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ST Mirren vs Dunfermline Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: League Cup · Group Stage
ST Mirren

ST Mirren

WLLLL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

DWWLD
6' Luke Robinson
29' Kian Corbally
75' Chris Kane
76' Samuel Ramos
84' Fraser Taylor
88' C. Kane (Penalty)
Sunday, 26 July 2026
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5ST Mirren wins
2Draws
2Dunfermline wins
2Goals per game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
06 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs Dunfermline 0 - 1 ST Mirren
13 Jul 2021League Cup ST Mirren 1 - 0 Dunfermline
14 Jul 2019League Cup ST Mirren 2 - 3 Dunfermline
10 Mar 2018Championship St Mirren 2 - 0 Dunfermline
26 Jan 2018Championship Dunfermline 1 - 2 St Mirren
16 Dec 2017Championship St Mirren 1 - 0 Dunfermline
16 Sep 2017Championship Dunfermline 3 - 0 St Mirren
11 Mar 2017Championship St Mirren 0 - 0 Dunfermline
14 Jan 2017Championship Dunfermline 1 - 1 St Mirren

Top scorers

League Cup
1 A. TshibolaKilmarnock 0goals 0assists 1apps
2 Lewis SmithAberdeen 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Premiership Heart Of Midlothian 5 - 0 ST Mirren L
19 Sep 2026Premiership ST Mirren 0 - 3 Dundee Utd L
09 Sep 2026Premiership Rangers 1 - 0 ST Mirren L
05 Sep 2026Premiership ST Mirren 1 - 2 Celtic L
02 Sep 2026Premiership Kilmarnock 0 - 1 ST Mirren W
30 Aug 2026Premiership ST Mirren 3 - 3 Motherwell D
16 Aug 2026League Cup Rangers 5 - 1 ST Mirren L
08 Aug 2026Premiership ST Mirren 1 - 0 ST Johnstone W
01 Aug 2026Premiership Falkirk 0 - 2 ST Mirren W
26 Jul 2026League Cup ST Mirren 0 - 1 Dunfermline L
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Dunfermline 1 - 4 Aberdeen L
19 Sep 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline W
12 Sep 2026Championship Dunfermline 2 - 0 Queen's Park W
05 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
28 Aug 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 0 Raith Rovers W
22 Aug 2026Championship Livingston 2 - 0 Dunfermline L
15 Aug 2026League Cup Dunfermline 1 - 2 Ross County L
08 Aug 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 1 Ayr Utd D
01 Aug 2026Championship Inverness CT 0 - 0 Dunfermline D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
ST Mirren Draw Dunfermline

Most likely scores

3-2 4.8%
3-3 4.8%
4-2 4.2%
4-3 4.2%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 4.1%

Expected goals: 3.5 ST Mirren · 3 Dunfermline

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals92%
Over 3.5 goals85%
Both teams score88%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
60%
Form
40%
57%
Attack
43%
57%
Defence
43%
100%
Goal model
0%
80%
Head to head
20%
67%
Goals
33%
64%
Overall
35%

Season numbers

League Cup 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
ST Mirren Dunfermline

Side by side

ST Mirren Dunfermline
3 Played 3
3 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
4 Goals scored per game 3
1 Goals conceded per game 1.3
4 / 4 Scored per game (home / away) 4.5 / 0
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1
3 Longest winning run 0
4-3 Biggest win 5-0
- Biggest defeat 3-0
2/2 Penalties scored 0/1

ST Mirren vs Dunfermline: preview and prediction

ST Mirren host Dunfermline in the Scotland League Cup (Group Stage) on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 15:00 at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley.

ST Mirren are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L). Dunfermline have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-L-D).

In the last 9 meetings, ST Mirren won 5, Dunfermline won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 3.5 goals for ST Mirren and 3 for Dunfermline. It gives ST Mirren the edge (47% home win, 16% draw, 33% away win), 92% for over 2.5 goals and 88% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 3-2.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 2.05. We also like Over 2.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

ST Mirren vs Dunfermline FAQs

What is the best prediction for ST Mirren vs Dunfermline?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (2.05 odds).

Who will win ST Mirren vs Dunfermline?

ST Mirren are favourites: our model gives ST Mirren 47%, the draw 16% and Dunfermline 33%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 88% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 6.5 goals in total, with a 92% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is ST Mirren vs Dunfermline?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 15:00 at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley.