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Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Serie A · Regular Season - 21
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

10th in table
LWWDL
Full time
1:2
HT 1 - 1
Santos

Santos

9th in table
LWDDL
33' Lucas Veríssimo
34' Luciano (Penalty)
36' Gabriel Barbosa
41' Luciano
45' Christian Oliva
54' Gabriel Barbosa
76' Everton Cebolinha
Saturday, 3 October 2026
Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo
Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Sao Paulo wins
2Draws
3Santos wins
2.4Goals per game
56%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
04 Feb 2026Serie A Santos 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
31 Jan 2026Paulista - A1 Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Santos
21 Sep 2025Serie A Santos 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
20 Apr 2025Serie A Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Santos
01 Feb 2025Paulista - A1 Santos 3 - 1 Sao Paulo
14 Feb 2024Paulista - A1 Sao Paulo 0 - 1 Santos
12 Nov 2023Serie A Santos 0 - 0 Sao Paulo
16 Jul 2023Serie A Sao Paulo 4 - 1 Santos
12 Feb 2023Paulista - A1 Sao Paulo 3 - 1 Santos

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 332274 68:28 +40 73 WWWWD
2 Palmeiras 3320103 56:22 +34 70 DWWWW
3 Cruzeiro 3317610 52:46 +6 57 WWWLW
4 Fluminense 331599 52:42 +10 54 WLLLW
5 Atletico Paranaense 331599 50:40 +10 54 LDLWD
6 Bahia 3314118 48:42 +6 53 WDLWL
7 Atletico-MG 3314811 44:39 +5 50 LLWWD
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 44:39 +5 47 WWLDW
9 Santos 34121111 50:49 +1 47 LDDWL
10 Sao Paulo 3312714 39:39 0 43 LDWWL
11 Coritiba 3311913 40:50 -10 42 WLLDL
12 Botafogo 3310914 45:53 -8 39 LLWDL
13 Vasco DA Gama 3210814 40:49 -9 38 LWLDW
14 Vitoria 3310815 35:48 -13 38 LDDLW
15 Gremio 3391014 37:44 -7 37 WWLDD
16 Mirassol 3391014 37:47 -10 37 LDWLD
17 Corinthians 339915 36:42 -6 36 WLDLL
18 Internacional 3381114 37:42 -5 35 LWLDW
19 Remo 3361116 36:51 -15 29 WLDDD
20 Chapecoense-sc 324919 32:66 -34 21 LWLLL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 31apps
2 PedroFlamengo 18goals 6assists 33apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 25apps
4 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 12goals 2assists 26apps
5 Samuel LinoFlamengo 11goals 9assists 32apps
6 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 32apps
7 Luciano JubaBahia 11goals 1assists 29apps
8 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 25apps
9 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 25apps
10 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 2assists 27apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 3 - 2 Sao Paulo L
24 Oct 2026Serie A Mirassol 1 - 1 Sao Paulo D
18 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vitoria W
08 Oct 2026Serie A Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Sao Paulo L
02 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Santos L
20 Sep 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Internacional W
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Boca Juniors D
12 Sep 2026Serie A Palmeiras 2 - 0 Sao Paulo L
09 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Sao Paulo L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Serie A RB Bragantino 2 - 1 Santos L
28 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 0 - 0 Palmeiras D
25 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 1 - 1 Bahia D
18 Oct 2026Serie A Fluminense 1 - 2 Santos W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Santos L
08 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo D
02 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Santos W
19 Sep 2026Serie A Remo 1 - 2 Santos W
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico-MG 4 - 2 Santos L
13 Sep 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 1 Cruzeiro W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Sao Paulo Draw Santos

Most likely scores

1-1 11.5%
1-0 9.5%
2-1 9.4%
2-0 7.9%
0-1 6.9%
1-2 6.9%

Expected goals: 1.65 Sao Paulo · 1.2 Santos

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams score56%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
41%
Form
59%
36%
Attack
64%
56%
Defence
44%
62%
Goal model
38%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
49%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
8
3
31-45'
10
5
46-60'
8
9
61-75'
6
4
76-90'
9
1
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
6
6
31-45'
5
10
46-60'
4
3
61-75'
8
8
76-90'
12
Sao Paulo Santos

Side by side

Sao Paulo Santos
27 Played 27
10 Won 10
6 Drawn 8
11 Lost 9
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.6 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 1.6
6 Clean sheets 6
6 Failed to score 3
4 Longest winning run 1
4-1 Biggest win 3-1
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-3
5/5 Penalties scored 6/6

Sao Paulo vs Santos: preview and prediction

Sao Paulo host Santos in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 21) on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo. Sao Paulo sit 10th in the table and Santos 9th.

Sao Paulo have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-L). Santos have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Sao Paulo won 4, Santos won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.2 for Santos. It gives Sao Paulo the edge (48% home win, 24% draw, 28% away win), 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 3.74. We also like Under 2.5, Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Sao Paulo vs Santos FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sao Paulo vs Santos?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (3.74 odds).

Who will win Sao Paulo vs Santos?

Sao Paulo are favourites: our model gives Sao Paulo 48%, the draw 24% and Santos 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Sao Paulo vs Santos?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo.

Who is the referee?

Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil is in charge of this game.