Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J3 League · Regular Season - 7
Roasso Kumamoto

Roasso Kumamoto

7th in table
LWWWD
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Matsumoto Yamaga

Matsumoto Yamaga

14th in table
LWLWL
75' T. Shirai
Friday, 18 September 2026
Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Roasso Kumamoto wins
1Draws
6Matsumoto Yamaga wins
2.1Goals per game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
23 Sep 2018J2 League Matsumoto Yamaga 2 - 0 Roasso Kumamoto
30 Jun 2018J2 League Roasso Kumamoto 1 - 3 Matsumoto Yamaga
06 Jun 2018Emperor Cup Matsumoto Yamaga 2 - 2 Roasso Kumamoto
07 Oct 2017J2 League Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 0 Roasso Kumamoto
16 Apr 2017J2 League Roasso Kumamoto 2 - 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
03 Nov 2016J2 League Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 0 Roasso Kumamoto
28 Feb 2016J2 League Roasso Kumamoto 1 - 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
30 Jul 2014J2 League Matsumoto Yamaga 2 - 1 Roasso Kumamoto
09 Mar 2014J2 League Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 1 Matsumoto Yamaga

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Kagoshima United 15942 29:18 +11 31 DDLWW
2 Nara Club 15924 28:21 +7 29 WWLLW
3 FC Gifu 15915 28:15 +13 28 WWLWW
4 Sagamihara 15843 25:15 +10 28 WWDLW
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15834 20:12 +8 27 DLWLW
6 Ehime FC 15825 30:25 +5 26 LLLWL
7 Roasso Kumamoto 14662 16:8 +8 24 DWWWL
8 Osaka 14653 23:14 +9 23 LWWLD
9 FC Ryukyu 15726 23:20 +3 23 LWWWW
10 Parceiro Nagano 15726 22:20 +2 23 WWLLW
11 Kanazawa 15627 27:21 +6 20 LWWLL
12 Kitakyushu 15546 21:23 -2 19 LWWLW
13 Tochigi SC 15465 14:16 -2 18 DWDWL
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15456 15:17 -2 17 LWLWL
15 Biwako Shiga 15528 19:27 -8 17 WLLLL
16 Fukushima United 15438 27:32 -5 15 DLWWL
17 Gainare Tottori 15438 15:29 -14 15 LLDLD
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 154110 12:29 -17 13 LLWLD
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 153210 16:27 -11 11 WLLWL
20 Kochi United 152310 10:31 -21 9 WLDLL

Recent form

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J3 League Kagoshima United 1 - 1 Roasso Kumamoto D
25 Oct 2026J3 League Roasso Kumamoto 2 - 1 FC Gifu W
21 Oct 2026J3 League Roasso Kumamoto 3 - 0 Gainare Tottori W
18 Oct 2026J3 League Kamatamare Sanuki 0 - 3 Roasso Kumamoto W
11 Oct 2026J3 League Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 2 Ehime FC L
02 Oct 2026J3 League Biwako Shiga 0 - 0 Roasso Kumamoto D
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 1 Kawasaki Frontale L
26 Sep 2026J3 League Thespakusatsu Gunma 0 - 1 Roasso Kumamoto W
18 Sep 2026J3 League Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 0 Matsumoto Yamaga D
12 Sep 2026J3 League Fukushima United 1 - 2 Roasso Kumamoto W
5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026J3 League Kamatamare Sanuki 1 - 0 Matsumoto Yamaga L
31 Oct 2026J3 League Fukushima United 1 - 3 Matsumoto Yamaga W
25 Oct 2026J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga 0 - 2 Renofa Yamaguchi L
21 Oct 2026J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga 2 - 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma W
18 Oct 2026J3 League Parceiro Nagano 2 - 1 Matsumoto Yamaga L
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Matsumoto Yamaga 0 - 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L
11 Oct 2026J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 0 Kagoshima United W
03 Oct 2026J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga 0 - 1 Gainare Tottori L
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 0 Albirex Niigata W
26 Sep 2026J3 League Tochigi SC 1 - 2 Matsumoto Yamaga W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Roasso Kumamoto Draw Matsumoto Yamaga
Value spotted: Draw at 3.22 (model 39% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

0-0 25.9%
0-1 19.4%
1-0 15.6%
1-1 11.7%
0-2 7.3%
2-0 4.7%

Expected goals: 0.6 Roasso Kumamoto · 0.75 Matsumoto Yamaga

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals39%
Over 2.5 goals15%
Over 3.5 goals5%
Both teams score24%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
73%
Form
27%
50%
Attack
50%
69%
Defence
31%
37%
Goal model
63%
29%
Head to head
71%
36%
Goals
64%
49%
Overall
51%

Season numbers

J3 League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
1
Roasso Kumamoto Matsumoto Yamaga

Side by side

Roasso Kumamoto Matsumoto Yamaga
6 Played 6
2 Won 0
3 Drawn 4
1 Lost 2
1 Goals scored per game 1
0.7 Goals conceded per game 1.5
0.7 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 0.5
3 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 0
0-2 Biggest win -
0-1 Biggest defeat 1-3
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga: preview and prediction

Roasso Kumamoto host Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan J3 League (Regular Season - 7) on Friday, 18th September 2026 at 11:00 at Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto. Roasso Kumamoto sit 7th in the table and Matsumoto Yamaga 14th.

Roasso Kumamoto are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-D). Matsumoto Yamaga are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Roasso Kumamoto won 2, Matsumoto Yamaga won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 0.6 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 0.75 for Matsumoto Yamaga. It gives Matsumoto Yamaga the edge (26% home win, 39% draw, 35% away win), 15% for over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.43.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga FAQs

What is the best prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.43 odds).

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

It looks very close: our model gives Roasso Kumamoto 26%, the draw 39% and Matsumoto Yamaga 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 24% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.4 goals in total, with a 15% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Kick-off is on Friday, 18th September 2026 at 11:00 at Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto.