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South Melbourne vs Green Gully Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: Victoria NPL · Regular Season - 18
South Melbourne

South Melbourne

5th in table
WDWDW
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 1
Green Gully

Green Gully

13th in table
DDLLW
14'
55' K. Kur
79' J. Swibel
Sunday, 28 June 2026
Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
6South Melbourne wins
2Draws
1Green Gully wins
1.6Goals per game
22%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
13 Mar 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 0 - 1 South Melbourne
03 Aug 2025Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 1 Green Gully
25 Apr 2025Victoria NPL Green Gully 1 - 0 South Melbourne
13 Jul 2024Victoria NPL Green Gully 0 - 1 South Melbourne
12 Apr 2024Victoria NPL South Melbourne 3 - 0 Green Gully
28 May 2023Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 0 Green Gully
24 Feb 2023Victoria NPL Green Gully 1 - 3 South Melbourne
04 Sep 2022Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 0 Green Gully
24 Jun 2022Victoria NPL South Melbourne 0 - 0 Green Gully

Victoria NPL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Oakleigh Cannons 261664 56:24 +32 54 LWLWW
2 Preston Lions 261565 41:19 +22 51 LDDWW
3 Hume City 261547 51:36 +15 49 LLWWW
4 Avondale 261529 65:34 +31 47 WWWWW
5 South Melbourne 2613211 39:36 +3 41 LWLLW
6 Heidelberg United 261178 42:34 +8 40 LWWLL
7 Sunshine Georgies 269116 35:34 +1 38 WLWDD
8 Dandenong City 261079 35:31 +4 37 WDWWD
9 St. Albans Saints 269710 36:43 -7 34 WWDLW
10 Melbourne City II 268612 42:42 0 30 LLLLL
11 Altona Magic 267712 28:42 -14 28 DLLDW
12 Bentleigh Greens 266614 27:51 -24 24 LWDDL
13 Green Gully 264616 23:52 -29 18 WLLDD
14 Dandenong Thunder 264319 23:65 -42 15 LLLLL

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Australian Championship Canberra FC 0 - 2 South Melbourne W
23 Oct 2026Australian Championship South Melbourne 1 - 1 Sydney United D
17 Oct 2026Australian Championship Sutherland Sharks 0 - 1 South Melbourne W
10 Oct 2026Australia Cup South Melbourne 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory D
15 Sep 2026Australia Cup South Melbourne 3 - 1 Lions W
11 Sep 2026Victoria NPL Oakleigh Cannons 2 - 1 South Melbourne L
06 Sep 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 2 - 1 Heidelberg United W
29 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Sunshine Georgies 1 - 0 South Melbourne L
26 Aug 2026Australia Cup Preston Lions 1 - 2 South Melbourne W
23 Aug 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 2 Heidelberg United L
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
29 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Melbourne City II 1 - 2 Green Gully W
21 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 1 - 2 St. Albans Saints L
14 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Oakleigh Cannons 4 - 1 Green Gully L
31 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Preston Lions 2 - 2 Green Gully D
24 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 0 - 0 Dandenong City D
17 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 3 - 1 Dandenong Thunder W
10 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 1 - 3 Altona Magic L
03 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 3 - 0 Bentleigh Greens W
28 Jun 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 2 Green Gully W
20 Jun 2026Victoria NPL Hume City 3 - 2 Green Gully L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
South Melbourne Draw Green Gully
Value spotted: Green Gully win at 6.81 (model 38% vs market 13%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.4%
1-2 8.3%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.7%
0-1 6.5%
1-0 6.5%

Expected goals: 1.6 South Melbourne · 1.6 Green Gully

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
80%
Form
20%
73%
Attack
27%
41%
Defence
59%
59%
Goal model
41%
71%
Head to head
29%
75%
Goals
25%
66%
Overall
33%

Season numbers

Victoria NPL 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
1
5
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
0
6
46-60'
3
5
61-75'
1
6
76-90'
1
3
0-15'
5
4
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
4
6
46-60'
10
7
61-75'
4
3
76-90'
7
South Melbourne Green Gully

Side by side

South Melbourne Green Gully
17 Played 17
8 Won 0
1 Drawn 4
8 Lost 13
1.6 Goals scored per game 0.5
1.8 Goals conceded per game 2.2
1.1 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 0.3 / 0.7
5 Clean sheets 1
5 Failed to score 10
3 Longest winning run 0
4-2 Biggest win -
0-4 Biggest defeat 0-5
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

South Melbourne vs Green Gully: preview and prediction

South Melbourne host Green Gully in the Australia Victoria NPL (Regular Season - 18) on Sunday, 28th June 2026 at 06:30 at Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne. South Melbourne sit 5th in the table and Green Gully 13th.

South Melbourne are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-W). Green Gully have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, South Melbourne won 6, Green Gully won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 22% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for South Melbourne and 1.6 for Green Gully. It gives South Melbourne the edge (38% home win, 23% draw, 38% away win), 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.53.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

South Melbourne vs Green Gully FAQs

What is the best prediction for South Melbourne vs Green Gully?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.53 odds).

Who will win South Melbourne vs Green Gully?

It looks very close: our model gives South Melbourne 38%, the draw 23% and Green Gully 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 22% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is South Melbourne vs Green Gully?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 28th June 2026 at 06:30 at Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne.