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Rochdale vs Swindon Town Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League Two · Regular Season - 9
Rochdale

Rochdale

14th in table
WLDLD
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Swindon Town

Swindon Town

15th in table
LLDWD
81' Kaelan Majekodunmi
85' Kaelan Majekodunmi
85' Kaelan Majekodunmi
88' C. Hayes
Saturday, 3 October 2026
Spotland, Rochdale

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Rochdale wins
4Draws
3Swindon Town wins
3.7Goals per game
56%Both scored
89%Over 2.5
18 Mar 2023League Two Rochdale 4 - 4 Swindon Town
20 Aug 2022League Two Swindon Town 3 - 0 Rochdale
02 Apr 2022League Two Rochdale 0 - 0 Swindon Town
16 Oct 2021League Two Swindon Town 2 - 2 Rochdale
13 Apr 2021League One Rochdale 2 - 1 Swindon Town
12 Sep 2020League One Swindon Town 3 - 1 Rochdale
19 Nov 2016League One Rochdale 4 - 0 Swindon Town
18 Oct 2016League One Swindon Town 3 - 0 Rochdale
30 Apr 2016League One Rochdale 2 - 2 Swindon Town

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Salford City 12813 19:12 +7 25 WWWWW
2 Barnet 10631 23:15 +8 21 LWWWW
3 Crewe 12561 15:11 +4 21 LWWWD
4 Walsall 11470 16:7 +9 19 WDDDW
5 Cheltenham 12534 21:22 -1 18 WLLLW
6 York 11452 19:13 +6 17 DDDWL
7 Gillingham 12453 17:14 +3 17 DLWDL
8 Shrewsbury 12525 13:17 -4 17 WWLWD
9 Chesterfield 12444 18:16 +2 16 DLDWL
10 Exeter City 12444 8:6 +2 16 WDWWL
11 Accrington ST 12363 17:16 +1 15 DWDWD
12 Newport County 12363 16:15 +1 15 DDWDW
13 Tranmere 12363 15:15 0 15 WLDLD
14 Rochdale 12435 15:17 -2 15 DLDWW
15 Swindon Town 12435 13:16 -3 15 WDLLD
16 Bristol Rovers 12507 16:20 -4 15 LLLLW
17 Grimsby 12354 15:15 0 14 DLLLL
18 Fleetwood Town 12354 14:15 -1 14 LWDLL
19 Colchester 11263 11:14 -3 12 DDLDD
20 Port Vale 10334 6:10 -4 12 DWWLW
21 Oldham 11326 13:17 -4 11 LWDLL
22 Rotherham 12255 14:20 -6 11 DLLLD
23 Northampton 10244 6:8 -2 10 LWDLL
24 Crawley Town 10127 11:20 -9 5 LLDLL

Top scorers

League Two
1 A. DrinanSwindon Town 8goals 1assists 12apps
2 K. TshimangaBarnet 8goals 5assists 10apps
3 C. McCannCheltenham 7goals 1assists 11apps
4 A. PressleyWalsall 7goals 0assists 10apps
5 O. PearceYork 6goals 4assists 11apps
6 C. LakinBarnet 6goals 3assists 10apps
7 A. NewbyYork 6goals 1assists 11apps
8 J. WoodsAccrington ST 6goals 1assists 11apps
9 P. MullinRotherham 6goals 0assists 12apps
10 J. GibsonCrewe 5goals 1assists 12apps

Recent form

3 W 4 D 2 L in the last 9
20 Oct 2026League Two Rochdale 2 - 2 Grimsby D
17 Oct 2026League Two Crewe 3 - 2 Rochdale L
10 Oct 2026League Two Tranmere 1 - 1 Rochdale D
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Huddersfield 5 - 0 Rochdale L
03 Oct 2026League Two Rochdale 1 - 0 Swindon Town W
26 Sep 2026League Two Fleetwood Town 1 - 2 Rochdale W
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Rochdale 3 - 3 Liverpool U21 D
19 Sep 2026League Two Rochdale 2 - 0 Oldham W
12 Sep 2026League Two Walsall 0 - 0 Rochdale D
1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026League Two Bristol Rovers 0 - 0 Swindon Town D
20 Oct 2026League Two Barnet 1 - 3 Swindon Town W
17 Oct 2026League Two Swindon Town 1 - 1 Walsall D
10 Oct 2026League Two Swindon Town 0 - 1 Crewe L
03 Oct 2026League Two Rochdale 1 - 0 Swindon Town L
26 Sep 2026League Two Swindon Town 1 - 1 Accrington ST D
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Swindon Town 0 - 2 Newport County L
19 Sep 2026League Two Salford City 1 - 0 Swindon Town L
15 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Swindon Town 1 - 2 Crystal Palace U21 L
12 Sep 2026League Two York 4 - 0 Swindon Town L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Rochdale Draw Swindon Town
Value spotted: Rochdale win at 2.30 (model 48% vs market 41%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.7%
2-1 9.2%
1-2 7%
1-0 6.7%
2-2 6.7%
2-0 6.3%

Expected goals: 1.9 Rochdale · 1.45 Swindon Town

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score65%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
59%
Form
41%
53%
Attack
47%
62%
Defence
38%
100%
Goal model
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
44%
Goals
56%
53%
Overall
46%

Season numbers

League Two 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
5
Rochdale Swindon Town

Side by side

Rochdale Swindon Town
8 Played 8
3 Won 3
1 Drawn 2
4 Lost 3
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.8 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 0
3 Clean sheets 1
3 Failed to score 4
1 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 3-1
1-4 Biggest defeat 4-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/1

Rochdale vs Swindon Town: preview and prediction

Rochdale host Swindon Town in the England League Two (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 15:00 at Spotland, Rochdale. Rochdale sit 14th in the table and Swindon Town 15th.

Rochdale have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-D). Swindon Town have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Rochdale won 2, Swindon Town won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 89%.

Our goal model expects about 1.9 goals for Rochdale and 1.45 for Swindon Town. It gives Rochdale the edge (48% home win, 22% draw, 30% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 2.30.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Rochdale vs Swindon Town FAQs

What is the best prediction for Rochdale vs Swindon Town?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (2.30 odds).

Who will win Rochdale vs Swindon Town?

Rochdale are favourites: our model gives Rochdale 48%, the draw 22% and Swindon Town 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 65% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Rochdale vs Swindon Town?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 15:00 at Spotland, Rochdale.