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ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Premiership · Relegation Group - 36
ST Mirren

ST Mirren

10th in table
LLWDL
Full time
0:3
HT 0 - 1
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

11th in table
LWLLD
9' M. Freckleton (Own Goal)
15' Liam Donnelly
26' Roland Idowu
46' F. Curtis
52' Joe Hugill
54' Killian Phillips
68' F. Curtis
Saturday, 9 May 2026
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
D. Robertson

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1ST Mirren wins
3Draws
4Kilmarnock wins
3.3Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
11 Feb 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 4 - 3 ST Mirren
27 Dec 2025Premiership ST Mirren 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
04 Oct 2025Premiership Kilmarnock 2 - 0 ST Mirren
19 Sep 2025League Cup Kilmarnock 2 - 2 ST Mirren
29 Mar 2025Premiership ST Mirren 5 - 1 Kilmarnock
02 Jan 2025Premiership Kilmarnock 2 - 0 ST Mirren
14 Sep 2024Premiership ST Mirren 2 - 2 Kilmarnock
11 May 2024Premiership ST Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Heart Of Midlothian 332175 58:28 +30 70 LWDWW
2 Rangers 3319122 66:31 +35 69 WLLLL
3 Celtic 332148 59:35 +24 67 WWWWW
4 Motherwell 3314127 52:29 +23 54 WLDLW
5 Hibernian 3313128 51:37 +14 51 LWWLL
6 Falkirk 3313713 45:48 -3 46 LLLWL
7 Dundee Utd 3391311 45:54 -9 40 DDLLW
8 Aberdeen 339618 33:48 -15 33 LLWDW
9 Dundee 338916 34:53 -19 33 WLWWL
10 ST Mirren 337917 27:48 -21 30 WDDWL
11 Kilmarnock 3361017 37:65 -28 28 WWWWL
12 Livingston 3311319 35:66 -31 16 LDLDW

Top scorers

Premiership
1 Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseMotherwell 17goals 2assists 35apps
2 B. NygrenCeltic 16goals 5assists 38apps
3 L. ShanklandHeart Of Midlothian 16goals 3assists 29apps
4 Youssef ChermitiRangers 15goals 5assists 30apps
5 D. MaedaCeltic 14goals 6assists 36apps
6 Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian 14goals 3assists 38apps
7 Z. SapsfordDundee Utd 9goals 2assists 38apps
8 K. NisbetAberdeen 9goals 1assists 35apps
9 M. EmmanuelMotherwell 8goals 4assists 36apps
10 K. BowieHibernian 8goals 3assists 22apps

Recent form

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premiership Motherwell 1 - 0 ST Mirren L
28 Oct 2026Premiership ST Mirren 1 - 1 Hibernian D
24 Oct 2026Premiership ST Mirren 2 - 1 Dundee W
17 Oct 2026Premiership Aberdeen 3 - 1 ST Mirren L
10 Oct 2026Premiership Heart Of Midlothian 5 - 0 ST Mirren L
19 Sep 2026Premiership ST Mirren 0 - 3 Dundee Utd L
09 Sep 2026Premiership Rangers 1 - 0 ST Mirren L
05 Sep 2026Premiership ST Mirren 1 - 2 Celtic L
02 Sep 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 0 - 1 ST Mirren W
30 Aug 2026Premiership ST Mirren 3 - 3 Motherwell D
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 2 - 2 ST Johnstone D
28 Oct 2026Premiership Dundee 3 - 1 Kilmarnock L
24 Oct 2026Premiership Falkirk 3 - 0 Kilmarnock L
17 Oct 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 3 - 2 Motherwell W
10 Oct 2026Premiership Rangers 3 - 1 Kilmarnock L
19 Sep 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian D
15 Sep 2026Premiership Hibernian 0 - 1 Kilmarnock W
12 Sep 2026League Cup Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Aberdeen D
05 Sep 2026Premiership Aberdeen 0 - 0 Kilmarnock D
02 Sep 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 0 - 1 ST Mirren L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
ST Mirren Draw Kilmarnock

Most likely scores

1-0 12.5%
1-1 12.5%
2-0 9.1%
2-1 9.1%
0-0 8.6%
0-1 8.6%

Expected goals: 1.45 ST Mirren · 1 Kilmarnock

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
46%
Form
54%
36%
Attack
64%
55%
Defence
45%
51%
Goal model
49%
50%
Head to head
50%
55%
Goals
45%
48%
Overall
51%

Season numbers

Premiership 2025

When the goals come

2
0-15'
4
6
16-30'
9
4
31-45'
11
4
46-60'
6
6
61-75'
3
8
76-90'
8
4
0-15'
9
3
16-30'
10
10
31-45'
6
8
46-60'
14
7
61-75'
11
16
76-90'
15
ST Mirren Kilmarnock

Side by side

ST Mirren Kilmarnock
35 Played 35
7 Won 7
9 Drawn 10
19 Lost 18
0.8 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.9
0.6 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 0.9
8 Clean sheets 8
17 Failed to score 10
2 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 3-0
0-5 Biggest defeat 0-3
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock: preview and prediction

ST Mirren host Kilmarnock in the Scotland Premiership (Relegation Group - 36) on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 15:00 at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley. ST Mirren sit 10th in the table and Kilmarnock 11th.

ST Mirren are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-L). Kilmarnock are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, ST Mirren won 1, Kilmarnock won 4 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for ST Mirren and 1 for Kilmarnock. It gives ST Mirren the edge (47% home win, 26% draw, 26% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.78.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock FAQs

What is the best prediction for ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.78 odds).

Who will win ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?

ST Mirren are favourites: our model gives ST Mirren 47%, the draw 26% and Kilmarnock 26%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 15:00 at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley.

Who is the referee?

D. Robertson is in charge of this game.