Real Avilés vs Lugo Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 6
Real Avilés

Real Avilés

9th in table
LWWLW
Full time
1:2
HT 1 - 0
Lugo

Lugo

1st in table
WWWLW
5' A. Santamaria
63' Yago Iglesias
67' A. Costa
90+11' A. Godoy
90' A. Godoy
Friday, 2 October 2026
Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta
M. Cotero

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
1Real Avilés wins
1Draws
1Lugo wins
1.3Goals per game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
25 Jan 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 1 - 2 Lugo
06 Sep 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Lugo 0 - 0 Real Avilés
19 Aug 2023Friendlies Clubs Real Avilés 1 - 0 Lugo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lugo 10811 18:9 +9 25 WLWWW
2 UD Logroñés 10622 20:13 +7 20 LWDLW
3 Mirandes 10523 13:10 +3 17 WWLDL
4 Racing Ferrol 10523 9:7 +2 17 DLWWW
5 Extremadura 1924 10514 19:10 +9 16 WWDWW
6 Athletic Club II 10433 17:13 +4 15 WLLDL
7 Pontevedra 10433 12:11 +1 15 DWWLL
8 Cacereño 10433 9:8 +1 15 LWLDL
9 Real Avilés 10424 18:13 +5 14 WLWWL
10 Ponferradina 10352 6:6 0 14 DDDLW
11 Real Unión 10343 19:17 +2 13 LWDDD
12 Mérida AD 10415 16:14 +2 13 LDWWW
13 Cultural Leonesa 10334 10:10 0 12 LLDWL
14 Zamora 10334 11:12 -1 12 LLDDW
15 Barakaldo 10253 8:10 -2 11 DDWLD
16 Deportivo La Coruña II 10325 11:17 -6 11 WLLLL
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 10316 12:18 -6 10 LWLDW
18 CD Coria 10235 12:17 -5 9 LDWLL
19 UD Ourense 10226 4:15 -11 8 WLLWD
20 Arenas Getxo 10226 8:22 -14 8 WWLLD

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Unión 0 - 3 Real Avilés W
24 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 1 - 3 UD Logroñés L
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 3 - 0 UD Ourense W
11 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 2 Real Avilés W
02 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 1 - 2 Lugo L
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 3 - 3 Real Avilés D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 CD Coria 1 - 1 Real Avilés D
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 3 - 1 Unionistas de Salamanca W
06 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Athletic Club II 2 - 1 Real Avilés L
28 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 0 - 1 Pontevedra L
8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Lugo 2 - 1 Mérida AD W
23 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Unión 4 - 1 Lugo L
17 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Lugo 3 - 0 Deportivo La Coruña II W
12 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Lugo 3 - 1 UD Logroñés W
02 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 1 - 2 Lugo W
26 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Lugo 1 - 0 Racing Ferrol W
20 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Zamora 1 - 2 Lugo W
13 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Lugo 1 - 0 CD Coria W
04 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 0 Lugo D
30 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 - 3 Lugo W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Real Avilés Draw Lugo
Value spotted: Lugo win at 2.82 (model 42% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.8%
0-1 11.6%
1-0 9.5%
1-2 8.6%
0-0 8.6%
0-2 7.9%

Expected goals: 1.1 Real Avilés · 1.35 Lugo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
28%
Form
72%
53%
Attack
47%
20%
Defence
80%
33%
Goal model
67%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
39%
Overall
61%

Season numbers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
1
Real Avilés Lugo

Side by side

Real Avilés Lugo
5 Played 5
1 Won 4
2 Drawn 1
2 Lost 0
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.6 Goals conceded per game 0.4
1.5 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.7
0 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 1-0
0-1 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Real Avilés vs Lugo: preview and prediction

Real Avilés host Lugo in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 6) on Friday, 2nd October 2026 at 18:00 at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta. Real Avilés sit 9th in the table and Lugo 1st.

Real Avilés are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W). Lugo are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-W).

In the last 3 meetings, Real Avilés won 1, Lugo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 1.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for Real Avilés and 1.35 for Lugo. It gives Lugo the edge (30% home win, 27% draw, 42% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.82. We also like BTTS Yes, Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Real Avilés vs Lugo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Real Avilés vs Lugo?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.82 odds).

Who will win Real Avilés vs Lugo?

Lugo are favourites: our model gives Real Avilés 30%, the draw 27% and Lugo 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Real Avilés vs Lugo?

Kick-off is on Friday, 2nd October 2026 at 18:00 at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta.

Who is the referee?

M. Cotero is in charge of this game.