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South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: Victoria NPL · Quarter-finals
South Melbourne

South Melbourne

5th in table
LWLWD
Full time
2:1
HT 2 - 1
Heidelberg United

Heidelberg United

6th in table
DLWWL
3' B. Juach (Penalty)
15' C. Bramwell
20' B. Juach
Sunday, 6 September 2026
Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
1South Melbourne wins
2Draws
6Heidelberg United wins
2.3Goals per game
44%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
23 Aug 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 2 Heidelberg United
08 May 2026Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 4 - 0 South Melbourne
29 Nov 2025Australian Championship South Melbourne 1 - 0 Heidelberg United
26 Jul 2025Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 1 - 1 South Melbourne
13 Apr 2025Victoria NPL South Melbourne 0 - 3 Heidelberg United
16 Jun 2024Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 1 - 0 South Melbourne
08 Mar 2024Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 1 Heidelberg United
16 Aug 2023Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 2 - 1 South Melbourne
17 Mar 2023Victoria NPL South Melbourne 0 - 2 Heidelberg United

Victoria NPL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Oakleigh Cannons 261664 56:24 +32 54 LWLWW
2 Preston Lions 261565 41:19 +22 51 LDDWW
3 Hume City 261547 51:36 +15 49 LLWWW
4 Avondale 261529 65:34 +31 47 WWWWW
5 South Melbourne 2613211 39:36 +3 41 LWLLW
6 Heidelberg United 261178 42:34 +8 40 LWWLL
7 Sunshine Georgies 269116 35:34 +1 38 WLWDD
8 Dandenong City 261079 35:31 +4 37 WDWWD
9 St. Albans Saints 269710 36:43 -7 34 WWDLW
10 Melbourne City II 268612 42:42 0 30 LLLLL
11 Altona Magic 267712 28:42 -14 28 DLLDW
12 Bentleigh Greens 266614 27:51 -24 24 LWDDL
13 Green Gully 264616 23:52 -29 18 WLLDD
14 Dandenong Thunder 264319 23:65 -42 15 LLLLL

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Australia Cup South Melbourne 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory D
15 Sep 2026Australia Cup South Melbourne 3 - 1 Lions W
11 Sep 2026Victoria NPL Oakleigh Cannons 2 - 1 South Melbourne L
06 Sep 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 2 - 1 Heidelberg United W
29 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Sunshine Georgies 1 - 0 South Melbourne L
26 Aug 2026Australia Cup Preston Lions 1 - 2 South Melbourne W
23 Aug 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 2 Heidelberg United L
15 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Melbourne City II 0 - 3 South Melbourne W
09 Aug 2026Australia Cup South Melbourne 3 - 3 Fremantle City D
02 Aug 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 2 - 0 St. Albans Saints W
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
06 Sep 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 2 - 1 Heidelberg United L
29 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 2 - 0 Bentleigh Greens W
23 Aug 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 2 Heidelberg United W
15 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 4 - 5 Hume City L
12 Aug 2026Australia Cup North Sunshine Eagles 0 - 0 Heidelberg United D
01 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Avondale 2 - 1 Heidelberg United L
24 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Heidelberg United 0 - 0 Sunshine Georgies D
21 Jul 2026Australia Cup Cumberland United 0 - 3 Heidelberg United W
18 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Altona Magic 0 - 0 Heidelberg United D
11 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Melbourne City II 2 - 2 Heidelberg United D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
South Melbourne Draw Heidelberg United
Value spotted: Heidelberg United win at 2.98 (model 48% vs market 30%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.5%
0-1 9.5%
1-2 9.4%
0-2 7.9%
1-0 6.9%
2-1 6.9%

Expected goals: 1.2 South Melbourne · 1.65 Heidelberg United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams score56%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
56%
Form
44%
47%
Attack
53%
67%
Defence
33%
34%
Goal model
66%
29%
Head to head
71%
23%
Goals
77%
42%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

Victoria NPL 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
2
6
16-30'
8
6
31-45'
5
9
46-60'
11
7
61-75'
5
8
76-90'
8
5
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
4
4
31-45'
5
7
46-60'
7
8
61-75'
9
3
76-90'
8
South Melbourne Heidelberg United

Side by side

South Melbourne Heidelberg United
26 Played 26
13 Won 11
2 Drawn 7
11 Lost 8
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.1 / 1.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.5
10 Clean sheets 8
7 Failed to score 4
3 Longest winning run 2
4-2 Biggest win 4-0
0-4 Biggest defeat 4-5
0/0 Penalties scored 4/6

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United: preview and prediction

South Melbourne host Heidelberg United in the Australia Victoria NPL (Quarter-finals) on Sunday, 6th September 2026 at 08:00 at Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne. South Melbourne sit 5th in the table and Heidelberg United 6th.

South Melbourne have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-D). Heidelberg United have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, South Melbourne won 1, Heidelberg United won 6 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for South Melbourne and 1.65 for Heidelberg United. It gives Heidelberg United the edge (28% home win, 24% draw, 48% away win), 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.57. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United FAQs

What is the best prediction for South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.57 odds).

Who will win South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

Heidelberg United are favourites: our model gives South Melbourne 28%, the draw 24% and Heidelberg United 48%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 6th September 2026 at 08:00 at Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne.