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Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J2/J3 League · Placement matches - Final
Sagan Tosu

Sagan Tosu

LWLLW
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare

3rd in table
DDWLL
17' Arthur Feitoza
88' K. Sakamoto
Saturday, 6 June 2026
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Sagan Tosu wins
2Draws
4Shonan Bellmare wins
3.3Goals per game
63%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
31 Aug 2024J1 League Sagan Tosu 1 - 2 Shonan Bellmare
06 May 2024J1 League Shonan Bellmare 2 - 1 Sagan Tosu
24 Jun 2023J1 League Shonan Bellmare 0 - 6 Sagan Tosu
18 Feb 2023J1 League Sagan Tosu 1 - 5 Shonan Bellmare
29 Oct 2022J1 League Shonan Bellmare 3 - 0 Sagan Tosu
26 Feb 2022J1 League Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 Shonan Bellmare
16 Oct 2021J1 League Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 Shonan Bellmare
27 Feb 2021J1 League Shonan Bellmare 0 - 1 Sagan Tosu

J2/J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Vegalta Sendai 181152 32:15 +17 43 WWLWW
2 Blaublitz Akita 181125 23:14 +9 35 LWWWL
3 Shonan Bellmare 18846 25:19 +6 31 LLLLL
4 Yokohama FC 18837 34:27 +7 29 WWWWW
5 Sagamihara 18756 31:33 -2 28 WWLLW
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18648 26:36 -10 23 LLWLL
7 Montedio Yamagata 186210 20:25 -5 22 LLWLL
8 Tochigi City 18549 20:33 -13 21 WWLWW
9 Vanraure Hachinohe 18468 15:19 -4 20 DLDWL
10 Tochigi SC 18459 23:28 -5 18 WLDLW

Top scorers

J2/J3 League
1 K. SafoConsadole Sapporo 1goals 0assists 13apps
2 S. KawasakiNara Club 1goals 0assists 11apps
3 Pedro AugustoTochigi City 0goals 0assists 9apps
4 Haruka SuzukiKanazawa 0goals 0assists 1apps
5 Gun-il KimThespakusatsu Gunma 0goals 0assists 1apps
6 Taro KagawaKataller Toyama 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026J2 League Shonan Bellmare 0 - 1 Sagan Tosu W
31 Oct 2026J2 League Jubilo Iwata 2 - 0 Sagan Tosu L
28 Oct 2026J-League Cup Sagan Tosu 0 - 2 Kawasaki Frontale L
25 Oct 2026J2 League Sagan Tosu 2 - 0 Vanraure Hachinohe W
21 Oct 2026J2 League Albirex Niigata 2 - 1 Sagan Tosu L
17 Oct 2026J2 League Sagan Tosu 2 - 1 Omiya Ardija W
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Sagan Tosu 2 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka W
10 Oct 2026J2 League Sagan Tosu 1 - 0 Fujieda MYFC W
04 Oct 2026J2 League Blaublitz Akita 1 - 0 Sagan Tosu L
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Sagan Tosu 2 - 1 Tokyo Verdy W
2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026J2 League Shonan Bellmare 0 - 1 Sagan Tosu L
31 Oct 2026J2 League Consadole Sapporo 1 - 0 Shonan Bellmare L
25 Oct 2026J2 League Shonan Bellmare 2 - 1 Tochigi City W
21 Oct 2026J2 League Shonan Bellmare 1 - 1 Iwaki D
17 Oct 2026J2 League Kataller Toyama 1 - 1 Shonan Bellmare D
11 Oct 2026J2 League Shonan Bellmare 1 - 1 Albirex Niigata D
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup FC Tokyo 4 - 0 Shonan Bellmare L
03 Oct 2026J2 League Fujieda MYFC 1 - 1 Shonan Bellmare D
26 Sep 2026J2 League Imabari 1 - 2 Shonan Bellmare W
19 Sep 2026J2 League Shonan Bellmare 1 - 1 Blaublitz Akita D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Sagan Tosu Draw Shonan Bellmare
Value spotted: Shonan Bellmare win at 3.60 (model 39% vs market 26%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.2%
0-1 9.4%
1-0 8.7%
1-2 8.6%
2-1 8%
0-0 6.7%

Expected goals: 1.3 Sagan Tosu · 1.4 Shonan Bellmare

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
75%
Attack
25%
50%
Defence
50%
46%
Goal model
54%
20%
Head to head
80%
43%
Goals
57%
50%
Overall
49%

Season numbers

J2/J3 League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
7
8
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
5
4
61-75'
4
5
76-90'
5
0
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
7
4
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
3
5
76-90'
5
Sagan Tosu Shonan Bellmare

Side by side

Sagan Tosu Shonan Bellmare
19 Played 19
10 Won 11
0 Drawn 0
9 Lost 8
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.6 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.8
8 Clean sheets 5
3 Failed to score 2
3 Longest winning run 5
4-0 Biggest win 4-0
2-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare: preview and prediction

Sagan Tosu host Shonan Bellmare in the Japan J2/J3 League (Placement matches - Final) on Saturday, 6th June 2026 at 11:00 at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu.

Sagan Tosu are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W). Shonan Bellmare have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Sagan Tosu won 2, Shonan Bellmare won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Sagan Tosu and 1.4 for Shonan Bellmare. It gives Shonan Bellmare the edge (35% home win, 26% draw, 39% away win), 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.26. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.26 odds).

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare?

Shonan Bellmare are favourites: our model gives Sagan Tosu 35%, the draw 26% and Shonan Bellmare 39%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 6th June 2026 at 11:00 at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu.