 +3 48 DWWLW
6 Dundalk 36111213 55:59 -4 45 WLDLL
7 Waterford 36101313 54:61 -7 43 WWWLL
8 Galway United 36101214 46:53 -7 42 LDLWD
9 Drogheda United 36101016 44:57 -13 40 WLWLL
10 Sligo Rovers 3651021 28:66 -38 25 DLDLL

Top scorers

Premier Division
1 T. LonerganWaterford 16goals 7assists 34apps
2 P. AmondWaterford 14goals 1assists 36apps
3 C. WhelanBohemians 13goals 6assists 36apps
4 D. HorganDundalk 12goals 10assists 35apps
5 R. TierneyBohemians 11goals 3assists 35apps
6 M. DuffyDerry City 11goals 5assists 27apps
7 J. McGovernShamrock Rovers 10goals 7assists 31apps
8 R. EdmondsonSt Patrick's Athl. 10goals 1assists 36apps
9 M. DoyleDrogheda United 10goals 1assists 34apps
10 A. KeenaSt Patrick's Athl. 10goals 5assists 31apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 2 - 3 Bohemians L
23 Oct 2026Premier Division Galway United 0 - 0 St Patrick's Athl. D
19 Oct 2026Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 St Patrick's Athl. L
16 Oct 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 2 Shelbourne L
19 Sep 2026Premier Division Sligo Rovers 0 - 1 St Patrick's Athl. W
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Dundalk 0 - 4 St Patrick's Athl. W
11 Sep 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 2 - 0 Shamrock Rovers W
05 Sep 2026FAI Cup St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 1 Bohemians D
28 Aug 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 2 Waterford L
21 Aug 2026Premier Division Drogheda United 0 - 2 St Patrick's Athl. W
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Premier Division Sligo Rovers 2 - 2 Derry City D
23 Oct 2026Premier Division Derry City 2 - 1 Dundalk W
19 Oct 2026Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 St Patrick's Athl. W
16 Oct 2026Premier Division Drogheda United 2 - 0 Derry City L
10 Oct 2026FAI Cup Galway United 0 - 2 Derry City W
18 Sep 2026Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 Galway United W
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Waterford 2 - 2 Derry City D
11 Sep 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 0 - 1 Derry City W
06 Sep 2026FAI Cup Derry City 4 - 2 Dundalk W
30 Aug 2026Premier Division Derry City 3 - 3 Shamrock Rovers D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
St Patrick's Athl. Draw Derry City
Value spotted: St Patrick's Athl. win at 1.74 (model 63% vs market 54%)

Most likely scores

1-0 15.1%
2-0 13.2%
1-1 10.6%
2-1 9.2%
0-0 8.6%
3-0 7.7%

Expected goals: 1.75 St Patrick's Athl. · 0.7 Derry City

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score42%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
53%
Form
47%
41%
Attack
59%
67%
Defence
33%
82%
Goal model
18%
25%
Head to head
75%
33%
Goals
67%
50%
Overall
49%

Season numbers

Premier Division 2026

When the goals come

7
0-15'
3
5
16-30'
6
5
31-45'
3
9
46-60'
5
5
61-75'
5
9
76-90'
11
6
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
7
5
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
7
5
61-75'
5
4
76-90'
7
St Patrick's Athl. Derry City

Side by side

St Patrick's Athl. Derry City
25 Played 25
12 Won 6
7 Drawn 11
6 Lost 8
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.3
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1.2
2.2 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 0.9
9 Clean sheets 6
9 Failed to score 7
4 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 4-1
0-1 Biggest defeat 2-4
3/3 Penalties scored 3/4

St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City: preview and prediction

St Patrick's Athl. host Derry City in the Ireland Premier Division (Regular Season - 26) on Sunday, 2nd August 2026 at 17:00 at Richmond Park, Dublin. St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd in the table and Derry City 5th.

St Patrick's Athl. are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-D-L). Derry City are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-D).

In the last 8 meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 2, Derry City won 3 and 3 ended level. These games average 1.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 13% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for St Patrick's Athl. and 0.7 for Derry City. It gives St Patrick's Athl. the edge (63% home win, 23% draw, 14% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.74. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City FAQs

What is the best prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.74 odds).

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?

St Patrick's Athl. are favourites: our model gives St Patrick's Athl. 63%, the draw 23% and Derry City 14%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 42% chance in our model, and it happened in 13% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 2nd August 2026 at 17:00 at Richmond Park, Dublin.

Who is the referee?

R. Harvey is in charge of this game.