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Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: League Cup · Group Stage
Queen of the South

Queen of the South

LLWLL
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Kelty Hearts

LWLLW
28' R. Cunningham
31' N. Clark
66' C. McQueen
120+2' C. McManus (Penalty)
120+3' A. Ferguson (Penalty)
120+3' T. Charters (Penalty)
120+4' K. Higginbotham (Penalty)
120+4' L. Smith (Penalty)
120+5' B. Luissint (Penalty)
120+6' D. Corr (Penalty)
Saturday, 11 July 2026
Palmerston Park, Dumfries

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Queen of the South wins
2Draws
4Kelty Hearts wins
3Goals per game
78%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
04 Apr 2026League One Kelty Hearts 1 - 1 Queen of the South
10 Jan 2026League One Queen of the South 3 - 1 Kelty Hearts
15 Nov 2025League One Kelty Hearts 1 - 1 Queen of the South
30 Aug 2025League One Queen of the South 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts
19 Apr 2025League One Kelty Hearts 1 - 3 Queen of the South
01 Mar 2025League One Queen of the South 0 - 1 Kelty Hearts
21 Dec 2024League One Kelty Hearts 2 - 0 Queen of the South
05 Oct 2024League One Queen of the South 1 - 5 Kelty Hearts
06 Apr 2024League One Queen of the South 1 - 2 Kelty Hearts

Top scorers

League Cup
1 A. TshibolaKilmarnock 0goals 0assists 1apps
2 Lewis SmithAberdeen 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Arbroath 1 - 0 Queen of the South L
31 Oct 2026League One East Fife 2 - 0 Queen of the South L
24 Oct 2026League One Alloa Athletic 0 - 1 Queen of the South W
17 Oct 2026League One Queen of the South 1 - 7 Ross County L
13 Oct 2026Challenge Cup Berwick Rangers 1 - 0 Queen of the South L
10 Oct 2026League One Peterhead 0 - 1 Queen of the South W
03 Oct 2026League One Queen of the South 4 - 3 Cove Rangers W
26 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Queen of the South 4 - 2 Rangers U21 W
22 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Queen of the South 1 - 1 Annan Athletic D
19 Sep 2026League One Hamilton Academical 4 - 1 Queen of the South L
4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Morton 0 - 1 Kelty Hearts W
31 Oct 2026League Two Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Elgin City L
24 Oct 2026FA Cup Edinburgh City 4 - 1 Kelty Hearts L
17 Oct 2026League Two Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Forfar Athletic W
13 Oct 2026Challenge Cup East Kilbride 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts L
10 Oct 2026League Two Stirling Albion 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts L
03 Oct 2026League Two Spartans 0 - 2 Kelty Hearts W
26 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Montrose W
22 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Kelty Hearts 3 - 5 Hearts U21 L
19 Sep 2026League Two Kelty Hearts 1 - 3 Edinburgh City L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Queen of the South Draw Kelty Hearts
Value spotted: Kelty Hearts win at 4.61 (model 30% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Queen of the South · 1.1 Kelty Hearts

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
85%
Head to head
15%
67%
Goals
33%
76%
Overall
24%

Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts: preview and prediction

Queen of the South host Kelty Hearts in the Scotland League Cup (Group Stage) on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 15:00 at Palmerston Park, Dumfries.

Queen of the South are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L). Kelty Hearts are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Queen of the South won 3, Kelty Hearts won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Queen of the South and 1.1 for Kelty Hearts. It gives Queen of the South the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Under 3.5 at odds of 1.44.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts FAQs

What is the best prediction for Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts?

Our top tip is Over/Under 3.5: Under 3.5 (1.44 odds).

Who will win Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts?

Queen of the South are favourites: our model gives Queen of the South 44%, the draw 27% and Kelty Hearts 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 15:00 at Palmerston Park, Dumfries.