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Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa Prediction, H2H & Stats

Qatar: Stars League · Regular Season - 18
Qatar SC

Qatar SC

6th in table
DDWLL
Full time
2:0
HT 1 - 0
Al-Gharafa

Al-Gharafa

4th in table
DDLWL
18' Fabricio Díaz
20' Álvaro Djaló
21' Franco Russo
24' Niall Mason
26' M. Al Battat
39' Nizar Mahmoud Al-Rashdan
45+2' Seydou Sano
50' Joao Pedro
59' Eisa Ahmad
65' Raoul Danzabe Sanda
66' Joao Pedro
76' Ahmed Al-Rawi
Thursday, 12 March 2026
Qatar SC Stadium, Doha
A. Al Jassim

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Qatar SC wins
2Draws
4Al-Gharafa wins
4.3Goals per game
88%Both scored
88%Over 2.5
19 Jan 2026QSL Cup Qatar SC 3 - 2 Al-Gharafa
07 Nov 2025Stars League Al-Gharafa 2 - 1 Qatar SC
22 Feb 2025Stars League Al-Gharafa 4 - 2 Qatar SC
22 Sep 2024Stars League Qatar SC 1 - 3 Al-Gharafa
19 May 2024Emir Cup Qatar SC 2 - 2 Al-Gharafa
20 Dec 2023Stars League Al-Gharafa 2 - 1 Qatar SC
17 Aug 2023Stars League Qatar SC 4 - 4 Al-Gharafa
28 Apr 2023Stars League Al-Gharafa 0 - 1 Qatar SC

Stars League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Al Sadd 221435 56:30 +26 45 WWDLL
2 Al Shamal 221246 39:28 +11 40 LLLWL
3 Al-Rayyan SC 221156 46:32 +14 38 WWDWL
4 Al-Gharafa 221138 36:36 0 36 DDLLL
5 Al-Duhail SC 22967 40:27 +13 33 WLWWW
6 Qatar SC 22958 34:32 +2 32 LWDLD
7 Al-Arabi SC 22958 37:41 -4 32 LLDWW
8 Al Wakrah 22769 32:36 -4 27 WDWLL
9 Al Ahli Doha 228212 34:43 -9 26 WWDWD
10 Al-Sailiya 226412 25:38 -13 22 LWLDW
11 Al Shahaniya 226313 22:39 -17 21 WDWLL
12 UMM Salal 226214 37:56 -19 20 LLLDW

Top scorers

Stars League
1 Akram AfifAl Sadd 11goals 6assists 22apps
2 Roberto FirminoAl Sadd 10goals 2assists 21apps
3 João PedroQatar SC 9goals 1assists 21apps
4 Róger GuedesAl-Rayyan SC 9goals 2assists 22apps
5 S. YansanéAl Ahli Doha 6goals 2assists 20apps
6 GiovaniAl Sadd 5goals 4assists 17apps
7 M. VlapAl Ahli Doha 5goals 3assists 21apps
8 K. PiątekAl-Duhail SC 4goals 4assists 22apps
9 Edmilson JuniorAl-Duhail SC 4goals 1assists 19apps
10 B. BounedjahAl Shamal 4goals 1assists 10apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Stars League Al-Gharafa 2 - 0 Qatar SC L
27 Oct 2026AGCFF Gulf Champions League Al Riffa 4 - 1 Qatar SC L
23 Oct 2026Stars League Al Shamal 2 - 3 Qatar SC W
17 Oct 2026Stars League Al-Sailiya 2 - 2 Qatar SC D
13 Oct 2026AGCFF Gulf Champions League Qatar SC 1 - 1 Al Zawra'a D
09 Oct 2026Stars League Qatar SC 0 - 3 Al-Rayyan SC L
01 Oct 2026QSL Cup Qatar SC 1 - 0 Al Bidda SC W
20 Sep 2026QSL Cup Al-Rayyan SC 2 - 2 Qatar SC D
12 Sep 2026Stars League Al-Arabi SC 0 - 0 Qatar SC D
03 Sep 2026Stars League Al Ahli Doha 1 - 0 Qatar SC L
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026AFC Champions League Elite Al-Gharafa 0 - 5 Al-Qadisiyah FC L
30 Oct 2026Stars League Al-Gharafa 2 - 0 Qatar SC W
26 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Al-Ahli Jeddah 2 - 1 Al-Gharafa L
22 Oct 2026Stars League Al-Gharafa 2 - 2 Al Ahli Doha D
18 Oct 2026Stars League Al-Gharafa 0 - 0 Al-Rayyan SC D
12 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Al-Gharafa 1 - 2 Esteghlal FC L
08 Oct 2026Stars League Al Wakrah 3 - 2 Al-Gharafa L
01 Oct 2026QSL Cup Al-Gharafa 4 - 2 Al Mesaimeer W
15 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2 - 1 Al-Gharafa L
11 Sep 2026Stars League Al-Gharafa 0 - 0 Lusail City D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Qatar SC Draw Al-Gharafa
Value spotted: Qatar SC win at 2.73 (model 41% vs market 33%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.6%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 8%
1-0 7.1%
2-2 6.6%
0-1 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.65 Qatar SC · 1.5 Al-Gharafa

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
54%
Form
46%
68%
Attack
32%
40%
Defence
60%
53%
Goal model
47%
29%
Head to head
71%
41%
Goals
59%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

Stars League 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
3
5
31-45'
3
6
46-60'
7
4
61-75'
4
8
76-90'
9
0
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
2
5
31-45'
3
7
46-60'
5
1
61-75'
3
11
76-90'
7
Qatar SC Al-Gharafa

Side by side

Qatar SC Al-Gharafa
16 Played 17
7 Won 11
3 Drawn 1
6 Lost 5
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.6 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.8 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1.4
3 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 5
3 Longest winning run 5
2-0 Biggest win 4-2
1-5 Biggest defeat 1-3
2/2 Penalties scored 5/5

Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa: preview and prediction

Qatar SC host Al-Gharafa in the Qatar Stars League (Regular Season - 18) on Thursday, 12th March 2026 at 19:30 at Qatar SC Stadium, Doha. Qatar SC sit 6th in the table and Al-Gharafa 4th.

Qatar SC have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-L-L). Al-Gharafa have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Qatar SC won 2, Al-Gharafa won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 4.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 88% and over 2.5 goals in 88%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Qatar SC and 1.5 for Al-Gharafa. It gives Qatar SC the edge (41% home win, 24% draw, 35% away win), 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa FAQs

What is the best prediction for Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa?

Our top tip is Draw: Draw.

Who will win Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa?

Qatar SC are favourites: our model gives Qatar SC 41%, the draw 24% and Al-Gharafa 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 88% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 12th March 2026 at 19:30 at Qatar SC Stadium, Doha.

Who is the referee?

A. Al Jassim is in charge of this game.