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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva Prediction, H2H & Stats

Russia: Cup · Regions Path - Quarter-finals
Shinnik Yaroslavl

Shinnik Yaroslavl

WLDWL
Full time
2:0
HT 1 - 0
Torpedo Moskva

Torpedo Moskva

WWWDD
21' Jonathan Okoronkwo
30' D. Martovoy (Penalty)
32' Artur Chernyi
76' A. Golubev
90+1' Eduard Valiakhmetov
Thursday, 10 September 2026
Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
1Shinnik Yaroslavl wins
6Draws
2Torpedo Moskva wins
1.4Goals per game
56%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
26 Jul 2026First League Torpedo Moskva 1 - 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
11 May 2026First League Shinnik Yaroslavl 1 - 1 Torpedo Moskva
20 Oct 2025First League Torpedo Moskva 0 - 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
11 May 2025First League Torpedo Moskva 1 - 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
21 Sep 2024First League Shinnik Yaroslavl 1 - 1 Torpedo Moskva
20 Jun 2024Friendlies Clubs Torpedo Moskva 1 - 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
20 May 2024First League Torpedo Moskva 1 - 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
28 Oct 2023First League Shinnik Yaroslavl 1 - 1 Torpedo Moskva
15 May 2021First League Torpedo Moskva 0 - 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl

Top scorers

Cup
1 Matheus ReisCSKA Moscow 1goals 0assists 1apps
2 O. NdongAkhmat 0goals 1assists 1apps
3 João EscovalAkron 0goals 0assists 1apps
4 F. MoufiBaltika 0goals 0assists 1apps
5 Ygor NogueiraFC Rostov 0goals 0assists 1apps
6 Kevin PinaFC Krasnodar 0goals 0assists 1apps
7 BatxiFC Krasnodar 0goals 0assists 1apps
8 Júlio RomãoAkhmat 0goals 0assists 1apps
9 Gilson BenchimolAkron 0goals 0assists 1apps
10 M. HosseinnezhadDinamo Makhachkala 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026First League Chelyabinsk 2 - 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl L
26 Oct 2026First League Shinnik Yaroslavl 2 - 1 Spartak Kostroma W
18 Oct 2026First League Veles 1 - 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl D
14 Oct 2026Cup Nizhny Novgorod 4 - 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl L
10 Oct 2026First League Shinnik Yaroslavl 2 - 0 Tekstilshchik W
27 Sep 2026First League Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 - 0 Ska-khabarovsk D
18 Sep 2026First League Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 - 1 KAMAZ L
14 Sep 2026First League Shinnik Yaroslavl 1 - 1 Ural D
10 Sep 2026Cup Shinnik Yaroslavl 2 - 0 Torpedo Moskva W
05 Sep 2026First League Shinnik Yaroslavl 2 - 2 Rotor Volgograd D
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026First League KAMAZ 1 - 1 Torpedo Moskva D
23 Oct 2026First League Torpedo Moskva 1 - 1 Rotor Volgograd D
17 Oct 2026First League Enisey 1 - 2 Torpedo Moskva W
10 Oct 2026First League Leningradets 1 - 3 Torpedo Moskva W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Torpedo Zhodino 1 - 2 Torpedo Moskva W
27 Sep 2026First League FC UFA 0 - 0 Torpedo Moskva D
17 Sep 2026First League Torpedo Moskva 1 - 1 Veles D
13 Sep 2026First League Torpedo Moskva 1 - 2 Nizhny Novgorod L
10 Sep 2026Cup Shinnik Yaroslavl 2 - 0 Torpedo Moskva L
04 Sep 2026First League Tekstilshchik 1 - 4 Torpedo Moskva W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Shinnik Yaroslavl Draw Torpedo Moskva
Value spotted: Shinnik Yaroslavl win at 3.28 (model 44% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Shinnik Yaroslavl · 1.1 Torpedo Moskva

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
36%
Head to head
64%
43%
Goals
57%
39%
Overall
60%

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva: preview and prediction

Shinnik Yaroslavl host Torpedo Moskva in the Russia Cup (Regions Path - Quarter-finals) on Thursday, 10th September 2026 at 17:30 at Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl.

Shinnik Yaroslavl have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-L). Torpedo Moskva are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Shinnik Yaroslavl won 1, Torpedo Moskva won 2 and 6 ended level. These games average 1.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 1.1 for Torpedo Moskva. It gives Shinnik Yaroslavl the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.35. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva FAQs

What is the best prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.35 odds).

Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?

Shinnik Yaroslavl are favourites: our model gives Shinnik Yaroslavl 44%, the draw 27% and Torpedo Moskva 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 10th September 2026 at 17:30 at Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl.