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Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ireland: Premier Division · Regular Season - 27
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

4th in table
DWWWL
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 2
St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

3rd in table
WLLDL
7' A. Olusanya
10' Ali Coote
12' Anthony Olusanya
34' J. Brown
45+2' Rodrigo Freitas
70' J. Norris
77' Rodrigo Freitas
77' Rodrigo Freitas
81' Jamie Lennon
82' Odhran Casey
90+6' Ryan Edmondson
90+2' Ryan Sheridan
Sunday, 9 August 2026
Tolka Park, Dublin
R. Hennessey

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Shelbourne wins
2Draws
3St Patrick's Athl. wins
2.1Goals per game
38%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
15 May 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 1 Shelbourne
06 Mar 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 2 - 3 St Patrick's Athl.
01 Nov 2025Premier Division Shelbourne 0 - 0 St Patrick's Athl.
17 Aug 2025FAI Cup St Patrick's Athl. 2 - 0 Shelbourne
16 Jun 2025Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 1 Shelbourne
09 May 2025Premier Division Shelbourne 2 - 1 St Patrick's Athl.
04 Apr 2025Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 0 Shelbourne
30 Sep 2024Premier Division Shelbourne 2 - 3 St Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Shamrock Rovers 362088 59:38 +21 68 LWLWW
2 Bohemians 361989 63:44 +19 65 WLWLW
3 St Patrick's Athl. 3617910 55:31 +24 60 LDLLW
4 Shelbourne 36121311 52:50 +2 49 LWWWD
5 Derry City 36111510 50:47 +3 48 DWWLW
6 Dundalk 36111213 55:59 -4 45 WLDLL
7 Waterford 36101313 54:61 -7 43 WWWLL
8 Galway United 36101214 46:53 -7 42 LDLWD
9 Drogheda United 36101016 44:57 -13 40 WLWLL
10 Sligo Rovers 3651021 28:66 -38 25 DLDLL

Top scorers

Premier Division
1 T. LonerganWaterford 16goals 7assists 34apps
2 P. AmondWaterford 14goals 1assists 36apps
3 C. WhelanBohemians 13goals 6assists 36apps
4 D. HorganDundalk 12goals 10assists 35apps
5 R. TierneyBohemians 11goals 3assists 35apps
6 M. DuffyDerry City 11goals 5assists 27apps
7 J. McGovernShamrock Rovers 10goals 7assists 31apps
8 R. EdmondsonSt Patrick's Athl. 10goals 1assists 36apps
9 M. DoyleDrogheda United 10goals 1assists 34apps
10 A. KeenaSt Patrick's Athl. 10goals 5assists 31apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 2 - 3 Waterford L
23 Oct 2026Premier Division Bohemians 0 - 1 Shelbourne W
16 Oct 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 2 Shelbourne W
09 Oct 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 5 - 1 Sligo Rovers W
25 Sep 2026Premier Division Galway United 1 - 1 Shelbourne D
18 Sep 2026Premier Division Dundalk 2 - 3 Shelbourne W
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 1 - 2 Drogheda United L
11 Sep 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 0 - 1 Derry City L
04 Sep 2026Premier Division Shamrock Rovers 0 - 0 Shelbourne D
28 Aug 2026Premier Division Galway United 1 - 1 Shelbourne D
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 2 - 3 Bohemians L
23 Oct 2026Premier Division Galway United 0 - 0 St Patrick's Athl. D
19 Oct 2026Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 St Patrick's Athl. L
16 Oct 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 2 Shelbourne L
19 Sep 2026Premier Division Sligo Rovers 0 - 1 St Patrick's Athl. W
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Dundalk 0 - 4 St Patrick's Athl. W
11 Sep 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 2 - 0 Shamrock Rovers W
05 Sep 2026FAI Cup St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 1 Bohemians D
28 Aug 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 2 Waterford L
21 Aug 2026Premier Division Drogheda United 0 - 2 St Patrick's Athl. W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Shelbourne Draw St Patrick's Athl.
Value spotted: Shelbourne win at 3.30 (model 36% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.4%
0-1 9.5%
1-0 9.2%
1-2 8.4%
2-1 8.1%
0-0 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.3 Shelbourne · 1.35 St Patrick's Athl.

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score54%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
45%
Form
55%
50%
Attack
50%
36%
Defence
64%
44%
Goal model
56%
50%
Head to head
50%
44%
Goals
56%
44%
Overall
55%

Season numbers

Premier Division 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
7
2
16-30'
6
8
31-45'
5
5
46-60'
9
9
61-75'
5
7
76-90'
9
6
0-15'
6
6
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
5
7
46-60'
0
6
61-75'
6
5
76-90'
4
Shelbourne St Patrick's Athl.

Side by side

Shelbourne St Patrick's Athl.
25 Played 26
8 Won 12
10 Drawn 8
7 Lost 6
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.4 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.4 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 2.1 / 1
5 Clean sheets 9
5 Failed to score 9
2 Longest winning run 4
2-1 Biggest win 4-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-1
3/3 Penalties scored 4/4

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.: preview and prediction

Shelbourne host St Patrick's Athl. in the Ireland Premier Division (Regular Season - 27) on Sunday, 9th August 2026 at 17:00 at Tolka Park, Dublin. Shelbourne sit 4th in the table and St Patrick's Athl. 3rd.

Shelbourne are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-L). St Patrick's Athl. are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-D-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Shelbourne won 3, St Patrick's Athl. won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Shelbourne and 1.35 for St Patrick's Athl.. It gives St Patrick's Athl. the edge (36% home win, 26% draw, 38% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.31. We also like BTTS Yes, Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. FAQs

What is the best prediction for Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.31 odds).

Who will win Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?

St Patrick's Athl. are favourites: our model gives Shelbourne 36%, the draw 26% and St Patrick's Athl. 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 9th August 2026 at 17:00 at Tolka Park, Dublin.

Who is the referee?

R. Hennessey is in charge of this game.