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RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3rd in table
WLLWW
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 0
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli

18th in table
DDWDD
19' Castello Lukeba
45' X. Schlager
50' Christoph Baumgartner
54' W. Orban
86' A. Ceesay
Saturday, 9 May 2026
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Benjamin Brand, Germany

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3RB Leipzig wins
2Draws
3FC St. Pauli wins
2.3Goals per game
38%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
27 Jan 2026Bundesliga FC St. Pauli 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
09 Feb 2025Bundesliga RB Leipzig 2 - 0 FC St. Pauli
29 Oct 2024DFB Pokal RB Leipzig 4 - 2 FC St. Pauli
22 Sep 2024Bundesliga FC St. Pauli 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
12 Feb 20162. Bundesliga FC St. Pauli 1 - 0 RB Leipzig
23 Aug 20152. Bundesliga RB Leipzig 0 - 1 FC St. Pauli
03 May 20152. Bundesliga FC St. Pauli 1 - 0 RB Leipzig
23 Nov 20142. Bundesliga RB Leipzig 4 - 1 FC St. Pauli

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 342851 122:36 +86 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 70:34 +36 73 WWLWL
3 RB Leipzig 342059 66:47 +19 65 LWLWW
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 71:49 +22 62 DWDDL
5 1899 Hoffenheim 341879 65:52 +13 61 LWDWW
6 Bayer Leverkusen 341789 68:47 +21 59 DLWWL
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 51:57 -6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 61:65 -4 44 DLLDL
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 45:61 -16 43 LWWDW
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 44:53 -9 40 WLWLD
11 Union Berlin 3410915 44:58 -14 39 WWDLL
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 42:53 -11 38 WLWDD
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 40:54 -14 38 DWWLL
14 1. FC Köln 3471116 49:63 -14 32 LLDLD
15 Werder Bremen 348818 37:60 -23 32 LLLDW
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 45:69 -24 29 LDWLD
17 1. FC Heidenheim 346820 41:72 -31 26 LWDWL
18 FC St. Pauli 346820 29:60 -31 26 LLLLD

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 H. KaneBayern München 36goals 5assists 31apps
2 D. UndavVfB Stuttgart 19goals 7assists 29apps
3 S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund 17goals 1assists 33apps
4 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 16goals 3assists 28apps
5 M. OliseBayern München 15goals 19assists 32apps
6 L. DíazBayern München 15goals 14assists 32apps
7 A. Kramarić1899 Hoffenheim 14goals 6assists 34apps
8 C. BaumgartnerRB Leipzig 13goals 8assists 33apps
9 H. TabakovićBorussia Mönchengladbach 13goals 2assists 32apps
10 S. El Mala1. FC Köln 13goals 4assists 34apps

Recent form

5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Rot-Weiß Essen 1 - 2 RB Leipzig W
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 4 - 0 SV Elversberg W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Real Madrid 4 - 1 RB Leipzig L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 6 - 1 RB Leipzig L
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV Eindhoven W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 6 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt W
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig L
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV W
10 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Como 4 - 1 RB Leipzig L
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga Werder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig L
2 W 6 D 2 L in the last 10
23 Oct 20262. Bundesliga SV Darmstadt 98 0 - 0 FC St. Pauli D
17 Oct 20262. Bundesliga Hannover 96 1 - 1 FC St. Pauli D
11 Oct 20262. Bundesliga FC St. Pauli 2 - 0 Karlsruher SC W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs FC St. Pauli 1 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach D
20 Sep 20262. Bundesliga Energie Cottbus 1 - 1 FC St. Pauli D
12 Sep 20262. Bundesliga FC St. Pauli 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg W
04 Sep 20262. Bundesliga Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 2 FC St. Pauli D
30 Aug 20262. Bundesliga FC St. Pauli 1 - 2 1. FC Kaiserslautern L
23 Aug 2026DFB Pokal Rot-Weiß Essen 2 - 0 FC St. Pauli L
14 Aug 20262. Bundesliga Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 FC St. Pauli D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
RB Leipzig Draw FC St. Pauli
Value spotted: FC St. Pauli win at 9.85 (model 17% vs market 10%)

Most likely scores

2-0 10.5%
1-0 10.2%
2-1 9.9%
1-1 9.7%
3-0 7.1%
3-1 6.8%

Expected goals: 2.05 RB Leipzig · 0.95 FC St. Pauli

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
86%
Form
14%
77%
Attack
23%
61%
Defence
39%
80%
Goal model
20%
62%
Head to head
38%
64%
Goals
36%
71%
Overall
28%

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2025

When the goals come

7
0-15'
1
11
16-30'
3
11
31-45'
7
13
46-60'
5
11
61-75'
5
9
76-90'
6
0
0-15'
7
6
16-30'
3
10
31-45'
11
7
46-60'
13
5
61-75'
9
15
76-90'
12
RB Leipzig FC St. Pauli

Side by side

RB Leipzig FC St. Pauli
32 Played 32
19 Won 6
5 Drawn 8
8 Lost 18
2 Goals scored per game 0.8
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.7
2.4 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0.7
11 Clean sheets 5
3 Failed to score 13
5 Longest winning run 2
6-0 Biggest win 2-1
1-5 Biggest defeat 0-5
1/1 Penalties scored 4/4

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli: preview and prediction

RB Leipzig host FC St. Pauli in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 33) on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 14:30 at Red Bull Arena, Leipzig. RB Leipzig sit 3rd in the table and FC St. Pauli 18th.

RB Leipzig are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-W). FC St. Pauli are unbeaten, with 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, RB Leipzig won 3, FC St. Pauli won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 2.05 goals for RB Leipzig and 0.95 for FC St. Pauli. It gives RB Leipzig the edge (63% home win, 21% draw, 17% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like Over 2.5, Over 0.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli FAQs

What is the best prediction for RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home Win.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?

RB Leipzig are favourites: our model gives RB Leipzig 63%, the draw 21% and FC St. Pauli 17%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 14:30 at Red Bull Arena, Leipzig.

Who is the referee?

Benjamin Brand, Germany is in charge of this game.