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Salernitana vs Bari Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italy: Serie C - Girone C · Girone C - 8
Salernitana

Salernitana

12th in table
WDDLD
Full time
2:1
HT 0 - 1
Bari

Bari

2nd in table
WDDLD
10' K. Butic (Penalty)
12' K. Butic
37' M. Vitale
74' M. Cerofolini
83' F. Lescano
83' F. Lescano
88' M. Varela Djamanca
90+1' E. D'Ursi
Sunday, 4 October 2026
Stadio Arechi, Salerno
A. Diop

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
0Salernitana wins
5Draws
2Bari wins
1.7Goals per game
43%Both scored
14%Over 2.5
15 Mar 2025Serie B Bari 0 - 0 Salernitana
10 Nov 2024Serie B Salernitana 0 - 2 Bari
31 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs Bari 1 - 1 Salernitana
07 Apr 2018Serie B Bari 1 - 1 Salernitana
04 Nov 2017Serie B Salernitana 2 - 2 Bari
25 Apr 2017Serie B Salernitana 0 - 0 Bari
03 Dec 2016Serie B Bari 2 - 0 Salernitana

Serie C - Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Potenza 12921 32:17 +15 29 WDWWW
2 Bari 12642 15:8 +7 22 DDDWL
3 Audace Cerignola 12624 19:11 +8 20 WLWWD
4 Sorrento 12624 16:13 +3 20 LDDLW
5 Catania 12615 24:13 +11 19 LWLWW
6 SS Monopoli 12543 13:9 +4 19 DWWLD
7 AZ Picerno 12606 22:19 +3 18 WWLLL
8 Scafatese 12462 18:16 +2 18 DLWDW
9 Inter U23 12525 21:20 +1 17 LWDLW
10 Casertana 12453 16:15 +1 17 LDDWL
11 Cavese 12435 21:20 +1 15 LLWDW
12 Salernitana 12363 15:16 -1 15 DLDDW
13 Foggia 12435 13:15 -2 15 DWLLW
14 Casarano 12435 15:20 -5 15 DWLDL
15 Team Altamura 12435 11:17 -6 15 WDWLD
16 Giugliano 12417 16:29 -13 13 WLWLL
17 Barletta 12264 13:16 -3 12 DLWDL
18 Savoia 12264 13:18 -5 12 DDLWD
19 Cosenza 12237 10:23 -13 9 WDLWL
20 Crotone 12147 12:20 -8 1 LLDLL

Recent form

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie C - Girone C Salernitana 1 - 1 Savoia D
26 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C AZ Picerno 3 - 0 Salernitana L
17 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Salernitana 2 - 2 Scafatese D
11 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Casarano 0 - 0 Salernitana D
04 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Salernitana 2 - 1 Bari W
26 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Crotone 2 - 1 Salernitana L
19 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Salernitana 1 - 0 Giugliano W
15 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Barletta 1 - 1 Salernitana D
11 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Salernitana 4 - 2 Potenza W
06 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Salernitana 1 - 1 Cavese D
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 1 - 1 Scafatese D
27 Oct 2026Coppa Italia Serie C Potenza 2 - 1 Bari L
23 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Casertana 1 - 1 Bari D
18 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 0 - 0 Crotone D
10 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 2 - 0 Giugliano W
04 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone C Salernitana 2 - 1 Bari L
26 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 1 - 0 Cosenza W
19 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Sorrento 1 - 2 Bari W
15 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Bari 0 - 0 Potenza D
11 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone C Team Altamura 0 - 3 Bari W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Salernitana Draw Bari
Value spotted: Bari win at 3.24 (model 37% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11%
2-1 8.5%
1-2 8.3%
1-0 7.3%
0-1 7.1%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.55 Salernitana · 1.5 Bari

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score61%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
38%
Form
62%
53%
Attack
47%
14%
Defence
86%
45%
Goal model
55%
36%
Head to head
64%
40%
Goals
60%
37%
Overall
62%

Season numbers

Serie C - Girone C 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
3
3
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
Salernitana Bari

Side by side

Salernitana Bari
7 Played 7
2 Won 5
3 Drawn 1
2 Lost 1
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.3 Goals conceded per game 0.6
1.8 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.7
1 Clean sheets 5
0 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 2
4-2 Biggest win 3-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 3-0
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Salernitana vs Bari: preview and prediction

Salernitana host Bari in the Italy Serie C - Girone C (Girone C - 8) on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 19:30 at Stadio Arechi, Salerno. Salernitana sit 12th in the table and Bari 2nd.

Salernitana have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-D-L-D). Bari have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-D-L-D).

In the last 7 meetings, Salernitana won 0, Bari won 2 and 5 ended level. These games average 1.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 14%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for Salernitana and 1.5 for Bari. It gives Salernitana the edge (39% home win, 24% draw, 37% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.59. We also like BTTS Yes, Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Salernitana vs Bari FAQs

What is the best prediction for Salernitana vs Bari?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.59 odds).

Who will win Salernitana vs Bari?

Salernitana are favourites: our model gives Salernitana 39%, the draw 24% and Bari 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 61% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Salernitana vs Bari?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 19:30 at Stadio Arechi, Salerno.

Who is the referee?

A. Diop is in charge of this game.