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South Melbourne vs Preston Lions Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: Victoria NPL · Regular Season - 21
South Melbourne

South Melbourne

5th in table
WDWDW
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Preston Lions

Preston Lions

2nd in table
DLDLW
Saturday, 18 July 2026
Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
2South Melbourne wins
0Draws
1Preston Lions wins
2.7Goals per game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
11 Apr 2026Victoria NPL Preston Lions 0 - 3 South Melbourne
15 Jun 2025Victoria NPL South Melbourne 2 - 1 Preston Lions
07 Mar 2025Victoria NPL Preston Lions 2 - 0 South Melbourne

Victoria NPL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Oakleigh Cannons 261664 56:24 +32 54 LWLWW
2 Preston Lions 261565 41:19 +22 51 LDDWW
3 Hume City 261547 51:36 +15 49 LLWWW
4 Avondale 261529 65:34 +31 47 WWWWW
5 South Melbourne 2613211 39:36 +3 41 LWLLW
6 Heidelberg United 261178 42:34 +8 40 LWWLL
7 Sunshine Georgies 269116 35:34 +1 38 WLWDD
8 Dandenong City 261079 35:31 +4 37 WDWWD
9 St. Albans Saints 269710 36:43 -7 34 WWDLW
10 Melbourne City II 268612 42:42 0 30 LLLLL
11 Altona Magic 267712 28:42 -14 28 DLLDW
12 Bentleigh Greens 266614 27:51 -24 24 LWDDL
13 Green Gully 264616 23:52 -29 18 WLLDD
14 Dandenong Thunder 264319 23:65 -42 15 LLLLL

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Australian Championship Canberra FC 0 - 2 South Melbourne W
23 Oct 2026Australian Championship South Melbourne 1 - 1 Sydney United D
17 Oct 2026Australian Championship Sutherland Sharks 0 - 1 South Melbourne W
10 Oct 2026Australia Cup South Melbourne 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory D
15 Sep 2026Australia Cup South Melbourne 3 - 1 Lions W
11 Sep 2026Victoria NPL Oakleigh Cannons 2 - 1 South Melbourne L
06 Sep 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 2 - 1 Heidelberg United W
29 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Sunshine Georgies 1 - 0 South Melbourne L
26 Aug 2026Australia Cup Preston Lions 1 - 2 South Melbourne W
23 Aug 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 2 Heidelberg United L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Australian Championship South Hobart 1 - 2 Preston Lions W
22 Oct 2026Australian Championship Lions 2 - 1 Preston Lions L
15 Oct 2026Australian Championship Preston Lions 0 - 0 Wollongong Wolves D
05 Sep 2026Victoria NPL Avondale 2 - 0 Preston Lions L
29 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Preston Lions 1 - 1 Altona Magic D
26 Aug 2026Australia Cup Preston Lions 1 - 2 South Melbourne L
22 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Dandenong City 0 - 0 Preston Lions D
19 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Preston Lions 4 - 0 Melbourne City II W
16 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Preston Lions 3 - 0 Dandenong Thunder W
12 Aug 2026Australia Cup Brunswick Juventus FC 1 - 4 Preston Lions W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
South Melbourne Draw Preston Lions
Value spotted: Preston Lions win at 2.60 (model 64% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

0-2 11%
0-1 10.7%
1-2 9.9%
1-1 9.7%
0-3 7.5%
1-3 6.8%

Expected goals: 0.9 South Melbourne · 2.05 Preston Lions

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score52%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
38%
Form
63%
55%
Attack
45%
33%
Defence
67%
16%
Goal model
84%
67%
Head to head
33%
63%
Goals
38%
45%
Overall
55%

Season numbers

Victoria NPL 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
0
5
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
4
8
46-60'
8
5
61-75'
5
7
76-90'
6
4
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
2
7
46-60'
5
7
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
3
South Melbourne Preston Lions

Side by side

South Melbourne Preston Lions
20 Played 19
10 Won 12
1 Drawn 2
9 Lost 5
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.6 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.1 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.1 / 1.9
7 Clean sheets 8
5 Failed to score 4
3 Longest winning run 3
4-2 Biggest win 3-0
0-4 Biggest defeat 0-3
0/0 Penalties scored 1/2

South Melbourne vs Preston Lions: preview and prediction

South Melbourne host Preston Lions in the Australia Victoria NPL (Regular Season - 21) on Saturday, 18th July 2026 at 06:15 at Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne. South Melbourne sit 5th in the table and Preston Lions 2nd.

South Melbourne are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-W). Preston Lions have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-L-W).

In the last 3 meetings, South Melbourne won 2, Preston Lions won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 0.9 goals for South Melbourne and 2.05 for Preston Lions. It gives Preston Lions the edge (16% home win, 20% draw, 64% away win), 56% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-2.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.60.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

South Melbourne vs Preston Lions FAQs

What is the best prediction for South Melbourne vs Preston Lions?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.60 odds).

Who will win South Melbourne vs Preston Lions?

Preston Lions are favourites: our model gives South Melbourne 16%, the draw 20% and Preston Lions 64%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 52% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is South Melbourne vs Preston Lions?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 18th July 2026 at 06:15 at Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne.