Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow Prediction, H2H & Stats

Russia: Cup · Final
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow

WLWWD
10' R. Litvinov
22' Kirill Danilov
40' Ruslan Litvinov
61' Dmitri Barinov
68' Ivan Oblyakov
69' João Victor
89' Ezequiel Barco
Wednesday, 6 May 2026
Lukoil Arena, Moscow
K. Levnikov

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Spartak Moscow wins
3Draws
2CSKA Moscow wins
2.8Goals per game
63%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
22 Nov 2025Premier League Spartak Moscow 1 - 0 CSKA Moscow
05 Oct 2025Premier League CSKA Moscow 3 - 2 Spartak Moscow
26 Apr 2025Premier League Spartak Moscow 1 - 2 CSKA Moscow
02 Nov 2024Premier League CSKA Moscow 0 - 2 Spartak Moscow
25 Apr 2024Premier League CSKA Moscow 0 - 0 Spartak Moscow
08 Oct 2023Premier League Spartak Moscow 2 - 2 CSKA Moscow
21 May 2023Premier League Spartak Moscow 2 - 1 CSKA Moscow
16 Oct 2022Premier League CSKA Moscow 2 - 2 Spartak Moscow

Top scorers

Cup
1 BatxiFC Krasnodar 4goals 5assists 13apps
2 Gilson BenchimolAkron 4goals 0assists 4apps
3 M. CassierraZenit 3goals 1assists 4apps
4 J. BoselliNizhny Novgorod 3goals 0assists 9apps
5 I. SergeevDynamo 2goals 0assists 1apps
6 Gedson FernandesSpartak Moscow 1goals 1assists 4apps
7 O. NdongAkhmat 1goals 1assists 3apps
8 L. GondouZenit 1goals 1assists 1apps
9 Kevin PinaFC Krasnodar 1goals 0assists 12apps
10 JubalFC Krasnodar 1goals 0assists 8apps

Recent form

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Premier League Lokomotiv 0 - 4 Spartak Moscow W
28 Oct 2026Cup Spartak Moscow 1 - 0 Rubin W
25 Oct 2026Premier League CSKA Moscow 2 - 0 Spartak Moscow L
18 Oct 2026Premier League Spartak Moscow 4 - 0 Rubin W
15 Oct 2026Cup Rodina Moskva 2 - 4 Spartak Moscow W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Krylia Sovetov 1 - 1 Spartak Moscow D
16 Sep 2026Premier League Spartak Moscow 1 - 0 Fakel W
13 Sep 2026Premier League Spartak Moscow 3 - 0 FC Rostov W
06 Sep 2026Premier League Dynamo 2 - 1 Spartak Moscow L
02 Sep 2026Cup Spartak Moscow 3 - 1 Rodina Moskva W
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Premier League FC Orenburg 0 - 0 CSKA Moscow D
29 Oct 2026Cup CSKA Moscow 3 - 1 Lokomotiv W
25 Oct 2026Premier League CSKA Moscow 2 - 0 Spartak Moscow W
18 Oct 2026Premier League Dynamo 3 - 1 CSKA Moscow L
14 Oct 2026Cup CSKA Moscow 4 - 0 FC Rostov W
11 Oct 2026Premier League CSKA Moscow 3 - 0 Rodina Moskva W
04 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs CSKA Moscow 3 - 1 Arsenal Tula W
27 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs CSKA Moscow 1 - 3 Nizhny Novgorod L
17 Sep 2026Premier League Dinamo Makhachkala 1 - 3 CSKA Moscow W
12 Sep 2026Premier League CSKA Moscow 1 - 1 Rubin D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Spartak Moscow Draw CSKA Moscow
Value spotted: CSKA Moscow win at 4.78 (model 27% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.9%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 8.7%
2-0 7.6%
1-2 6.8%
0-1 6.2%

Expected goals: 1.75 Spartak Moscow · 1.25 CSKA Moscow

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
57%
Form
43%
48%
Attack
52%
53%
Defence
47%
66%
Goal model
34%
50%
Head to head
50%
55%
Goals
45%
54%
Overall
45%

Season numbers

Cup 2025

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
3
5
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
5
4
76-90'
7
1
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
4
5
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
3
Spartak Moscow CSKA Moscow

Side by side

Spartak Moscow CSKA Moscow
11 Played 11
8 Won 7
0 Drawn 0
3 Lost 4
2.1 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.5
2 / 2.2 Scored per game (home / away) 2.4 / 1.5
4 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 2
4 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 3-1
1-2 Biggest defeat 1-2
2/2 Penalties scored 2/2

Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow: preview and prediction

Spartak Moscow host CSKA Moscow in the Russia Cup (Final) on Wednesday, 6th May 2026 at 18:00 at Lukoil Arena, Moscow.

Spartak Moscow are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-W). CSKA Moscow are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Spartak Moscow won 3, CSKA Moscow won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Spartak Moscow and 1.25 for CSKA Moscow. It gives Spartak Moscow the edge (49% home win, 23% draw, 27% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.23. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow FAQs

What is the best prediction for Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.23 odds).

Who will win Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?

Spartak Moscow are favourites: our model gives Spartak Moscow 49%, the draw 23% and CSKA Moscow 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 6th May 2026 at 18:00 at Lukoil Arena, Moscow.

Who is the referee?

K. Levnikov is in charge of this game.