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Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 20
Real Madrid II

Real Madrid II

5th in table
WDWLW
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 1
Mérida AD

Mérida AD

10th in table
WWWDL
14' A. Garcia
37' D. Yanez
41' A. Garcia
76' D. Aguado
90+1' M. Angel
Sunday, 18 January 2026
Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, Madrid

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
2Real Madrid II wins
3Draws
2Mérida AD wins
1.9Goals per game
14%Both scored
29%Over 2.5
09 Nov 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 3 - 0 Real Madrid II
10 May 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Mérida AD 0 - 0 Real Madrid II
30 Nov 2024Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Real Madrid II 6 - 0 Mérida AD
11 Feb 2024Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Real Madrid II 0 - 1 Mérida AD
23 Sep 2023Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Mérida AD 0 - 1 Real Madrid II
19 Mar 2023Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Madrid II 0 - 0 Mérida AD
15 Oct 2022Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 1 - 1 Real Madrid II

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Tenerife 3822106 62:24 +38 76 LWLWD
2 Celta de Vigo II 3818119 61:48 +13 65 DLWLD
3 Zamora 38171011 53:42 +11 61 LLWWW
4 Ponferradina 3817912 43:33 +10 60 WWWLD
5 Real Madrid II 38161012 61:52 +9 58 DDLWW
6 Pontevedra 3814168 49:31 +18 58 DLWDD
7 Barakaldo 38151310 51:38 +13 58 DWWLW
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38151112 53:49 +4 56 WDWLD
9 Lugo 38131411 36:40 -4 53 DWLWL
10 Mérida AD 38141014 47:53 -6 52 WDLLL
11 Arenas Getxo 3815716 46:55 -9 52 WDDLW
12 Racing Ferrol 38131015 41:47 -6 49 LDDDD
13 Athletic Club II 38131015 38:46 -8 49 LWLDD
14 Real Avilés 38111116 55:67 -12 44 DLLDD
15 Cacereño 38101414 42:49 -7 44 LWWWD
16 CF Talavera 38111017 38:47 -9 43 WDLWL
17 Ourense CF 38101315 44:47 -3 43 WDLDL
18 Guadalajara 38101117 44:58 -14 41 DLWDD
19 Osasuna II 38101018 28:42 -14 40 LDWWW
20 Arenteiro 3861022 29:53 -24 28 DLLLL

Top scorers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1
1 João ResendePontevedra 4goals 0assists 28apps
2 Eugeni ValderramaMarbella 4goals 0assists 26apps
3 BebéIbiza 3goals 0assists 30apps
4 Raúl BlancoAlcorcon 2goals 0assists 30apps
5 Isma SierraVillarreal II 2goals 0assists 26apps
6 Javier AvilésAlgeciras 2goals 0assists 21apps
7 Marcelo RibeiroAntequera 2goals 0assists 21apps
8 Joel JorqueraReal Murcia 2goals 0assists 14apps
9 Max SvenssonIbiza 2goals 0assists 13apps
10 Arnau SolàIbiza 1goals 0assists 10apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Real Madrid II 2 - 0 FC Cartagena W
25 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Algeciras 2 - 0 Real Madrid II L
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Real Madrid II 3 - 2 Antequera W
09 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Ibiza 1 - 1 Real Madrid II D
02 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Real Madrid II 3 - 2 Atlético Madrid II W
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Real Madrid II 1 - 2 Alcorcon L
23 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Sant Andreu 1 - 1 Real Madrid II D
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Águilas 1 - 0 Real Madrid II L
05 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Real Madrid II 2 - 0 Juventud Torremolinos W
31 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Teruel 0 - 0 Real Madrid II D
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Lugo 2 - 1 Mérida AD L
25 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 0 - 0 CD Coria D
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Arenas Getxo 0 - 4 Mérida AD W
11 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 1 - 2 Mérida AD W
04 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 2 - 0 Cacereño W
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 3 - 5 UD Logroñés L
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 1 - 0 Mérida AD L
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 3 - 4 Mirandes L
06 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Cultural Leonesa 1 - 0 Mérida AD L
29 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 1 - 0 Deportivo La Coruña II W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Real Madrid II Draw Mérida AD
Value spotted: Real Madrid II win at 1.87 (model 60% vs market 49%)

Most likely scores

1-0 14.7%
2-0 12.5%
1-1 11%
2-1 9.4%
0-0 8.6%
3-0 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.7 Real Madrid II · 0.75 Mérida AD

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score43%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
54%
Form
46%
53%
Attack
47%
50%
Defence
50%
80%
Goal model
20%
50%
Head to head
50%
64%
Goals
36%
58%
Overall
41%

Season numbers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
6
2
31-45'
5
6
46-60'
1
6
61-75'
6
7
76-90'
5
4
0-15'
2
6
16-30'
4
8
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
5
4
76-90'
8
Real Madrid II Mérida AD

Side by side

Real Madrid II Mérida AD
19 Played 19
10 Won 8
1 Drawn 3
8 Lost 8
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.6 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 0.8
5 Clean sheets 6
6 Failed to score 5
5 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 3-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 2-4
2/2 Penalties scored 1/1

Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD: preview and prediction

Real Madrid II host Mérida AD in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 20) on Sunday, 18th January 2026 at 18:15 at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, Madrid. Real Madrid II sit 5th in the table and Mérida AD 10th.

Real Madrid II are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-L-W). Mérida AD are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Real Madrid II won 2, Mérida AD won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% and over 2.5 goals in 29%.

Our goal model expects about 1.7 goals for Real Madrid II and 0.75 for Mérida AD. It gives Real Madrid II the edge (60% home win, 24% draw, 16% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.17.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD FAQs

What is the best prediction for Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD?

Our top tip is Free Tip: Home or Draw (1.17 odds).

Who will win Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD?

Real Madrid II are favourites: our model gives Real Madrid II 60%, the draw 24% and Mérida AD 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 43% chance in our model, and it happened in 14% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Real Madrid II vs Mérida AD?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th January 2026 at 18:15 at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, Madrid.