São Bernardo vs Noroeste Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Paulista - A1 · Regular Season - 3
São Bernardo

São Bernardo

13th in table
LDLWW
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 0
Noroeste

Noroeste

14th in table
WDDDL
8' Foguinho
13' Joao Paulo
16' Pará
33' Carlão
38' Pedro Felipe
46' Carlinhos
58' Carlao (Penalty)
60' Helder Maciel
79' Hugo
Sunday, 18 January 2026
Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo
d. S. Rosario M.

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
1São Bernardo wins
0Draws
0Noroeste wins
5Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
12 Feb 2025Paulista - A1 Noroeste 2 - 3 São Bernardo

Paulista - A1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Novorizontino 8512 16:10 +6 16 LWDWW
2 Palmeiras 8512 8:7 +1 16 DWLWL
3 RB Bragantino 8440 14:2 +12 16 WDDDD
4 Portuguesa 8503 11:7 +4 15 WWWLW
5 Corinthians 8422 10:6 +4 14 WLWWD
6 Sao Paulo 8413 11:12 -1 13 WWWLL
7 Capivariano 8413 7:10 -3 13 WWLLD
8 Santos 8332 12:7 +5 12 WWLDD
9 Guarani Campinas 8332 6:7 -1 12 DLWWW
10 Botafogo SP 8323 5:9 -4 11 LWWLW
11 Mirassol 8224 10:8 +2 8 LLDWD
12 Primavera SP 8224 14:15 -1 8 DLLWL
13 São Bernardo 8224 8:10 -2 8 LLDLW
14 Noroeste 8152 11:11 0 8 DLWDD
15 Velo Clube 8125 2:13 -11 5 LDLLL
16 Ponte Preta 8017 3:14 -11 1 LLLDL

Top scorers

Paulista - A1
1 RobsonNovorizontino 7goals 3assists 11apps
2 J. LópezPalmeiras 6goals 3assists 11apps
3 RomuloNovorizontino 5goals 3assists 9apps
4 J. CalleriSao Paulo 5goals 0assists 9apps
5 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 4goals 2assists 8apps
6 Gabriel PovedaPrimavera SP 4goals 0assists 8apps
7 CarlãoNoroeste 4goals 0assists 8apps
8 EvertonPortuguesa 3goals 0assists 9apps
9 Jhon JhonRB Bragantino 3goals 0assists 2apps
10 RenePortuguesa 3goals 1assists 8apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie B Cuiaba 1 - 2 São Bernardo W
24 Oct 2026Serie B São Bernardo 3 - 2 Vila Nova W
18 Oct 2026Serie B São Bernardo 0 - 1 Criciuma L
11 Oct 2026Serie B Juventude 2 - 2 São Bernardo D
06 Oct 2026Serie B Sport Recife 2 - 1 São Bernardo L
02 Oct 2026Serie B São Bernardo 3 - 1 CRB W
25 Sep 2026Serie B Novorizontino 0 - 0 São Bernardo D
19 Sep 2026Serie B São Bernardo 1 - 0 Atletico Goianiense W
14 Sep 2026Serie B America Mineiro 0 - 2 São Bernardo W
10 Sep 2026Serie B São Bernardo 1 - 2 Londrina L
2 W 6 D 2 L in the last 10
03 Oct 2026Copa Paulista São José EC 1 - 0 Noroeste L
27 Sep 2026Copa Paulista Noroeste 1 - 1 São José EC D
19 Sep 2026Copa Paulista Noroeste 0 - 0 Primavera SP D
12 Sep 2026Copa Paulista Primavera SP 2 - 2 Noroeste D
22 Aug 2026Copa Paulista Noroeste 4 - 3 Comercial W
19 Aug 2026Copa Paulista União São João 1 - 1 Noroeste D
09 Aug 2026Copa Paulista Noroeste 2 - 1 XV de Piracicaba W
01 Aug 2026Copa Paulista XV de Piracicaba 1 - 1 Noroeste D
25 Jul 2026Copa Paulista Noroeste 2 - 2 União São João D
18 Jul 2026Copa Paulista Comercial 2 - 0 Noroeste L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
São Bernardo Draw Noroeste
Value spotted: São Bernardo win at 1.70 (model 75% vs market 54%)

Most likely scores

2-0 12.1%
3-0 10.1%
1-0 9.7%
2-1 9.1%
3-1 7.6%
1-1 7.3%

Expected goals: 2.5 São Bernardo · 0.75 Noroeste

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
80%
Attack
20%
67%
Defence
33%
100%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
60%
Goals
40%
70%
Overall
29%

Season numbers

Paulista - A1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
São Bernardo Noroeste

Side by side

São Bernardo Noroeste
2 Played 2
1 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 0.5
0.5 Goals conceded per game 1
4 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 1
1 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 0
4-0 Biggest win -
1-0 Biggest defeat 0-1
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

São Bernardo vs Noroeste: preview and prediction

São Bernardo host Noroeste in the Brazil Paulista - A1 (Regular Season - 3) on Sunday, 18th January 2026 at 19:00 at Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo. São Bernardo sit 13th in the table and Noroeste 14th.

São Bernardo have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-W-W). Noroeste have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-D-D-L).

In the last 1 meetings, São Bernardo won 1, Noroeste won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 5 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for São Bernardo and 0.75 for Noroeste. It gives São Bernardo the edge (75% home win, 15% draw, 9% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.70. We also like BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

São Bernardo vs Noroeste FAQs

What is the best prediction for São Bernardo vs Noroeste?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.70 odds).

Who will win São Bernardo vs Noroeste?

São Bernardo are favourites: our model gives São Bernardo 75%, the draw 15% and Noroeste 9%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is São Bernardo vs Noroeste?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th January 2026 at 19:00 at Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo.

Who is the referee?

d. S. Rosario M. is in charge of this game.