RaraBet
Home Pricing About Partners News Contact Us
Register Login

Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar Prediction, H2H & Stats

Tanzania: Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 13
Simba

Simba

2nd in table
WWWWW
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 0
Mtibwa Sugar

Mtibwa Sugar

15th in table
LLLLL
20' E. Mpanzu
32' P. Datius
61' F. Magata
80' S. Kapombe
87' C. Malimi
Sunday, 18 January 2026
KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
6Simba wins
2Draws
0Mtibwa Sugar wins
3.1Goals per game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
03 May 2024Ligi kuu Bara Simba 2 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar
17 Aug 2023Ligi kuu Bara Mtibwa Sugar 2 - 4 Simba
11 Mar 2023Ligi kuu Bara Mtibwa Sugar 0 - 3 Simba
30 Oct 2022Ligi kuu Bara Simba 5 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar
23 Jun 2022Ligi kuu Bara Simba 2 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar
22 Jan 2022Ligi kuu Bara Mtibwa Sugar 0 - 0 Simba
14 Apr 2021Ligi kuu Bara Simba 5 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar
12 Sep 2020Ligi kuu Bara Mtibwa Sugar 1 - 1 Simba

Ligi kuu Bara table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Young Africans 302361 71:9 +62 75 WWWWW
2 Simba 302271 54:11 +43 73 WWWWW
3 Azam 3018102 46:12 +34 64 WWLWW
4 Singida Black Stars 3015510 47:35 +12 50 LLWWW
5 Tabora United 3011109 33:28 +5 43 DLDDW
6 JKT Tanzania 3010128 30:33 -3 42 LWDLL
7 Pamba Jiji 309912 32:35 -3 36 LLLWL
8 Coastal Union 309912 31:37 -6 36 WLDWD
9 Dodoma Jiji 3081111 25:36 -11 35 LDDLL
10 Namungo 3071310 25:32 -7 34 WDWDD
11 Mashujaa 3071211 15:27 -12 33 LWWLL
12 Fountain Gate 309615 25:44 -19 33 WDLLL
13 Tanzania Prisons 309516 23:41 -18 32 WWLWW
14 Mbeya City 307914 24:41 -17 30 DDWLW
15 Mtibwa Sugar 306915 25:48 -23 27 LLLLL
16 KMC 302325 16:53 -37 9 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligi kuu Bara
1 J. AhouaSimba 1goals 1assists 3apps
2 C. EcuaYoung Africans 1goals 0assists 6apps

Recent form

9 W 0 D 0 L in the last 9
02 Nov 2026Ligi kuu Bara Simba 3 - 2 Namungo W
29 Oct 2026Ligi kuu Bara Fountain Gate 0 - 1 Simba W
25 Oct 2026CAF Champions League Simba 3 - 0 15 de Agosto W
21 Oct 2026CAF Champions League 15 de Agosto 1 - 6 Simba W
13 Oct 2026Ligi kuu Bara Simba 6 - 1 Mashujaa W
10 Oct 2026Ligi kuu Bara Simba 2 - 1 Young Africans W
16 Sep 2026Ligi kuu Bara Azam 0 - 2 Simba W
13 Sep 2026CAF Champions League Simba 6 - 1 Be Forward Wanderers W
06 Sep 2026CAF Champions League Be Forward Wanderers 0 - 1 Simba W
1 W 1 D 8 L in the last 10
30 Jun 2026Ligi kuu Bara Namungo 2 - 1 Mtibwa Sugar L
27 Jun 2026Ligi kuu Bara Tanzania Prisons 2 - 1 Mtibwa Sugar L
24 Jun 2026Ligi kuu Bara Mtibwa Sugar 0 - 3 Simba L
18 Jun 2026Ligi kuu Bara Pamba Jiji 4 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar L
13 Jun 2026Ligi kuu Bara Mbeya City 1 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar L
24 May 2026Ligi kuu Bara Mtibwa Sugar 2 - 2 JKT Tanzania D
20 May 2026Ligi kuu Bara Tabora United 2 - 1 Mtibwa Sugar L
14 May 2026Ligi kuu Bara Mtibwa Sugar 4 - 3 KMC W
09 May 2026Ligi kuu Bara Singida Black Stars 4 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar L
06 May 2026Ligi kuu Bara Mtibwa Sugar 0 - 1 Dodoma Jiji L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Simba Draw Mtibwa Sugar
Value spotted: Draw at 5.45 (model 26% vs market 16%) · Mtibwa Sugar win at 16.50 (model 11% vs market 5%)

Most likely scores

1-0 21.7%
2-0 15.7%
0-0 15%
1-1 9.8%
3-0 7.6%
2-1 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.45 Simba · 0.45 Mtibwa Sugar

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams score28%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
85%
Attack
15%
50%
Defence
50%
100%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
89%
Goals
11%
72%
Overall
27%

Season numbers

Ligi kuu Bara 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
1
Simba Mtibwa Sugar

Side by side

Simba Mtibwa Sugar
5 Played 8
4 Won 2
0 Drawn 4
1 Lost 2
2.2 Goals scored per game 0.5
0.6 Goals conceded per game 0.5
2.3 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 0
3 Clean sheets 5
1 Failed to score 6
4 Longest winning run 1
3-0 Biggest win 2-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 2-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar: preview and prediction

Simba host Mtibwa Sugar in the Tanzania Ligi kuu Bara (Regular Season - 13) on Sunday, 18th January 2026 at 14:00 at KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam. Simba sit 2nd in the table and Mtibwa Sugar 15th.

Simba are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Mtibwa Sugar are struggling, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Simba won 6, Mtibwa Sugar won 0 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Simba and 0.45 for Mtibwa Sugar. It gives Simba the edge (62% home win, 26% draw, 11% away win), 30% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Under 3.5 at odds of 1.40.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar FAQs

What is the best prediction for Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar?

Our top tip is Free Tip: Under 3.5 (1.40 odds).

Who will win Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar?

Simba are favourites: our model gives Simba 62%, the draw 26% and Mtibwa Sugar 11%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 28% chance in our model, and it happened in 25% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.9 goals in total, with a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Simba vs Mtibwa Sugar?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th January 2026 at 14:00 at KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam.