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Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena Prediction, H2H & Stats

Colombia: Primera B · Apertura Quadrangular - 3
Real Cartagena

Real Cartagena

4th in table
DWDDL
Full time
2:1
HT 2 - 1
Union Magdalena

Union Magdalena

3rd in table
DWWDD
16' A. Carreno
23' J. Rodriguez
28' D. Mera
38' M. Manotas
56' F. Molina
67' J. Mercado
80' L. Guevara
84' D. Pino
84' J. Congo
87' D. Ortiz
90+2' F. Montero
Saturday, 9 May 2026
Cartagena

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
2Real Cartagena wins
1Draws
3Union Magdalena wins
2.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
23 Mar 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 2 - 1 Union Magdalena
25 Aug 2024Primera B Real Cartagena 2 - 0 Union Magdalena
11 Mar 2024Primera B Union Magdalena 2 - 2 Real Cartagena
31 Aug 2021Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 0 Real Cartagena
15 Feb 2021Primera B Union Magdalena 2 - 1 Real Cartagena
08 Mar 2020Primera B Real Cartagena 0 - 2 Union Magdalena

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Quindio 3820108 43:28 +15 70 WWWWD
2 Envigado 4018148 54:34 +20 68 DWWWD
3 Union Magdalena 3817129 52:36 +16 63 DDWWD
4 Real Cartagena 40161410 62:46 +16 62 LDDWD
5 Internacional Palmira 3617109 43:33 +10 61 LLDDL
6 Tigres FC 38121412 35:31 +4 50 DDLDD
7 Ind. Yumbo 3212119 35:29 +6 47 LLLWD
8 Bogota FC 36101412 30:36 -6 44 DWDDD
9 Real Cundinamarca 32101210 34:32 +2 42 DLWDD
10 Barranquilla 36101016 44:48 -4 40 DLDWD
11 Popayan 3291112 40:43 -3 38 WDWLL
12 Patriotas 309813 30:40 -10 35 LLLDL
13 Orsomarso 3081012 24:31 -7 34 WLDWL
14 Depor FC 306915 28:44 -16 27 LLWDL
15 Real Santander 3051213 26:43 -17 27 DWDWL
16 Leones FC 305916 20:46 -26 24 LLWDD

Top scorers

Primera B
1 F. MonteroReal Cartagena 3goals 0assists 4apps
2 Alberto OrozcoBarranquilla 1goals 0assists 4apps
3 J. HernándezEnvigado 0goals 0assists 2apps
4 Tomas MolinaPatriotas 0goals 0assists 1apps
5 Juan SanchezPatriotas 0goals 0assists 1apps
6 Luys CaicedoReal Santander 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

1 W 6 D 3 L in the last 10
04 Nov 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 2 - 3 Quindio L
29 Oct 2026Primera B Tigres FC 0 - 0 Real Cartagena D
24 Oct 2026Primera B Barranquilla 1 - 1 Real Cartagena D
19 Oct 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 3 - 0 Patriotas W
16 Oct 2026Primera B Quindio 1 - 1 Real Cartagena D
08 Oct 2026Primera B Depor FC 2 - 2 Real Cartagena D
04 Oct 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 2 - 3 Popayan L
29 Sep 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 1 Real Cartagena D
22 Sep 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 0 - 0 Envigado D
12 Sep 2026Primera B Internacional Palmira 2 - 1 Real Cartagena L
3 W 7 D 0 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 1 Envigado D
29 Oct 2026Primera B Popayan 1 - 1 Union Magdalena D
24 Oct 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 0 Depor FC W
19 Oct 2026Primera B Internacional Palmira 0 - 1 Union Magdalena W
15 Oct 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 1 Ind. Yumbo D
11 Oct 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 2 - 2 Leones FC D
07 Oct 2026Primera B Popayan 1 - 1 Union Magdalena D
03 Oct 2026Primera B Real Santander 1 - 3 Union Magdalena W
29 Sep 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 1 Real Cartagena D
25 Sep 2026Copa Colombia Union Magdalena 1 - 1 Santa Fe D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Real Cartagena Draw Union Magdalena
Value spotted: Union Magdalena win at 3.95 (model 39% vs market 23%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.6%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.2%
0-1 6.9%
1-0 6.6%
2-2 6.6%

Expected goals: 1.55 Real Cartagena · 1.6 Union Magdalena

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
41%
Form
59%
33%
Attack
67%
55%
Defence
45%
41%
Goal model
59%
50%
Head to head
50%
54%
Goals
46%
45%
Overall
54%

Season numbers

Primera B 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
4
5
16-30'
4
9
31-45'
6
2
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
7
4
76-90'
6
1
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
5
3
46-60'
3
5
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
Real Cartagena Union Magdalena

Side by side

Real Cartagena Union Magdalena
17 Played 17
8 Won 11
6 Drawn 3
3 Lost 3
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.8
0.9 Goals conceded per game 0.9
2.2 / 0.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 2
7 Clean sheets 5
3 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 4
4-0 Biggest win 4-2
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
5/5 Penalties scored 4/4

Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena: preview and prediction

Real Cartagena host Union Magdalena in the Colombia Primera B (Apertura Quadrangular - 3) on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 01:30 at Cartagena. Real Cartagena sit 4th in the table and Union Magdalena 3rd.

Real Cartagena have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-L). Union Magdalena are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-D).

In the last 6 meetings, Real Cartagena won 2, Union Magdalena won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for Real Cartagena and 1.6 for Union Magdalena. It gives Union Magdalena the edge (37% home win, 24% draw, 39% away win), 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.82.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena FAQs

What is the best prediction for Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.82 odds).

Who will win Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?

Union Magdalena are favourites: our model gives Real Cartagena 37%, the draw 24% and Union Magdalena 39%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 01:30 at Cartagena.