Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva Prediction, H2H & Stats

Russia: Cup · Group Stage - 3
Full time
3:1
HT 1 - 1
22' Danil Prutsev
31' I. Timoshenko (Penalty)
32' Pablo Solari
34' Ilya Dyatlov
35' R. Zobnin
45+2' Soltmurad Bakaev
61' Roman Zobnin
65' P. Solari
73' Stanislav Bessmertniy
80' P. Solari
90+3' Ivan Sorokin
Wednesday, 2 September 2026
Lukoil Arena, Moscow
M. Plisko

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
2Spartak Moscow wins
0Draws
0Rodina Moskva wins
4.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
25 Jul 2026Premier League Spartak Moscow 3 - 0 Rodina Moskva
16 Sep 2020Cup Rodina Moskva 1 - 5 Spartak Moscow

Top scorers

Cup
1 Matheus ReisCSKA Moscow 1goals 0assists 1apps
2 O. NdongAkhmat 0goals 1assists 1apps
3 João EscovalAkron 0goals 0assists 1apps
4 F. MoufiBaltika 0goals 0assists 1apps
5 Ygor NogueiraFC Rostov 0goals 0assists 1apps
6 Kevin PinaFC Krasnodar 0goals 0assists 1apps
7 BatxiFC Krasnodar 0goals 0assists 1apps
8 Júlio RomãoAkhmat 0goals 0assists 1apps
9 Gilson BenchimolAkron 0goals 0assists 1apps
10 M. HosseinnezhadDinamo Makhachkala 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Premier League Lokomotiv 0 - 4 Spartak Moscow W
28 Oct 2026Cup Spartak Moscow 1 - 0 Rubin W
25 Oct 2026Premier League CSKA Moscow 2 - 0 Spartak Moscow L
18 Oct 2026Premier League Spartak Moscow 4 - 0 Rubin W
15 Oct 2026Cup Rodina Moskva 2 - 4 Spartak Moscow W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Krylia Sovetov 1 - 1 Spartak Moscow D
16 Sep 2026Premier League Spartak Moscow 1 - 0 Fakel W
13 Sep 2026Premier League Spartak Moscow 3 - 0 FC Rostov W
06 Sep 2026Premier League Dynamo 2 - 1 Spartak Moscow L
02 Sep 2026Cup Spartak Moscow 3 - 1 Rodina Moskva W
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Rodina Moskva 2 - 1 FC Krasnodar W
28 Oct 2026Cup FC Orenburg 2 - 1 Rodina Moskva L
24 Oct 2026Premier League Fakel 0 - 1 Rodina Moskva W
19 Oct 2026Premier League Rodina Moskva 2 - 2 FC Orenburg D
15 Oct 2026Cup Rodina Moskva 2 - 4 Spartak Moscow L
11 Oct 2026Premier League CSKA Moscow 3 - 0 Rodina Moskva L
04 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Dynamo 3 - 2 Rodina Moskva L
27 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs FK Partizan 2 - 3 Rodina Moskva W
16 Sep 2026Premier League Rodina Moskva 1 - 1 Rubin D
11 Sep 2026Premier League Krylia Sovetov 2 - 1 Rodina Moskva L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Spartak Moscow Draw Rodina Moskva
Value spotted: Rodina Moskva win at 9.90 (model 19% vs market 10%)

Most likely scores

3-1 5.8%
3-2 5.8%
4-1 5.1%
4-2 5.1%
2-1 5%
2-2 5%

Expected goals: 3.5 Spartak Moscow · 2 Rodina Moskva

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals77%
Both teams score81%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
57%
Defence
43%
0%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
89%
Goals
11%
61%
Overall
38%

Season numbers

Cup 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
2
Spartak Moscow Rodina Moskva

Side by side

Spartak Moscow Rodina Moskva
2 Played 2
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
3 Goals scored per game 3
1.5 Goals conceded per game 2
5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 0
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 1
5-1 Biggest win 5-0
2-1 Biggest defeat 1-4
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva: preview and prediction

Spartak Moscow host Rodina Moskva in the Russia Cup (Group Stage - 3) on Wednesday, 2nd September 2026 at 18:45 at Lukoil Arena, Moscow.

Spartak Moscow are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-W). Rodina Moskva have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-L-W).

In the last 2 meetings, Spartak Moscow won 2, Rodina Moskva won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 4.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 3.5 goals for Spartak Moscow and 2 for Rodina Moskva. It gives Spartak Moscow the edge (64% home win, 14% draw, 19% away win), 88% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 3-1.

Our pick was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.79. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva FAQs

What is the best prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes (1.79 odds).

Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?

Spartak Moscow are favourites: our model gives Spartak Moscow 64%, the draw 14% and Rodina Moskva 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 81% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5.5 goals in total, with a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 2nd September 2026 at 18:45 at Lukoil Arena, Moscow.

Who is the referee?

M. Plisko is in charge of this game.