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Spalding United vs Bury Town Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying Replays
Spalding United

Spalding United

DLLDW
Full time
4:0
HT 3 - 0
Bury Town

Bury Town

WDLDL
4' B. Cybulski
20' D. Jarvis
38' D. Barton
82'
83'
Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
2Spalding United wins
1Draws
0Bury Town wins
2.7Goals per game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Bury Town 1 - 1 Spalding United
25 Nov 2025Non League Premier - Southern Central Spalding United 2 - 1 Bury Town
23 Sep 2025Non League Premier - Southern Central Bury Town 1 - 2 Spalding United

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026National League - North Spalding United 3 - 2 Darlington 1883 W
27 Oct 2026National League - North Spalding United 2 - 2 Brackley Town D
24 Oct 2026National League - North Hednesford Town 2 - 0 Spalding United L
20 Oct 2026FA Cup Alvechurch 4 - 0 Spalding United L
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Spalding United 2 - 2 Alvechurch D
10 Oct 2026National League - North Marine 1 - 0 Spalding United L
06 Oct 2026FA Cup Spalding United 4 - 0 Bury Town W
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Bury Town 1 - 1 Spalding United D
26 Sep 2026National League - North Chorley 2 - 1 Spalding United L
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Spalding United 2 - 0 Hanley Town W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bury Town 2 - 3 Kettering Town L
31 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bury Town 2 - 2 Banbury United D
24 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Hitchin Town 5 - 1 Bury Town L
20 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Real Bedford 2 - 2 Bury Town D
17 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bury Town 2 - 0 Stourbridge W
13 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bury Town 0 - 5 Needham Market L
10 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Alvechurch 0 - 1 Bury Town W
06 Oct 2026FA Cup Spalding United 4 - 0 Bury Town L
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Bury Town 1 - 1 Spalding United D
29 Sep 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bishop's Stortford 1 - 2 Bury Town W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Spalding United Draw Bury Town
Value spotted: Bury Town win at 4.22 (model 40% vs market 23%)

Most likely scores

2-2 7.1%
1-2 6.3%
2-1 6.3%
1-1 5.6%
2-3 5.3%
3-2 5.3%

Expected goals: 2.25 Spalding United · 2.25 Bury Town

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams score80%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
36%
Form
64%
25%
Attack
75%
86%
Defence
14%
100%
Goal model
0%
88%
Head to head
13%
63%
Goals
38%
59%
Overall
40%

Season numbers

FA Cup 2026

Side by side

Spalding United Bury Town
2 Played 3
1 Won 2
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
1.5 Goals scored per game 3
0.5 Goals conceded per game 2
2 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 4
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 2-4
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Spalding United vs Bury Town: preview and prediction

Spalding United host Bury Town in the England FA Cup (3rd Round Qualifying Replays) on Tuesday, 6th October 2026 at 19:45.

Spalding United have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-W). Bury Town have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-D-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Spalding United won 2, Bury Town won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 2.25 goals for Spalding United and 2.25 for Bury Town. It gives Spalding United the edge (40% home win, 19% draw, 40% away win), 82% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.16. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Spalding United vs Bury Town FAQs

What is the best prediction for Spalding United vs Bury Town?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.16 odds).

Who will win Spalding United vs Bury Town?

It looks very close: our model gives Spalding United 40%, the draw 19% and Bury Town 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 80% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.5 goals in total, with a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Spalding United vs Bury Town?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 6th October 2026 at 19:45.